Brisbane Lions v Geelong
Gabba
10.15
75
10.14
74
Match complete
Brisbane Lions won by 1 point
IN
O'Connor
Menegola
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 5.2 | 0.19 |
 |
|
69% | 17 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.46 |
 |
|
65% | 14 points | ✓ | 12.5 | 0.38 |
 |
|
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 10.5 | 0.32 |
 |
|
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 9.9 | 0.31 |
 |
|
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.29 |
 |
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.23 |
 |
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.23 |
 |
|
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 5.9 | 0.23 |
 |
|
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.23 |
 |
|
58% | 9 points | ✓ | 8.2 | 0.21 |
| Punters | |
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 5.9 | 0.21 |
 |
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.14 |
 |
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.00 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 3.0 | -0.05 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 2.7 | -0.07 |
 |
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 11.8 | -0.34 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.