Greater Western Sydney v Essendon
Sydney Showground
16.16
112
5.10
40
Match complete
Greater Western Sydney won by 72 points
IN
Daniels
Taylor
Perryman
Finlayson
Simpson
Lloyd
Shaw
Ward
Shiel
Lobb
Haynes
Griffen
Langdon
Buntine
OUT
IN
Ridley
McKernan
Ambrose
Fantasia
Bellchambers
Shiel
Hooker
Parish
Goddard
Colyer
Leuenberger
Laverde
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 67.4 | 0.12 |
 |
|
65% | 16 points | ✓ | 56.0 | 0.37 |
 |
|
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 61.0 | 0.34 |
 |
|
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 60.0 | 0.33 |
 |
|
62% | 9 points | ✓ | 63.0 | 0.32 |
 |
|
62% | 16 points | ✓ | 56.0 | 0.31 |
 |
|
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 63.0 | 0.26 |
 |
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 64.0 | 0.22 |
 |
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 65.0 | 0.19 |
 |
|
54% | 2 points | ✓ | 70.0 | 0.11 |
| Punters | |
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 69.0 | 0.10 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 68.8 | 0.08 |
 |
|
52% | 6 points | ✓ | 66.2 | 0.05 |
 |
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 71.9 | 0.02 |
 |
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 76.0 | -0.16 |
 |
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 81.5 | -0.32 |
 |
|
67% | 15 points | ✗ | 86.7 | -0.58 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.