Greater Western Sydney v Brisbane Lions

Sydney Showground

74

94

Match complete
Brisbane Lions won by 20 points

IN
Simpson
Mumford
OUT
IN
Adams
Witherden
McInerney
Starcevich
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Greater Western Sydney
71% 21 points 41.0-0.79
Swinburne
Greater Western Sydney
83% 31 points 51.0-1.56
Footy Maths Institute
Greater Western Sydney
76% 36 points 56.0-1.06
Fat Stats
Greater Western Sydney
75% 33 points 53.1-1.01
The Arc
Greater Western Sydney
75% 23 points 43.0-0.98
Graft
Greater Western Sydney
74% 23 points 43.0-0.92
AFL Gains
Greater Western Sydney
73% 18 points 38.5-0.88
Squiggle
Greater Western Sydney
73% 24 points 44.3-0.88
Massey Ratings
Greater Western Sydney
73% 17 points 37.0-0.86
Matter of Stats
Greater Western Sydney
72% 19 points 39.4-0.85
Live Ladders
Greater Western Sydney
72% 21 points 41.0-0.83
Punters
Greater Western Sydney
70% 20 points 39.5-0.76
Stattraction
Greater Western Sydney
70% 21 points 41.0-0.74
AFL Lab
Greater Western Sydney
68% 14 points 34.0-0.63
PlusSixOne
Greater Western Sydney
66% 17 points 36.9-0.57
AFLalytics
Greater Western Sydney
60% 10 points 30.2-0.32
HPN
Greater Western Sydney
59% 8 points 27.8-0.29

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 16, 2019