Port Adelaide v Greater Western Sydney
Adelaide Oval
7.13
55
8.8
56
Match complete
Greater Western Sydney won by 1 point
IN
Garner
Ryder
Motlop
Dixon
OUT
IN
Hately
Davis
Deledio
Stein
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.1 | 0.02 |
 |
|
64% | 16 points | ✓ | 15.4 | 0.35 |
 |
|
62% | 12 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.31 |
 |
|
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.29 |
 |
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.24 |
 |
|
55% | 7 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.14 |
 |
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.14 |
 |
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.8 | 0.10 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.06 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 2.0 | -0.03 |
| Punters | |
51% | 3 points | ✗ | 3.8 | -0.04 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 3.2 | -0.06 |
 |
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 2.5 | -0.08 |
 |
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 4.0 | -0.11 |
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 6.2 | -0.16 |
 |
|
59% | 5 points | ✗ | 6.4 | -0.28 |
 |
|
75% | 23 points | ✗ | 24.1 | -0.97 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.