Western Bulldogs v Geelong
Marvel Stadium
10.11
71
7.13
55
Match complete
Western Bulldogs won by 16 points
IN
McLean
Daniel
OUT
IN
Rohan
Parfitt
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 72% | 22 points | ✗ | 37.6 | -0.85 | |
84% | 33 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -1.64 | ||
83% | 30 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -1.57 | ||
80% | 33 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -1.31 | ||
79% | 41 points | ✗ | 57.0 | -1.25 | ||
78% | 17 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -1.21 | ||
78% | 28 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -1.17 | ||
Punters | 74% | 22 points | ✗ | 38.2 | -0.92 | |
73% | 19 points | ✗ | 34.8 | -0.90 | ||
71% | 20 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.80 | ||
69% | 20 points | ✗ | 36.1 | -0.69 | ||
69% | 17 points | ✗ | 33.5 | -0.69 | ||
69% | 17 points | ✗ | 33.4 | -0.68 | ||
66% | 19 points | ✗ | 35.3 | -0.55 | ||
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.54 | ||
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 26.3 | -0.35 | ||
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 21.7 | -0.20 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.