Carlton v Adelaide
M.C.G.
13.9
87
9.6
60
Match complete
Carlton won by 27 points
IN
Phillips
Dow
Fisher
Kreuzer
OUT
IN
Wilson
Stengle
Otten
Greenwood
Betts
Keath
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 61% | 10 points | ✗ | 37.2 | -0.36 | |
69% | 11 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.70 | ||
69% | 19 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -0.69 | ||
66% | 15 points | ✗ | 42.3 | -0.55 | ||
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 40.0 | -0.54 | ||
65% | 19 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -0.51 | ||
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 40.3 | -0.49 | ||
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.43 | ||
Punters | 62% | 11 points | ✗ | 37.9 | -0.40 | |
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 37.7 | -0.34 | ||
60% | 12 points | ✗ | 39.2 | -0.33 | ||
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.33 | ||
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.29 | ||
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 31.3 | -0.18 | ||
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 31.4 | -0.17 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.17 | ||
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 24.0 | 0.10 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.