Greater Western Sydney v Essendon

Sydney Showground

112

40

Match complete
Greater Western Sydney won by 72 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Greater Western Sydney
54% 5 points 67.40.12
Greater Western Sydney
65% 16 points 56.00.37
Greater Western Sydney
63% 12 points 60.00.33
Greater Western Sydney
63% 11 points 61.00.34
Greater Western Sydney
62% 16 points 56.00.31
Greater Western Sydney
62% 9 points 63.00.32
Greater Western Sydney
60% 9 points 63.00.26
Greater Western Sydney
58% 8 points 64.00.22
Greater Western Sydney
57% 7 points 65.00.19
Greater Western Sydney
54% 2 points 70.00.11
Punters
Greater Western Sydney
53% 3 points 69.00.10
Greater Western Sydney
53% 3 points 68.80.08
Greater Western Sydney
52% 6 points 66.20.05
Greater Western Sydney
51% 0 points 71.90.02
Essendon
55% 4 points 76.0-0.16
Essendon
60% 10 points 81.5-0.32
Essendon
67% 15 points 86.7-0.58

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 1, 2019