Collingwood v Geelong

M.C.G.

65

72

Match complete
Geelong won by 7 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Collingwood
56% 6 points 12.8-0.20
Collingwood
69% 18 points 24.8-0.67
Collingwood
69% 15 points 21.6-0.69
Collingwood
68% 14 points 21.0-0.63
Collingwood
67% 20 points 27.2-0.60
Punters
Collingwood
63% 12 points 19.3-0.44
Collingwood
61% 10 points 16.5-0.35
Collingwood
61% 8 points 15.3-0.35
Collingwood
57% 6 points 13.0-0.23
Collingwood
56% 11 points 18.2-0.20
Collingwood
55% 4 points 11.0-0.15
Collingwood
54% 4 points 11.0-0.12
Geelong
52% 2 points 5.00.07
Geelong
54% 6 points 1.00.11
Geelong
56% 6 points 1.00.17
Geelong
56% 7 points 0.00.16
Geelong
59% 8 points 1.00.23

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 1, 2019