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Eras

Posted on May 16, 2017May 16, 2017 by Max Barry

Matter of Stats has a pretty table in this week’s wrap-up showing the #1 ranked team after every round since 1990:

The Crows, after their second successive loss – the latest one to the Dees – have surrendered their number 1 ranking on both MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS. That spot has been taken by their cross-town rivals, Port Adelaide.

Source: 2017 – Team Ratings After Round 8 — Matter of Stats

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Wins % Range
1
Collingwood 17.5 134%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1
2
Geelong 16.0 133%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2
3
Brisbane Lions 15.2 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3–5
4
Western Bulldogs 14.7 135%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3–6
5
Gold Coast 14.8 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
4–6
6
Adelaide 14.4 126%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3–6
7
Hawthorn 13.2 111%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
7–9
8
Fremantle 13.1 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
7–9
9
GWS 12.9 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
8
10
Carlton 10.5 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
10–11
11
Sydney 10.3 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
10–13
12
Melbourne 10.4 92%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–13
13
Essendon 10.2 82%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
12–13
14
St Kilda 9.0 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
14–15
15
Port Adelaide 8.9 83%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
14–15
16
North Melbourne 5.9 76%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
16–17
17
Richmond 5.8 69%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
16–17
18
West Coast 4.2 68%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
18

After 5 games of Round 12, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
Collingwood 10 2 – 136.9%
+7.5
1
2
Brisbane Lions 9 2 1 114.0%
+5.7
3
3
Adelaide 8 4 – 139.3%
+6.4
6
4
Gold Coast 8∗ 3 – 127.8%
+6.8
5
5
Geelong 7∗ 4 – 122.0%
+9.0
2
6
Hawthorn 7 5 – 110.2%
+6.2
7
7
GWS 7 5 – 109.4%
+5.9
9
8
Fremantle 7 5 – 106.4%
+6.1
8
9
Western Bulldogs 6∗ 5 – 126.5%
+8.7
4
10
Essendon 6∗ 5 – 84.6%
+4.2
13
11
Melbourne 5∗ 6 – 89.3%
+5.4
12
12
Carlton 4∗ 7 – 102.8%
+6.5
10
13
St Kilda 4∗ 7 – 89.8%
+5.0
14
14
Sydney 4 8 – 85.7%
+6.3
11
15
Port Adelaide 4∗ 7 – 79.1%
+4.9
15
16
Richmond 3 9 – 71.1%
+2.8
17
17
North Melbourne 2∗ 8 1 78.1%
+3.4
16
18
West Coast 1∗ 10 – 64.6%
+3.2
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6 6 6 6 4

78 16.84 27.79 75.7%
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 8 6 6 3

77 17.04 27.47 74.8%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7 6 6 6 3

76 17.84 27.51 73.8%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6 8 5 6 4

76 17.21 28.05 73.8%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 6 6 6 4

76 16.31 27.73 73.8%
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 5 5 4

76 16.12 28.30 73.8%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7 6 6 6 3

75 17.75 27.65 72.8%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7 6 5 6 4

75 16.33 27.72 72.8%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7 5 6 5 4

75 15.77 28.90 72.8%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6 7 6 7 4

75 15.23 28.05 72.8%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6 6 5 6 4

74 19.06 27.14 71.8%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7 6 6 6 3

74 16.33 27.56 71.8%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7 7 6 6 4

73 18.18 27.10 70.9%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 4

73 14.96 28.45 70.9%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8 6 5 6 4

73 14.41 29.45 70.9%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 6 5 4

73 13.14 27.84 70.9%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8 7 5 5 3

72 16.14 28.11 69.9%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6 6 6 6 3

71 16.12 27.31 68.9%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6 6 4 6 3

71 15.41 28.48 68.9%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7 6 5 5 3

71 13.58 28.79 68.9%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7 5 5 7 2

71 13.34 29.22 68.9%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8 6 5 6 4

70 9.22 30.21 68.0%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6 6 5 5 4

68 12.33 29.48 66.0%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7 6 4 5 3

67 12.64 28.73 65.0%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 6 5 5 3

66 12.14 28.96 64.1%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7 5 3 7 3

66 11.48 29.91 64.1%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8 5 3 6 3

65 7.80 30.03 63.1%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6 5 5 1

59 11.11 28.07†13 65.6%

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