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Squiggle Football – out August 14

Posted on August 7, 2025August 7, 2025 by Max Barry

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Wins % Range
1
 Hawthorn 16.0 123%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–3
2
 Sydney 15.6 134%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–3
3
 Fremantle 15.0 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–5
4
 Geelong 14.9 121%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–6
5
 Western Bulldogs 14.5 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–5
6
 Brisbane Lions 13.7 117%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–7
7
 Gold Coast 12.9 111%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–8
8
 Adelaide 12.6 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–8
9
 Collingwood 11.9 102%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–10
10
 Melbourne 11.4 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–12
11
 GWS 11.0 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–12
12
 St Kilda 10.5 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–13
13
 North Melbourne 10.5 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–13
14
 Port Adelaide 9.1 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14–15
15
 Carlton 7.9 86%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14–16
16
 West Coast 7.6 72%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14–17
17
 Essendon 7.3 82%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15–17
18
 Richmond 4.7 66%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After Round 6, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Sydney 5 1 – 173.3%
+10.6
2
2
 Fremantle 5 1 – 142.7%
+10.0
3
3
 Hawthorn 5 1 – 118.2%
+11.0
1
4
 Gold Coast 4 2 – 126.9%
+8.9
7
5
 North Melbourne 4 2 – 120.8%
+6.5
13
6
 Geelong 4 2 – 116.1%
+10.9
4
7
 Western Bulldogs 4 2 – 102.0%
+10.5
5
8
 Melbourne 4 2 – 94.2%
+7.4
10
9
 Brisbane Lions 3 3 – 111.7%
+10.7
6
10
 Adelaide 3 3 – 105.3%
+9.6
8
11
 Collingwood 3 3 – 94.8%
+8.9
9
12
 Port Adelaide 2 4 – 108.1%
+7.1
14
13
 St Kilda 2 4 – 92.6%
+8.5
12
14
 GWS 2 4 – 86.8%
+9.0
11
15
 West Coast 2 4 – 61.3%
+5.6
16
16
 Carlton 1 5 – 79.2%
+6.9
15
17
 Essendon 1 5 – 79.1%
+6.3
17
18
 Richmond – 6 – 53.6%
+4.7
18

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8 8

44 14.3449 14.34 24.0807 24.08 81.4815 81.5%
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8 8

43 14.4931 14.49 25.8231 25.82 79.6296 79.6%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8 8

43 9.2793 9.28 25.3385 25.34 79.6296 79.6%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8 8

42 13.9280 13.93 25.5363 25.54 77.7778 77.8%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8 8

41 14.9000 14.90 26.4213 26.42 75.9259 75.9%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8 8

41 14.4802 14.48 25.4369 25.44 75.9259 75.9%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7 8

41 14.2988 14.30 25.3072 25.31 75.9259 75.9%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8 8

41 12.8678 12.87 25.5978 25.60 75.9259 75.9%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7 7

40 15.2786 15.28 25.6698 25.67 74.0741 74.1%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8 8

40 14.0017 14.00 24.8794 24.88 74.0741 74.1%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7 8

40 12.7624 12.76 26.5663 26.57 74.0741 74.1%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6 8

40 12.6619 12.66 26.1941 26.19 74.0741 74.1%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8 7

40 12.6168 12.62 27.2778 27.28 74.0741 74.1%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6 8

40 11.6430 11.64 25.5009 25.50 74.0741 74.1%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6 7

39 12.7098 12.71 25.8081 25.81 72.2222 72.2%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7 8

39 12.1364 12.14 26.6111 26.61 72.2222 72.2%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6 7

39 11.8200 11.82 27.6852 27.69 72.2222 72.2%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6 8

39 9.9169 9.92 26.5037 26.50 72.2222 72.2%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7 8

39 8.3009 8.30 27.5741 27.57 72.2222 72.2%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6 8

38 13.7440 13.74 26.7539 26.75 70.3704 70.4%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7 8

37 12.8972 12.90 26.1272 26.13 68.5185 68.5%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6 8

37 12.2020 12.20 27.9630 27.96 68.5185 68.5%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7 7

36 12.0332 12.03 26.2878 26.29 66.6667 66.7%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5 8

36 11.3453 11.35 27.2548 27.25 66.6667 66.7%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5 7

36 11.2074 11.21 29.2222 29.22 66.6667 66.7%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6 7

36 10.9174 10.92 26.0180 26.02 66.6667 66.7%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5 8

36 9.9036 9.90 26.9352 26.94 66.6667 66.7%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5 8

36 8.7125 8.71 27.3148 27.31 66.6667 66.7%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4 7

32 8.2903 8.29 27.8148 27.81 59.2593 59.3%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5 8

30 5.8460 5.85 27.5778 27.58 †9 66.6667 66.7%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5 8

19 6.8481 6.85 30.2931 30.29 †25 65.5172 65.5%

AFL Ladder Predictor

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Friends of Squiggle

  • Live Ladders
  • Matter of Stats
  • HPN
  • FMI
  • Wheelo Ratings
  • AFLalytics
  • AFL Lab
  • PlusSixOne
  • Graft
  • Massey Ratings
  • ZaphBot
  • Glicko Ratings
  • Cheap Stats
  • Figuring Footy
  • The Footycast
  • AFL Scorigami
  • Data by Josh
  • Elo Predicts!
  • Stattraction
  • The Wooden Finger
  • Drop Kick Data
  • Hyperion
  • footycharts
  • Winnable
  • What Snoo Thinks
  • Informed Stats
  • HBin
  • Holy Grail Ratings
  • In The Game
  • The Flag
  • The Arc
  • Figuring Footy
  • BigFooty

About Squiggle

Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

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