Hawthorn v Brisbane Lions

York Park
7.18
60
13.9
87

Match complete
Brisbane Lions won by 27 points

IN
Birchall
Ceglar
Impey
O'Brien
OUT
IN
Walker
Andrews
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Hawthorn
54% 3 points 30.4-0.11
AFL Gains
Hawthorn
63% 10 points 36.8-0.43
Footy Maths Institute
Hawthorn
60% 13 points 40.0-0.32
HPN
Hawthorn
58% 7 points 33.7-0.24
The Arc
Hawthorn
57% 6 points 33.0-0.23
Matter of Stats
Hawthorn
57% 4 points 31.3-0.22
Live Ladders
Hawthorn
56% 5 points 32.0-0.20
Fat Stats
Hawthorn
56% 7 points 34.3-0.19
Graft
Hawthorn
56% 6 points 33.0-0.18
Punters
Hawthorn
53% 4 points 30.5-0.08
PlusSixOne
Hawthorn
53% 3 points 29.6-0.08
Swinburne
Hawthorn
52% 2 points 29.0-0.06
Squiggle
Hawthorn
52% 1 point 27.6-0.05
Stattraction
Brisbane Lions
50% 1 point 26.00.01
Massey Ratings
Brisbane Lions
51% 1 point 26.00.02
AFL Lab
Brisbane Lions
55% 2 points 25.00.12
AFLalytics
Brisbane Lions
60% 9 points 18.40.27

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 19, 2019