Carlton v St Kilda
M.C.G.
11.12
78
10.8
68
Match complete
Carlton won by 10 points
IN
Kennedy
Dow
Jones
Weitering
OUT
IN
Brown
Coffield
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 9.2 | 0.02 |
 |
|
63% | 13 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.33 |
 |
|
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.31 |
 |
|
60% | 7 points | ✓ | 2.7 | 0.26 |
 |
|
58% | 6 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.21 |
 |
|
55% | 6 points | ✓ | 4.2 | 0.14 |
 |
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.11 |
 |
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.04 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 9.4 | 0.02 |
 |
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.01 |
 |
|
50% | -1 points | ✓ | 10.6 | 0.01 |
 |
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.00 |
| Punters | |
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 11.1 | -0.05 |
 |
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 15.4 | -0.22 |
 |
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 19.2 | -0.34 |
 |
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 19.5 | -0.35 |
 |
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.37 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.