Brisbane Lions v West Coast

Gabba

102

58

Match complete
Brisbane Lions won by 44 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
West Coast
59% 9 points 53.2-0.29
West Coast
79% 25 points 68.8-1.25
West Coast
72% 24 points 68.0-0.84
West Coast
72% 23 points 67.0-0.81
West Coast
70% 17 points 61.0-0.72
West Coast
67% 17 points 61.0-0.58
West Coast
65% 20 points 64.0-0.51
West Coast
62% 10 points 54.0-0.38
West Coast
61% 10 points 54.0-0.35
West Coast
61% 6 points 50.0-0.36
West Coast
60% 9 points 53.0-0.34
Punters
West Coast
56% 5 points 49.2-0.17
West Coast
52% 3 points 46.7-0.07
West Coast
50% 2 points 46.0-0.00
Brisbane Lions
56% 6 points 38.10.18
Brisbane Lions
59% 5 points 39.40.24
Brisbane Lions
64% 13 points 31.30.37

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 1, 2019