Hawthorn v Collingwood

M.C.G.

67

63

Match complete
Hawthorn won by 4 points

IN
Lewis
Stratton
Ceglar
Moore
OUT
IN
Quaynor
Elliott
Aish
Varcoe
Reid
Greenwood
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Collingwood
59% 8 points 12.3-0.29
Punters
Collingwood
65% 13 points 17.0-0.52
Swinburne
Collingwood
65% 12 points 16.0-0.51
Fat Stats
Collingwood
64% 17 points 20.8-0.47
Stattraction
Collingwood
64% 13 points 17.0-0.46
AFL Lab
Collingwood
64% 6 points 10.0-0.46
The Arc
Collingwood
62% 11 points 15.0-0.40
Matter of Stats
Collingwood
60% 9 points 13.4-0.33
Footy Maths Institute
Collingwood
60% 14 points 18.0-0.32
Massey Ratings
Collingwood
58% 7 points 11.0-0.25
AFLalytics
Collingwood
58% 6 points 10.3-0.24
HPN
Collingwood
57% 6 points 10.3-0.22
Graft
Collingwood
56% 5 points 9.0-0.17
PlusSixOne
Collingwood
55% 5 points 9.0-0.15
Live Ladders
Collingwood
55% 4 points 8.0-0.15
Squiggle
Collingwood
54% 3 points 6.7-0.11
AFL Gains
Collingwood
51% 1 point 4.8-0.03

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 16, 2019