Western Bulldogs v Geelong

Marvel Stadium

71

55

Match complete
Western Bulldogs won by 16 points

IN
McLean
Daniel
OUT
IN
Rohan
Parfitt
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Geelong
72% 22 points 37.6-0.85
Swinburne
Geelong
84% 33 points 49.0-1.64
Massey Ratings
Geelong
83% 30 points 46.0-1.57
Stattraction
Geelong
80% 33 points 49.0-1.31
Footy Maths Institute
Geelong
79% 41 points 57.0-1.25
AFL Lab
Geelong
78% 17 points 33.0-1.21
Graft
Geelong
78% 28 points 44.0-1.17
Punters
Geelong
74% 22 points 38.2-0.92
AFL Gains
Geelong
73% 19 points 34.8-0.90
The Arc
Geelong
71% 20 points 36.0-0.80
PlusSixOne
Geelong
69% 20 points 36.1-0.69
Matter of Stats
Geelong
69% 17 points 33.5-0.69
AFLalytics
Geelong
69% 17 points 33.4-0.68
Fat Stats
Geelong
66% 19 points 35.3-0.55
Live Ladders
Geelong
66% 13 points 29.0-0.54
Squiggle
Geelong
61% 10 points 26.3-0.35
HPN
Geelong
57% 6 points 21.7-0.20

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 16, 2019