What does it look like if you run 10,000 simulations and count how many times each team winds up in each position? This!
At this stage, there’s still lots of uncertainty, so teams are mostly long slashes, capable of finishing in many different positions. As the weeks go by, they tend to flatten out.
Adelaide are already settled in the top 4, though, the squiggle reckons, and Brisbane are very likely for the spoon.
Gold Coast and Freo evacuating those bottom rungs opened up a lot of space for other teams to fall into. That chute opening for Hawthorn all the way down to 17th is kind of terrifying.