Carlton v North Melbourne
2019-05-05 13:10:00
Marvel Stadium

8.14

62

18.12

120

Match complete
North Melbourne won by 58 points

IN

Stocker

Williamson

Phillips

Curnow

Simpson

Kreuzer

Newman

McGovern

OUT

IN

Garner

Williams

Simpkin

Higgins

Hall

McDonald

Hrovat

Davies-Uniacke

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		62%	12 points	✓	46.4	0.30
		77%	31 points	✓	27.0	0.62
		76%	25 points	✓	33.3	0.61
		70%	18 points	✓	40.0	0.49
		69%	20 points	✓	38.0	0.46
		67%	23 points	✓	35.0	0.42
Punters		64%	14 points	✓	44.0	0.35
		63%	11 points	✓	47.0	0.33
		62%	12 points	✓	46.0	0.32
		61%	4 points	✓	54.0	0.30
		59%	9 points	✓	48.6	0.23
		58%	8 points	✓	50.0	0.23
		58%	7 points	✓	51.0	0.21
		55%	3 points	✓	54.6	0.13
		51%	2 points	✓	56.4	0.04
		51%	1 point	✓	57.5	0.01
		52%	2 points	✗	60.0	-0.07

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.