Collingwood v Geelong

M.C.G.
9.11
65
10.12
72

Match complete
Geelong won by 7 points

IN
Brown
Elliott
Moore
Roughead
Beams
Adams
Hoskin-Elliott
Goldsack
Greenwood
Sier
OUT
IN
Atkins
Constable
Miers
Clark
Ratugolea
Rohan
Stanley
Dahlhaus
Tuohy
Menzel
Henderson
Murdoch
Guthrie
Bews
Selwood
Abbott
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Collingwood
56% 6 points 12.8-0.20
Matter of Stats
Collingwood
69% 15 points 21.6-0.69
AFLalytics
Collingwood
69% 18 points 24.8-0.67
Massey Ratings
Collingwood
68% 14 points 21.0-0.63
Fat Stats
Collingwood
67% 20 points 27.2-0.60
Punters
Collingwood
63% 12 points 19.3-0.44
AFL Gains
Collingwood
61% 8 points 15.3-0.35
HPN
Collingwood
61% 10 points 16.5-0.35
The Arc
Collingwood
57% 6 points 13.0-0.23
Squiggle
Collingwood
56% 11 points 18.2-0.20
Live Ladders
Collingwood
55% 4 points 11.0-0.15
Swinburne
Collingwood
54% 4 points 11.0-0.12
PlusSixOne
Geelong
52% 2 points 5.00.07
Footy Maths Institute
Geelong
54% 6 points 1.00.11
AFL Lab
Geelong
56% 7 points 0.00.16
Graft
Geelong
56% 6 points 1.00.17
Stattraction
Geelong
59% 8 points 1.00.23

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 1, 2019