Sydney v Geelong
S.C.G.
12.8
80
16.11
107
Match complete
Geelong won by 27 points
IN
Dawson
Ronke
Florent
Hayward
OUT
IN
Smith
Selwood
Henry
Stanley
Tuohy
Rohan
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 63% | 11 points | ✓ | 15.6 | 0.33 | |
71% | 12 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.50 | ||
70% | 17 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.48 | ||
69% | 18 points | ✓ | 9.1 | 0.47 | ||
69% | 18 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.47 | ||
68% | 17 points | ✓ | 10.4 | 0.45 | ||
65% | 14 points | ✓ | 13.3 | 0.39 | ||
Punters | 64% | 13 points | ✓ | 14.2 | 0.37 | |
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.33 | ||
63% | 15 points | ✓ | 11.8 | 0.33 | ||
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 19.1 | 0.27 | ||
60% | 13 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.26 | ||
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 18.3 | 0.23 | ||
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 21.4 | 0.18 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 23.0 | 0.14 | ||
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.13 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 23.0 | 0.12 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.