Western Bulldogs v Richmond
Marvel Stadium
15.9
99
7.10
52
Match complete
Western Bulldogs won by 47 points
IN
Bolton
Menadue
Riewoldt
Astbury
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
67% | 17 points | ✗ | 63.6 | -0.59 |
 |
|
80% | 31 points | ✗ | 78.0 | -1.35 |
 |
|
77% | 26 points | ✗ | 73.0 | -1.10 |
 |
|
76% | 24 points | ✗ | 71.0 | -1.06 |
 |
|
74% | 33 points | ✗ | 80.0 | -0.94 |
 |
|
74% | 25 points | ✗ | 72.0 | -0.94 |
 |
|
72% | 18 points | ✗ | 65.0 | -0.86 |
 |
|
71% | 19 points | ✗ | 66.0 | -0.77 |
 |
|
70% | 21 points | ✗ | 68.0 | -0.76 |
 |
|
69% | 16 points | ✗ | 63.0 | -0.69 |
 |
|
66% | 19 points | ✗ | 65.6 | -0.57 |
| Punters | |
66% | 15 points | ✗ | 61.8 | -0.54 |
 |
|
65% | 7 points | ✗ | 54.0 | -0.51 |
 |
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 55.4 | -0.26 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 48.1 | -0.03 |
 |
|
51% | 3 points | ✗ | 49.9 | -0.02 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 46.3 | 0.02 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.