Gold Coast v Essendon
Carrara
15.6
96
16.10
106
Match complete
Essendon won by 10 points
IN
Miles
Weller
Ballard
Brodie
OUT
IN
Clarke
McNiece
Laverde
Heppell
McKenna
Hartley
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 78% | 27 points | ✓ | 17.5 | 0.63 | |
91% | 49 points | ✓ | 39.0 | 0.86 | ||
88% | 38 points | ✓ | 28.0 | 0.82 | ||
85% | 40 points | ✓ | 30.0 | 0.76 | ||
83% | 16 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.73 | ||
Punters | 82% | 32 points | ✓ | 21.8 | 0.71 | |
81% | 28 points | ✓ | 17.9 | 0.70 | ||
81% | 31 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.69 | ||
79% | 29 points | ✓ | 18.7 | 0.66 | ||
79% | 24 points | ✓ | 14.2 | 0.65 | ||
76% | 25 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.61 | ||
76% | 36 points | ✓ | 26.0 | 0.60 | ||
72% | 29 points | ✓ | 18.7 | 0.54 | ||
72% | 19 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.53 | ||
66% | 17 points | ✓ | 6.5 | 0.40 | ||
66% | 15 points | ✓ | 5.1 | 0.39 | ||
65% | 13 points | ✓ | 2.8 | 0.37 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.