St Kilda v Gold Coast
Marvel Stadium
13.7
85
13.6
84
Match complete
St Kilda won by 1 point
IN
Wilkie
Parker
Joyce
Battle
Kent
Bruce
Savage
Dunstan
Carlisle
Acres
Gilbert
Armitage
Marshall
Austin
Rice
Paton
OUT
IN
Collins
Burgess
Lukosius
Powell
Miles
MacPherson
Ballard
Horlin-Smith
Hanley
Hombsch
Ainsworth
Wright
Murdoch
Martin
Lyons
May
Joyce
Young
Holman
Ah Chee
Rischitelli
Lemmens
Leslie
Barlow
Scheer
Crossley
Schoenfeld
Heron
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
74% | 25 points | ✓ | 24.0 | 0.56 |
 |
|
85% | 41 points | ✓ | 40.0 | 0.77 |
 |
|
83% | 33 points | ✓ | 32.1 | 0.73 |
 |
|
81% | 49 points | ✓ | 48.1 | 0.70 |
 |
|
79% | 29 points | ✓ | 28.0 | 0.67 |
 |
|
77% | 37 points | ✓ | 36.0 | 0.62 |
 |
|
76% | 13 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.60 |
| Punters | |
76% | 27 points | ✓ | 25.5 | 0.60 |
 |
|
75% | 23 points | ✓ | 21.6 | 0.59 |
 |
|
75% | 23 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.58 |
 |
|
74% | 30 points | ✓ | 29.2 | 0.57 |
 |
|
74% | 20 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.57 |
 |
|
74% | 27 points | ✓ | 26.0 | 0.57 |
 |
|
73% | 22 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.55 |
 |
|
70% | 18 points | ✓ | 17.2 | 0.48 |
 |
|
66% | 17 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.39 |
 |
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 9.2 | -0.35 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.