Essendon v Sydney

M.C.G.

76

66

Match complete
Essendon won by 10 points

IN
Clarke
Guelfi
Stringer
Heppell
Bellchambers
Begley
OUT
IN
Cunningham
Sinclair
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Essendon
63% 12 points 1.90.34
Matter of Stats
Essendon
71% 17 points 7.50.51
Swinburne
Essendon
70% 17 points 7.00.49
HPN
Essendon
68% 17 points 6.50.45
The Arc
Essendon
67% 16 points 6.00.43
Footy Maths Institute
Essendon
67% 22 points 12.00.42
Massey Ratings
Essendon
66% 12 points 2.00.41
AFL Lab
Essendon
64% 7 points 3.00.35
Squiggle
Essendon
62% 12 points 2.00.32
Punters
Essendon
62% 11 points 0.80.31
Graft
Essendon
62% 11 points 1.00.30
AFL Gains
Essendon
60% 8 points 2.20.27
PlusSixOne
Essendon
60% 10 points 0.10.26
Fat Stats
Essendon
60% 11 points 1.50.25
AFLalytics
Essendon
59% 9 points 1.30.25
Stattraction
Essendon
59% 8 points 2.00.23
Live Ladders
Essendon
52% 2 points 8.00.06

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 16, 2019