Brisbane Lions v Geelong

Gabba

75

74

Match complete
Brisbane Lions won by 1 point

IN
O'Connor
Menegola
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Brisbane Lions
57% 6 points 5.20.19
Swinburne
Brisbane Lions
69% 17 points 16.00.46
HPN
Brisbane Lions
65% 14 points 12.50.38
AFLalytics
Brisbane Lions
62% 11 points 10.50.32
Squiggle
Brisbane Lions
62% 11 points 9.90.31
The Arc
Brisbane Lions
61% 10 points 9.00.29
Graft
Brisbane Lions
59% 8 points 7.00.23
Stattraction
Brisbane Lions
59% 8 points 7.00.23
Matter of Stats
Brisbane Lions
59% 7 points 5.90.23
Live Ladders
Brisbane Lions
59% 7 points 6.00.23
Fat Stats
Brisbane Lions
58% 9 points 8.20.21
Punters
Brisbane Lions
58% 7 points 5.90.21
Massey Ratings
Brisbane Lions
55% 4 points 3.00.14
Footy Maths Institute
Brisbane Lions
50% 1 point 0.00.00
AFL Lab
Geelong
52% 2 points 3.0-0.05
AFL Gains
Geelong
52% 2 points 2.7-0.07
PlusSixOne
Geelong
61% 11 points 11.8-0.34

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 22, 2019