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Squiggle Football – out August 14

Posted on August 7, 2025August 7, 2025 by Max Barry

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Wins % Range
1
 Western Bulldogs 17.0 131%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–2
2
 Gold Coast 15.4 126%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–6
3
 Hawthorn 15.1 123%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–7
4
 Geelong 14.4 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–7
5
 Adelaide 14.2 117%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–9
6
 Brisbane Lions 13.5 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–9
7
 Sydney 13.2 113%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–10
8
 Fremantle 13.2 113%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–10
9
 Collingwood 12.8 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–10
10
 GWS 12.0 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–10
11
 St Kilda 10.4 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–14
12
 Melbourne 10.2 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–16
13
 Port Adelaide 9.4 90%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–14
14
 Carlton 9.3 86%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–15
15
 North Melbourne 8.3 85%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14–15
16
 West Coast 6.9 76%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15–18
17
 Richmond 5.7 72%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17–18
18
 Essendon 5.6 70%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–18

After Round 2, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Gold Coast 3 – – 191.0%
+12.4
2
2
 Western Bulldogs 3 – – 137.2%
+14.0
1
3
 Sydney 2 1 – 139.5%
+11.2
7
4
 Hawthorn 2 1 – 118.1%
+13.1
3
5
 Fremantle 1∗ 1 – 121.1%
+12.2
8
6
 North Melbourne 1∗ 1 – 116.3%
+7.3
15
7
 Port Adelaide 1∗ 1 – 109.3%
+8.4
13
8
 Adelaide 1∗ 1 – 104.6%
+13.2
5
9
 Collingwood 1∗ 1 – 98.7%
+11.8
9
10
 St Kilda 1 2 – 92.3%
+9.4
11
11
 Melbourne 1∗ 1 – 84.4%
+9.2
12
12
 West Coast 1∗ 1 – 81.3%
+5.9
16
13
 GWS 1 2 – 81.1%
+11.0
10
14
 Geelong 1∗ 1 – 79.6%
+13.4
4
15
 Carlton 1∗ 1 – 70.9%
+8.3
14
16
 Brisbane Lions –∗ 2 – 77.2%
+13.5
6
17
 Richmond –∗ 2 – 64.5%
+5.7
17
18
 Essendon –∗ 2 – 55.0%
+5.6
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5

17 2.9470 2.95 27.1829 27.18 80.9524 81.0%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5

16 5.1092 5.11 26.2790 26.28 76.1905 76.2%
AFLalytics

4 7 5

16 4.9266 4.93 26.5310 26.53 76.1905 76.2%
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6

16 4.4149 4.41 25.7714 25.77 76.1905 76.2%
HBin

4 7 5

16 4.2512 4.25 27.8286 27.83 76.1905 76.2%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5

15 5.0876 5.09 27.3795 27.38 71.4286 71.4%
s10

2 8 5

15 4.8090 4.81 27.1419 27.14 71.4286 71.4%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5

15 4.7046 4.70 27.8257 27.83 71.4286 71.4%
footycharts

3 7 5

15 4.4316 4.43 26.8529 26.85 71.4286 71.4%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5

15 4.2174 4.22 27.2381 27.24 71.4286 71.4%
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5

15 4.0209 4.02 27.7343 27.73 71.4286 71.4%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5

15 3.7342 3.73 28.5543 28.55 71.4286 71.4%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5

14 5.1341 5.13 27.1743 27.17 66.6667 66.7%
The Cruncher

2 7 5

14 5.0792 5.08 27.6376 27.64 66.6667 66.7%
Graft

3 7 4

14 4.7339 4.73 27.8095 27.81 66.6667 66.7%
Aggregate

2 7 5

14 4.1177 4.12 27.2533 27.25 66.6667 66.7%
ZaphBot

2 7 5

14 4.0535 4.05 30.1429 30.14 66.6667 66.7%
Live Ladders

2 7 5

14 3.1080 3.11 29.0952 29.10 66.6667 66.7%
Squiggle

1 7 5

13 3.8007 3.80 28.5362 28.54 61.9048 61.9%
Informed Stats

2 7 4

13 3.7133 3.71 29.4286 29.43 61.9048 61.9%
Stattraction

2 6 5

13 3.5767 3.58 28.5052 28.51 61.9048 61.9%
The Footycast

2 7 4

13 3.0829 3.08 30.0143 30.01 61.9048 61.9%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4

13 2.8115 2.81 29.9524 29.95 61.9048 61.9%
AFL Lab

2 7 4

13 2.7808 2.78 30.8343 30.83 61.9048 61.9%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4

13 2.6691 2.67 29.3286 29.33 61.9048 61.9%
Winnable

1 7 4

12 3.9338 3.93 28.3933 28.39 57.1429 57.1%
Punters

2 6 4

12 3.7924 3.79 27.2143 27.21 57.1429 57.1%
In The Game

2 6 4

12 3.2582 3.26 27.4938 27.49 57.1429 57.1%
Hyperion

3 5 4

12 1.2291 1.23 29.7619 29.76 57.1429 57.1%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3

11 0.1949 0.19 32.6667 32.67 52.3810 52.4%
Massey Ratings

2 4

6 1.1606 1.16 35.5833 35.58 †9 50.0000 50.0%

AFL Ladder Predictor

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Friends of Squiggle

  • Live Ladders
  • Matter of Stats
  • HPN
  • FMI
  • Wheelo Ratings
  • AFLalytics
  • AFL Lab
  • PlusSixOne
  • Graft
  • Massey Ratings
  • ZaphBot
  • Glicko Ratings
  • Cheap Stats
  • Figuring Footy
  • The Footycast
  • AFL Scorigami
  • Data by Josh
  • Elo Predicts!
  • Stattraction
  • The Wooden Finger
  • Drop Kick Data
  • Hyperion
  • footycharts
  • Winnable
  • What Snoo Thinks
  • Informed Stats
  • HBin
  • Holy Grail Ratings
  • In The Game
  • The Flag
  • The Arc
  • Figuring Footy
  • BigFooty

About Squiggle

Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

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