Brisbane Lions v Sydney
2019-05-04 16:35:00
Gabba

14.19

103

12.9

81

Match complete
Brisbane Lions won by 22 points

IN

Fox

Hayward

Jack

Clarke

Ronke

Rowbottom

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		66%	15 points	✓	6.8	0.40
		79%	28 points	✓	5.9	0.65
		77%	24 points	✓	2.2	0.63
		75%	30 points	✓	8.4	0.59
		75%	25 points	✓	2.8	0.58
		69%	9 points	✓	13.0	0.46
Punters		68%	18 points	✓	4.5	0.44
		67%	21 points	✓	0.9	0.42
		66%	14 points	✓	8.0	0.40
		64%	14 points	✓	8.0	0.35
		63%	10 points	✓	12.0	0.34
		63%	13 points	✓	9.0	0.33
		61%	9 points	✓	13.0	0.29
		58%	7 points	✓	15.0	0.22
		58%	10 points	✓	12.0	0.21
		58%	7 points	✓	15.0	0.20
		54%	4 points	✓	18.0	0.11

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.