St Kilda v Melbourne
Marvel Stadium
15.14
104
13.7
85
Match complete
St Kilda won by 19 points
IN
Long
Parker
OUT
IN
Baker
Smith
McDonald
May
Preuss
Lockhart
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 23.3 | -0.10 |
 |
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 34.5 | -0.62 |
 |
|
63% | 17 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.43 |
 |
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.31 |
 |
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 23.5 | -0.19 |
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 24.1 | -0.16 |
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.16 |
 |
|
55% | 6 points | ✗ | 24.7 | -0.15 |
 |
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.14 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.09 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.09 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 21.8 | -0.08 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 20.6 | -0.06 |
| Punters | |
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 20.8 | -0.03 |
 |
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 18.2 | 0.05 |
 |
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.07 |
 |
|
70% | 6 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.48 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.