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Tag: aflalytics

Welcome AFLalytics!

Posted on January 11, 2019January 11, 2019

Our first new entry for 2019 is AFLalytics, who started publishing articles last year and is now up and running with a Brownian Motion-inspired Elo model.

AFLalytics also has some very nifty visualizations and apps, which are definitely worth your time during an off-season filled with stupid non-football sports.

Wins % Range
1
Western Bulldogs 15.8 125%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1–4
2
Brisbane Lions 14.8 123%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1–8
3
Gold Coast 14.5 119%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2–9
4
Geelong 14.2 117%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2–7
5
GWS 13.8 112%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1–10
6
Adelaide 13.7 113%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1–10
7
Collingwood 13.7 111%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3–7
8
Hawthorn 13.5 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1–10
9
Sydney 12.7 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
4–10
10
Fremantle 12.4 105%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
4–10
11
Melbourne 10.3 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–15
12
St Kilda 10.0 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–14
13
Port Adelaide 9.8 90%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–15
14
Carlton 9.3 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
12–15
15
North Melbourne 8.2 83%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
13–16
16
Essendon 7.3 79%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
14–17
17
Richmond 6.8 75%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
15–18
18
West Coast 6.0 72%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
17–18

After Round 0, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
Sydney 1 – – 191.3%
+11.7
9
2
Gold Coast 1 – – 181.2%
+13.5
3
3
GWS 1 – – 128.4%
+12.8
5
4
Collingwood 1 – – 118.2%
+12.7
7
5
Western Bulldogs 1 – – 104.7%
+14.8
1
6
Brisbane Lions – 1 – 95.5%
+14.8
2
7
St Kilda – 1 – 84.6%
+10.0
12
8
Hawthorn – 1 – 77.9%
+13.5
8
9
Geelong – 1 – 55.2%
+14.2
4
10
Carlton – 1 – 52.3%
+9.3
14
11
Adelaide –∗ – –
+13.7
6
12
Essendon –∗ – –
+7.3
16
13
Fremantle –∗ – –
+12.4
10
14
Melbourne –∗ – –
+10.3
11
15
North Melbourne –∗ – –
+8.2
15
16
Port Adelaide –∗ – –
+9.8
13
17
Richmond –∗ – –
+6.8
17
18
West Coast –∗ – –
+6.0
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
HBin

4

4 0.5512 0.55 29.2800 29.28 80.0000 80.0%
AFLalytics

4

4 0.4215 0.42 28.7740 28.77 80.0000 80.0%
Holy Grail Ratings

4

4 0.2416 0.24 32.0700 32.07 80.0000 80.0%
Graft

3

3 0.7828 0.78 31.8000 31.80 60.0000 60.0%
What Snoo Thinks

3

3 0.7625 0.76 28.3340 28.33 60.0000 60.0%
Matter of Stats

3

3 0.4188 0.42 30.3260 30.33 60.0000 60.0%
Elo Predicts!

3

3 0.1959 0.20 32.8000 32.80 60.0000 60.0%
footycharts

3

3 0.1467 0.15 30.8780 30.88 60.0000 60.0%
AFL Scorigami

3

3 0.0736 0.07 32.0600 32.06 60.0000 60.0%
Cheap Stats

3

3 0.0669 0.07 29.8000 29.80 60.0000 60.0%
Glicko Ratings

3

3 0.0522 0.05 31.4860 31.49 60.0000 60.0%
Drop Kick Data

3

3 0.0335 0.03 30.8980 30.90 60.0000 60.0%
Hyperion

3

3 -0.1827 -0.18 30.8000 30.80 60.0000 60.0%
Wheelo Ratings

3

3 -0.6078 -0.61 34.5800 34.58 60.0000 60.0%
The Cruncher

2

2 0.3243 0.32 29.9180 29.92 40.0000 40.0%
Stattraction

2

2 0.2274 0.23 33.4520 33.45 40.0000 40.0%
The Wooden Finger

2

2 0.1510 0.15 33.2000 33.20 40.0000 40.0%
Aggregate

2

2 0.0787 0.08 31.5560 31.56 40.0000 40.0%
Don't Blame the Data

2

2 0.0578 0.06 33.9360 33.94 40.0000 40.0%
Live Ladders

2

2 0.0441 0.04 31.4000 31.40 40.0000 40.0%
PlusSixOne

2

2 0.0371 0.04 33.1400 33.14 40.0000 40.0%
s10

2

2 -0.0373 -0.04 31.6380 31.64 40.0000 40.0%
Massey Ratings

2

2 -0.0457 -0.05 32.3000 32.30 40.0000 40.0%
The Footycast

2

2 -0.0908 -0.09 36.6600 36.66 40.0000 40.0%
Informed Stats

2

2 -0.2825 -0.28 38.2000 38.20 40.0000 40.0%
Punters

2

2 -0.4076 -0.41 31.9520 31.95 40.0000 40.0%
AFL Lab

2

2 -0.5069 -0.51 36.7860 36.79 40.0000 40.0%
In The Game

2

2 -0.6548 -0.65 33.0320 33.03 40.0000 40.0%
ZaphBot

2

2 -0.9323 -0.93 42.2000 42.20 40.0000 40.0%
Squiggle

1

1 -0.3633 -0.36 34.6840 34.68 20.0000 20.0%
Winnable

1

1 -1.0017 -1.00 36.9340 36.93 20.0000 20.0%

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Friends of Squiggle

  • Live Ladders
  • Matter of Stats
  • HPN
  • FMI
  • Wheelo Ratings
  • AFLalytics
  • AFL Lab
  • PlusSixOne
  • Graft
  • Massey Ratings
  • ZaphBot
  • Glicko Ratings
  • Cheap Stats
  • Figuring Footy
  • The Footycast
  • AFL Scorigami
  • Data by Josh
  • Elo Predicts!
  • Stattraction
  • The Wooden Finger
  • Drop Kick Data
  • Hyperion
  • footycharts
  • Winnable
  • What Snoo Thinks
  • Informed Stats
  • HBin
  • Holy Grail Ratings
  • In The Game
  • The Flag
  • The Arc
  • Figuring Footy
  • BigFooty

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