Carlton v Melbourne

M.C.G.

100

105

Match complete
Melbourne won by 5 points

IN
Lang
Curnow
OUT
IN
Dunkley
Preuss
Lewis
Gawn
Smith
Baker
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Melbourne
61% 11 points 6.20.29
AFLalytics
Melbourne
71% 19 points 14.30.51
Stattraction
Melbourne
71% 22 points 17.00.50
Footy Maths Institute
Melbourne
69% 26 points 21.00.46
HPN
Melbourne
69% 17 points 12.10.46
Live Ladders
Melbourne
67% 15 points 10.00.42
Punters
Melbourne
67% 16 points 10.80.42
Graft
Melbourne
63% 12 points 7.00.33
Swinburne
Melbourne
62% 10 points 5.00.31
Squiggle
Melbourne
62% 11 points 6.50.31
Fat Stats
Melbourne
62% 14 points 8.90.30
The Arc
Melbourne
61% 9 points 4.00.28
PlusSixOne
Melbourne
57% 7 points 2.00.19
Matter of Stats
Melbourne
56% 6 points 1.40.17
AFL Lab
Carlton
50% 0 points 5.0-0.01
AFL Gains
Carlton
52% 2 points 6.5-0.06
Massey Ratings
Carlton
56% 4 points 9.0-0.17

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 16, 2019