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Ouch

Posted on May 18, 2017May 19, 2017 by Max Barry

Richmond has given up the lead with the final score of the game on 11 occasions in the past decade. pic.twitter.com/EUmYsGa4YM

— InsightLane (@insightlane) May 15, 2017

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Wins % Range
1
 Collingwood 17.1 131%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Geelong 15.9 132%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–3
3
 Western Bulldogs 14.9 135%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–6
4
 Gold Coast 15.2 122%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–4
5
 Brisbane Lions 14.7 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–7
6
 Adelaide 14.0 121%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–7
7
 Hawthorn 13.9 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–7
8
 GWS 12.6 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–11
9
 Fremantle 12.4 105%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–10
10
 Sydney 11.6 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–10
11
 Carlton 10.9 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–11
12
 Essendon 10.1 81%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12
13
 St Kilda 9.4 90%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–15
14
 Melbourne 9.3 86%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14
15
 Port Adelaide 8.9 83%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–15
16
 North Melbourne 6.0 77%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
17
 Richmond 5.7 68%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
18
 West Coast 4.3 69%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 6 games of Round 11, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Collingwood 9 2 – 132.9%
+8.1
1
2
 Brisbane Lions 8 2 1 113.1%
+6.2
5
3
 Gold Coast 7∗ 2 – 132.0%
+8.2
4
4
 Geelong 7 4 – 122.0%
+8.9
2
5
 Hawthorn 7 4 – 117.4%
+6.9
7
6
 Western Bulldogs 6 5 – 126.5%
+8.9
3
7
 Adelaide 6∗ 4 – 124.7%
+8.0
6
8
 GWS 6 5 – 109.9%
+6.6
8
9
 Fremantle 6 5 – 105.6%
+6.4
9
10
 Essendon 6∗ 4 – 85.0%
+4.1
12
11
 Carlton 4 7 – 102.8%
+6.9
11
12
 Sydney 4∗ 6 – 98.7%
+7.6
10
13
 St Kilda 4∗ 6 – 91.0%
+5.4
13
14
 Melbourne 4∗ 6 – 82.6%
+5.3
14
15
 Port Adelaide 4 7 – 79.1%
+4.9
15
16
 Richmond 3 8 – 69.2%
+2.7
17
17
 North Melbourne 2 8 1 78.1%
+3.5
16
18
 West Coast 1∗ 9 – 66.6%
+3.3
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 8 6 4

72 15.17 26.56 75.8%
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6 6 6 4

72 14.59 26.96 75.8%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7 6 6 4

71 15.72 26.63 74.7%
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 5 4

71 14.71 27.46 74.7%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7 6 6 4

70 15.82 26.72 73.7%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6 8 5 4

70 15.18 27.28 73.7%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 6 6 4

70 14.12 26.93 73.7%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7 6 6 4

69 14.54 26.62 72.6%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7 6 5 4

69 14.08 26.94 72.6%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7 5 6 3

69 13.13 28.08 72.6%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6 6 5 4

68 16.80 26.27 71.6%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6 7 6 4

68 12.41 27.30 71.6%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7 7 6 4

67 15.53 26.38 70.5%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8 7 5 3

67 14.02 27.42 70.5%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6 6 6 4

67 12.32 27.85 70.5%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8 6 5 4

67 12.04 28.68 70.5%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7 5 5 5

67 11.34 28.19 70.5%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 6 3

67 10.58 27.05 70.5%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6 6 6 4

66 14.11 26.43 69.5%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6 6 4 4

66 13.49 27.66 69.5%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7 6 5 3

66 11.98 28.02 69.5%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8 6 5 4

64 6.43 29.90 67.4%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7 6 4 3

62 10.94 28.09 65.3%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6 6 5 3

62 10.13 28.73 65.3%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 6 5 3

61 10.40 28.35 64.2%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7 5 3 5

61 9.47 29.21 64.2%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8 5 3 4

60 6.60 29.54 63.2%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6 5 5 1

59 11.11 28.07†5 65.6%

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