Adelaide v Port Adelaide
Adelaide Oval
5.14
44
15.11
101
Match complete
Port Adelaide won by 57 points
IN
Mackay
Milera
Jenkins
Gibbs
Himmelberg
Davis
OUT
IN
Amon
Powell-Pepper
Rockliff
Howard
Westhoff
Boak
Farrell
Drew
Ladhams
Garner
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 61.5 | -0.15 |
 |
|
70% | 16 points | ✗ | 73.0 | -0.76 |
 |
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 72.0 | -0.64 |
 |
|
65% | 12 points | ✗ | 68.6 | -0.52 |
 |
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 66.0 | -0.28 |
 |
|
57% | 9 points | ✗ | 66.0 | -0.22 |
 |
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 63.0 | -0.22 |
 |
|
57% | 8 points | ✗ | 65.2 | -0.21 |
| Punters | |
56% | 7 points | ✗ | 64.2 | -0.20 |
 |
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 63.0 | -0.19 |
 |
|
56% | 3 points | ✗ | 60.0 | -0.18 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 60.9 | -0.12 |
 |
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 57.7 | -0.05 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 57.9 | -0.03 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 56.0 | 0.03 |
 |
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 50.6 | 0.19 |
 |
|
69% | 18 points | ✓ | 39.3 | 0.47 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.