Greater Western Sydney v St Kilda
2019-05-04 13:45:00
Manuka Oval

18.6

114

10.10

70

Match complete
Greater Western Sydney won by 44 points

IN

Cumming

Hately

Kelly

Whitfield

OUT

IN

Marsh

Joyce

Clark

Marshall

Steven

Brown

Longer

Lonie

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		74%	25 points	✓	19.1	0.56
		84%	50 points	✓	5.8	0.75
		80%	28 points	✓	16.2	0.68
		80%	30 points	✓	14.0	0.68
		78%	27 points	✓	17.0	0.65
		77%	33 points	✓	11.5	0.62
		75%	24 points	✓	20.0	0.59
		75%	24 points	✓	20.0	0.59
Punters		75%	25 points	✓	19.0	0.59
		74%	26 points	✓	18.0	0.57
		73%	25 points	✓	19.0	0.55
		73%	31 points	✓	13.0	0.55
		72%	20 points	✓	23.6	0.53
		68%	18 points	✓	26.1	0.45
		68%	14 points	✓	30.0	0.45
		67%	17 points	✓	26.6	0.42
		58%	6 points	✓	37.8	0.22

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.