Collingwood v Geelong
M.C.G.
9.11
65
10.12
72
Match complete
Geelong won by 7 points
IN
Brown
Elliott
Moore
Roughead
Beams
Adams
Hoskin-Elliott
Goldsack
Greenwood
Sier
OUT
IN
Atkins
Constable
Miers
Clark
Ratugolea
Rohan
Stanley
Dahlhaus
Tuohy
Menzel
Henderson
Murdoch
Guthrie
Bews
Selwood
Abbott
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 56% | 6 points | ✗ | 12.8 | -0.20 | |
69% | 15 points | ✗ | 21.6 | -0.69 | ||
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 24.8 | -0.67 | ||
68% | 14 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.63 | ||
67% | 20 points | ✗ | 27.2 | -0.60 | ||
Punters | 63% | 12 points | ✗ | 19.3 | -0.44 | |
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 15.3 | -0.35 | ||
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 16.5 | -0.35 | ||
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.23 | ||
56% | 11 points | ✗ | 18.2 | -0.20 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.15 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.12 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.07 | ||
54% | 6 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.11 | ||
56% | 7 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.16 | ||
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.17 | ||
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.23 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.