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Tag: aflalytics

Welcome AFLalytics!

Posted on January 11, 2019January 11, 2019

Our first new entry for 2019 is AFLalytics, who started publishing articles last year and is now up and running with a Brownian Motion-inspired Elo model.

AFLalytics also has some very nifty visualizations and apps, which are definitely worth your time during an off-season filled with stupid non-football sports.

Wins % Range
1
Sydney 17.6 137%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1–2
2
Fremantle 17.0 125%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1–3
3
Geelong 15.8 126%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2–3
4
Hawthorn 15.0 117%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
4
5
Brisbane Lions 13.9 116%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
5–7
6
Gold Coast 13.6 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
5–8
7
Adelaide 13.5 111%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
5–8
8
Melbourne 13.5 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
6–8
9
Collingwood 12.0 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
9–11
10
Western Bulldogs 11.9 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
9–11
11
St Kilda 11.4 105%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
9–11
12
GWS 9.7 92%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
12–13
13
Port Adelaide 9.0 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
12–14
14
North Melbourne 9.1 92%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
13–15
15
Carlton 8.1 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
14–16
16
West Coast 6.7 69%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
15–16
17
Essendon 5.3 75%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
17
18
Richmond 3.9 63%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
18

After Round 10, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
Sydney 9 1 – 152.2%
+8.6
1
2
Fremantle 9 1 – 134.9%
+8.0
2
3
Geelong 7 3 – 123.5%
+8.8
3
4
Gold Coast 7 3 – 119.9%
+6.6
6
5
Melbourne 7 3 – 107.6%
+6.5
8
6
Hawthorn 6 3 1 110.2%
+8.5
4
7
Brisbane Lions 6 4 – 116.6%
+7.9
5
8
Adelaide 6 4 – 109.7%
+7.5
7
9
St Kilda 5 5 – 112.8%
+6.4
11
10
Western Bulldogs 5 5 – 91.7%
+6.9
10
11
Collingwood 4 5 1 99.1%
+7.5
9
12
North Melbourne 4 6 – 96.7%
+5.1
14
13
GWS 4 6 – 90.1%
+5.7
12
14
Port Adelaide 3 7 – 105.2%
+6.0
13
15
West Coast 3 7 – 64.2%
+3.7
16
16
Carlton 2 8 – 81.8%
+6.1
15
17
Essendon 1 9 – 70.6%
+4.3
17
18
Richmond 1 9 – 60.9%
+2.9
18

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5

73 24.9833 24.98 24.5583 24.56 81.1111 81.1%
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5

72 25.0416 25.04 25.9116 25.91 80.0000 80.0%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7 8 9 5

70 25.0044 25.00 25.8078 25.81 77.7778 77.8%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7 8 8 5

70 22.7337 22.73 26.2649 26.26 77.7778 77.8%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8 7 7 5

70 16.3767 16.38 25.9390 25.94 77.7778 77.8%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5

69 25.5700 25.57 25.4788 25.48 76.6667 76.7%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8 7 9 5

69 23.9527 23.95 26.7778 26.78 76.6667 76.7%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 9 5

69 23.0995 23.10 25.9209 25.92 76.6667 76.7%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 8 9 5

69 18.3928 18.39 26.6444 26.64 76.6667 76.7%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8 8 7 5

68 25.7117 25.71 26.5858 26.59 75.5556 75.6%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 8 5

68 25.1631 25.16 26.2524 26.25 75.5556 75.6%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 7 8 5

68 23.9265 23.93 26.2118 26.21 75.5556 75.6%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8 7 7 6

68 22.2272 22.23 26.1913 26.19 75.5556 75.6%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7 7 8 5

67 22.4018 22.40 26.4731 26.47 74.4444 74.4%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7 7 9 5

67 22.1761 22.18 27.8222 27.82 74.4444 74.4%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7 6 9 5

67 21.5898 21.59 26.7034 26.70 74.4444 74.4%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 6 6

67 21.3059 21.31 26.5016 26.50 74.4444 74.4%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 8 5

66 21.2905 21.29 27.5962 27.60 73.3333 73.3%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7 7 8 5

66 20.7475 20.75 26.3756 26.38 73.3333 73.3%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 7 8 5

64 22.8569 22.86 25.8578 25.86 71.1111 71.1%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8 7 7 5

64 22.6842 22.68 27.3149 27.31 71.1111 71.1%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7 7 9 5

64 22.1286 22.13 26.5047 26.50 71.1111 71.1%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7 8 7 5

64 21.4586 21.46 27.1667 27.17 71.1111 71.1%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 6 7 5

64 20.8724 20.87 26.8889 26.89 71.1111 71.1%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 9 5

64 20.4207 20.42 28.8222 28.82 71.1111 71.1%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 8 5

63 18.4143 18.41 26.7578 26.76 70.0000 70.0%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 6 7 5

62 18.8282 18.83 26.9048 26.90 68.8889 68.9%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 7 5

62 17.9008 17.90 26.8700 26.87 68.8889 68.9%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 9 5

60 17.0750 17.07 27.1444 27.14 66.6667 66.7%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5 8 7 7 9 5

58 16.1254 16.13 27.4568 27.46 †9 71.6049 71.6%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5 8 8 7 9 5

48 18.6722 18.67 28.0846 28.08 †25 73.8462 73.8%

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