Adelaide v Hawthorn
Adelaide Oval
7.13
55
12.15
87
Match complete
Hawthorn won by 32 points
IN
Jones
Murphy
Doedee
Crouch
Smith
Talia
Walker
Sloane
Greenwood
Brown
Seedsman
Otten
McGovern
Ellis-Yolmen
Gallucci
Himmelberg
OUT
IN
Scrimshaw
Cousins
Ceglar
Stratton
O'Meara
Mitchell
Howe
Burton
Duryea
Schoenmakers
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 43.3 | -0.37 |
| Punters | |
74% | 23 points | ✗ | 54.7 | -0.96 |
 |
|
73% | 18 points | ✗ | 50.4 | -0.88 |
 |
|
68% | 27 points | ✗ | 59.0 | -0.66 |
 |
|
67% | 18 points | ✗ | 49.8 | -0.61 |
 |
|
67% | 20 points | ✗ | 52.5 | -0.61 |
 |
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 43.8 | -0.45 |
 |
|
63% | 14 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -0.43 |
 |
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.42 |
 |
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 42.0 | -0.39 |
 |
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.38 |
 |
|
58% | 9 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.26 |
 |
|
58% | 11 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.25 |
 |
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 36.9 | -0.20 |
 |
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 31.0 | 0.01 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 29.0 | 0.07 |
 |
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 30.0 | 0.08 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.