Geelong v Essendon
2019-05-05 15:20:00
M.C.G.

13.8

86

7.12

54

Match complete
Geelong won by 32 points

IN

Clark

Guthrie

Parfitt

Selwood

Tuohy

Constable

OUT

IN

Francis

Langford

Myers

Brown

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		64%	15 points	✓	17.1	0.36
		76%	29 points	✓	3.0	0.61
		76%	34 points	✓	2.0	0.60
		74%	31 points	✓	1.1	0.56
		73%	20 points	✓	12.0	0.55
		72%	14 points	✓	17.5	0.53
		70%	18 points	✓	14.0	0.48
		67%	16 points	✓	16.0	0.42
		65%	16 points	✓	16.3	0.38
		63%	15 points	✓	17.0	0.34
		63%	17 points	✓	15.0	0.33
Punters		59%	10 points	✓	22.0	0.24
		58%	8 points	✓	24.0	0.21
		56%	5 points	✓	27.0	0.16
		53%	2 points	✓	30.0	0.07
		52%	2 points	✓	29.9	0.07
		52%	2 points	✓	30.0	0.06

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.