Melbourne v Port Adelaide

M.C.G.

61

87

Match complete
Port Adelaide won by 26 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Melbourne
73% 25 points 50.6-0.90
Melbourne
85% 49 points 74.7-1.70
Melbourne
83% 34 points 60.0-1.55
Punters
Melbourne
80% 33 points 58.7-1.30
Melbourne
78% 29 points 54.9-1.19
Melbourne
75% 29 points 55.0-1.01
Melbourne
75% 23 points 49.0-0.98
Melbourne
75% 22 points 48.0-1.02
Melbourne
73% 31 points 57.0-0.89
Melbourne
73% 25 points 51.0-0.89
Melbourne
73% 19 points 45.0-0.87
Melbourne
72% 20 points 46.0-0.82
Melbourne
71% 20 points 46.0-0.80
Melbourne
69% 27 points 53.3-0.67
Melbourne
68% 12 points 38.0-0.66
Melbourne
62% 13 points 39.0-0.40
Melbourne
61% 8 points 34.4-0.36

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 1, 2019