Adelaide v Hawthorn

Adelaide Oval

55

87

Match complete
Hawthorn won by 32 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Adelaide
61% 11 points 43.3-0.37
Punters
Adelaide
74% 23 points 54.7-0.96
Adelaide
73% 18 points 50.4-0.88
Adelaide
68% 27 points 59.0-0.66
Adelaide
67% 20 points 52.5-0.61
Adelaide
67% 18 points 49.8-0.61
Adelaide
63% 14 points 46.0-0.43
Adelaide
63% 12 points 43.8-0.45
Adelaide
63% 11 points 43.0-0.42
Adelaide
62% 10 points 42.0-0.39
Adelaide
62% 9 points 41.0-0.38
Adelaide
58% 11 points 43.0-0.25
Adelaide
58% 9 points 41.0-0.26
Adelaide
57% 5 points 36.9-0.20
Hawthorn
50% 1 point 31.00.01
Hawthorn
53% 2 points 30.00.08
Hawthorn
53% 3 points 29.00.07

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 1, 2019