Hawthorn v Collingwood
M.C.G.
9.13
67
9.9
63
Match complete
Hawthorn won by 4 points
IN
Lewis
Stratton
Ceglar
Moore
OUT
IN
Quaynor
Elliott
Aish
Varcoe
Reid
Greenwood
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 12.3 | -0.29 |
| Punters | |
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.52 |
 |
|
65% | 12 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.51 |
 |
|
64% | 17 points | ✗ | 20.8 | -0.47 |
 |
|
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.46 |
 |
|
64% | 6 points | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.46 |
 |
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.40 |
 |
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 13.4 | -0.33 |
 |
|
60% | 14 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.32 |
 |
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.25 |
 |
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 10.3 | -0.24 |
 |
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 10.3 | -0.22 |
 |
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.17 |
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.15 |
 |
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 8.0 | -0.15 |
 |
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 6.7 | -0.11 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 4.8 | -0.03 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.