Greater Western Sydney v Brisbane Lions
Sydney Showground
11.8
74
14.10
94
Match complete
Brisbane Lions won by 20 points
IN
Simpson
Mumford
OUT
IN
Adams
Witherden
McInerney
Starcevich
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
71% | 21 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.79 |
 |
|
83% | 31 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -1.56 |
 |
|
76% | 36 points | ✗ | 56.0 | -1.06 |
 |
|
75% | 33 points | ✗ | 53.1 | -1.01 |
 |
|
75% | 23 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.98 |
 |
|
74% | 23 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.92 |
 |
|
73% | 18 points | ✗ | 38.5 | -0.88 |
 |
|
73% | 24 points | ✗ | 44.3 | -0.88 |
 |
|
73% | 17 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.86 |
 |
|
72% | 19 points | ✗ | 39.4 | -0.85 |
 |
|
72% | 21 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.83 |
| Punters | |
70% | 20 points | ✗ | 39.5 | -0.76 |
 |
|
70% | 21 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.74 |
 |
|
68% | 14 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.63 |
 |
|
66% | 17 points | ✗ | 36.9 | -0.57 |
 |
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 30.2 | -0.32 |
 |
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 27.8 | -0.29 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.