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Tag: aflalytics

Welcome AFLalytics!

Posted on January 11, 2019January 11, 2019

Our first new entry for 2019 is AFLalytics, who started publishing articles last year and is now up and running with a Brownian Motion-inspired Elo model.

AFLalytics also has some very nifty visualizations and apps, which are definitely worth your time during an off-season filled with stupid non-football sports.

Wins % Range
1
Collingwood 17.9 137%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1
2
Geelong 16.5 135%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2
3
Adelaide 15.2 130%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3–5
4
Brisbane Lions 15.0 109%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
4
5
Western Bulldogs 14.4 133%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3–6
6
Gold Coast 14.6 119%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
5–6
7
Hawthorn 13.4 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
7–8
8
Fremantle 13.2 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
7–9
9
GWS 12.6 105%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
8–9
10
Carlton 10.5 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
10
11
Sydney 9.8 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11
12
Essendon 10.1 82%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
12–14
13
Melbourne 9.8 90%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
12–13
14
St Kilda 9.5 91%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
12–14
15
Port Adelaide 9.2 84%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
15
16
North Melbourne 6.0 76%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
16–17
17
Richmond 5.6 70%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
16–17
18
West Coast 3.9 67%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
18

After 4 games of Round 13, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
Collingwood 10∗ 2 – 136.9%
+7.9
1
2
Brisbane Lions 9 3 1 112.6%
+5.5
4
3
Adelaide 9 4 – 137.2%
+6.2
3
4
Geelong 9 4 – 126.2%
+7.5
2
5
Gold Coast 8∗ 4 – 123.2%
+6.6
6
6
Hawthorn 8 5 – 111.8%
+5.4
7
7
GWS 7∗ 5 – 109.4%
+5.6
9
8
Fremantle 7∗ 5 – 106.4%
+6.2
8
9
Western Bulldogs 6∗ 6 – 122.1%
+8.4
5
10
Essendon 6∗ 5 – 84.6%
+4.1
12
11
St Kilda 5∗ 7 – 93.1%
+4.5
14
12
Sydney 5 8 – 90.1%
+4.8
11
13
Melbourne 5∗ 7 – 87.6%
+4.8
13
14
Carlton 4∗ 7 – 102.8%
+6.5
10
15
Port Adelaide 4∗ 7 – 79.1%
+5.2
15
16
Richmond 3 10 – 69.4%
+2.6
17
17
North Melbourne 2∗ 8 1 78.1%
+3.5
16
18
West Coast 1∗ 11 – 64.5%
+2.9
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6 6 6 6 5 3

82 17.50 27.52 75.2%
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 8 6 6 4 3

81 17.31 27.28 74.3%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7 6 6 6 4 3

80 18.64 27.18 73.4%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6 8 5 6 5 3

80 18.48 27.72 73.4%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 6 6 6 5 3

80 17.36 27.31 73.4%
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 5 5 5 3

80 17.09 27.96 73.4%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7 6 6 6 4 3

79 18.54 27.22 72.5%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7 6 5 6 5 3

79 17.56 27.23 72.5%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7 5 6 5 5 3

79 16.10 28.77 72.5%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6 7 6 7 5 3

79 15.75 27.70 72.5%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6 6 5 6 5 3

78 19.82 26.84 71.6%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7 6 6 6 4 3

78 16.97 27.38 71.6%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8 6 5 6 6 3

78 16.14 28.87 71.6%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7 7 6 6 5 3

77 18.66 26.88 70.6%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 3

77 15.93 28.05 70.6%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 3

77 14.43 27.31 70.6%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8 7 5 5 4 3

76 17.21 27.58 69.7%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6 6 6 6 4 3

75 17.04 27.07 68.8%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6 6 4 6 4 3

75 16.05 28.24 68.8%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7 6 5 5 4 3

75 14.86 28.18 68.8%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7 5 5 7 3 2

74 14.61 28.48 67.9%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8 6 5 6 5 3

74 10.11 29.78 67.9%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6 5 5 6 5 3

72 16.40 27.89 66.1%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6 6 5 5 5 3

72 13.52 29.10 66.1%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7 6 4 5 4 2

70 13.95 28.17 64.2%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 6 5 5 4 3

70 12.77 28.76 64.2%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7 5 3 7 4 2

69 12.43 29.32 63.3%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8 5 3 6 4 3

69 8.39 29.73 63.3%

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