Melbourne v Port Adelaide

M.C.G.
9.7
61
12.15
87

Match complete
Port Adelaide won by 26 points

IN
Wagner
Hore
Sparrow
Fritsch
Hunt
Lewis
Tyson
Hannan
vandenBerg
Smith
OUT
IN
Drew
Rozee
Duursma
Butters
Marshall
Bonner
Amon
Lycett
Clurey
Burton
Rockliff
Wines
Wingard
Polec
Gray
Howard
Pittard
Hombsch
Neade
Lienert
Farrell
Frampton
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Melbourne
73% 25 points 50.6-0.90
Fat Stats
Melbourne
85% 49 points 74.7-1.70
HPN
Melbourne
83% 34 points 60.0-1.55
Punters
Melbourne
80% 33 points 58.7-1.30
AFLalytics
Melbourne
78% 29 points 54.9-1.19
Matter of Stats
Melbourne
75% 22 points 48.0-1.02
Stattraction
Melbourne
75% 29 points 55.0-1.01
The Arc
Melbourne
75% 23 points 49.0-0.98
Footy Maths Institute
Melbourne
73% 31 points 57.0-0.89
Swinburne
Melbourne
73% 25 points 51.0-0.89
Massey Ratings
Melbourne
73% 19 points 45.0-0.87
Live Ladders
Melbourne
72% 20 points 46.0-0.82
Graft
Melbourne
71% 20 points 46.0-0.80
Squiggle
Melbourne
69% 27 points 53.3-0.67
AFL Lab
Melbourne
68% 12 points 38.0-0.66
PlusSixOne
Melbourne
62% 13 points 39.0-0.40
AFL Gains
Melbourne
61% 8 points 34.4-0.36

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 1, 2019