Essendon v Sydney
2019-07-06 13:45:00
M.C.G.

11.10

76

9.12

66

Match complete
Essendon won by 10 points

IN

Clarke

Guelfi

Stringer

Heppell

Bellchambers

Begley

OUT

IN

Cunningham

Sinclair

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		63%	12 points	✓	1.9	0.34
		71%	17 points	✓	7.5	0.51
		70%	17 points	✓	7.0	0.49
		68%	17 points	✓	6.5	0.45
		67%	16 points	✓	6.0	0.43
		67%	22 points	✓	12.0	0.42
		66%	12 points	✓	2.0	0.41
		64%	7 points	✓	3.0	0.35
		62%	12 points	✓	2.0	0.32
Punters		62%	11 points	✓	0.8	0.31
		62%	11 points	✓	1.0	0.30
		60%	8 points	✓	2.2	0.27
		60%	10 points	✓	0.1	0.26
		60%	11 points	✓	1.5	0.25
		59%	9 points	✓	1.3	0.25
		59%	8 points	✓	2.0	0.23
		52%	2 points	✓	8.0	0.06

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.