Adelaide v Fremantle
2019-05-05 16:40:00
Adelaide Oval

7.9

51

5.4

34

Match complete
Adelaide won by 17 points

IN

Gibbs

Poholke

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		71%	21 points	✓	4.1	0.50
		84%	33 points	✓	16.0	0.75
		76%	35 points	✓	18.0	0.60
		76%	28 points	✓	11.0	0.60
		76%	21 points	✓	4.4	0.60
		73%	30 points	✓	13.3	0.55
		73%	22 points	✓	5.0	0.55
		73%	22 points	✓	5.0	0.54
Punters		72%	21 points	✓	4.2	0.52
		71%	21 points	✓	4.4	0.51
		71%	18 points	✓	1.0	0.50
		69%	22 points	✓	4.6	0.46
		69%	19 points	✓	2.0	0.46
		64%	12 points	✓	4.6	0.36
		63%	9 points	✓	8.0	0.34
		63%	13 points	✓	3.6	0.34
		62%	10 points	✓	7.0	0.31

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.