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Ouch

Posted on May 18, 2017May 19, 2017 by Max Barry

Richmond has given up the lead with the final score of the game on 11 occasions in the past decade. pic.twitter.com/EUmYsGa4YM

— InsightLane (@insightlane) May 15, 2017

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Wins % Range
1
 Western Bulldogs 16.0 126%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–2
2
 Hawthorn 15.6 125%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–3
3
 Sydney 15.1 134%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–4
4
 Fremantle 14.7 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–5
5
 Brisbane Lions 14.3 122%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–6
6
 Gold Coast 13.6 117%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–7
7
 Geelong 13.7 113%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–7
8
 Adelaide 12.0 109%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–9
9
 Melbourne 12.2 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–10
10
 Collingwood 11.4 101%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–10
11
 GWS 10.7 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–12
12
 St Kilda 10.3 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–13
13
 North Melbourne 10.2 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–14
14
 Port Adelaide 9.6 91%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–14
15
 Carlton 8.2 84%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15–16
16
 West Coast 7.9 73%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15–16
17
 Essendon 6.0 73%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
18
 Richmond 5.4 68%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 2 games of Round 5, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Western Bulldogs 4∗ – – 140.4%
+12.0
1
2
 Fremantle 4 1 – 131.4%
+10.7
4
3
 Sydney 3∗ 1 – 182.9%
+12.1
3
4
 Gold Coast 3∗ 1 – 152.6%
+10.6
6
5
 North Melbourne 3∗ 1 – 115.3%
+7.2
13
6
 Hawthorn 3∗ 1 – 114.0%
+12.6
2
7
 Melbourne 3∗ 1 – 102.0%
+9.2
9
8
 Port Adelaide 2∗ 2 – 117.6%
+7.6
14
9
 Brisbane Lions 2∗ 2 – 110.6%
+12.3
5
10
 Adelaide 2 3 – 106.4%
+10.0
8
11
 Collingwood 2 3 – 92.3%
+9.4
10
12
 Geelong 2∗ 2 – 89.7%
+11.7
7
13
 West Coast 2∗ 2 – 64.9%
+5.9
16
14
 St Kilda 1∗ 3 – 86.0%
+9.3
12
15
 GWS 1∗ 3 – 76.9%
+9.7
11
16
 Carlton 1 4 – 76.6%
+7.2
15
17
 Essendon –∗ 4 – 62.7%
+6.0
17
18
 Richmond –∗ 4 – 56.1%
+5.4
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 2

30 9.7604 9.76 23.1632 23.16 78.9474 78.9%
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 2

29 9.4854 9.49 25.1837 25.18 76.3158 76.3%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 2

29 5.5182 5.52 25.2426 25.24 76.3158 76.3%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 2

28 9.9702 9.97 24.7184 24.72 73.6842 73.7%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 2

28 8.7104 8.71 24.6668 24.67 73.6842 73.7%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 2

28 8.6315 8.63 24.7095 24.71 73.6842 73.7%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 2

28 7.8376 7.84 25.1076 25.11 73.6842 73.7%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 2

28 7.7874 7.79 25.5168 25.52 73.6842 73.7%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 2

28 7.6738 7.67 24.8916 24.89 73.6842 73.7%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 2

28 7.6725 7.67 24.8158 24.82 73.6842 73.7%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 2

27 9.1294 9.13 24.4174 24.42 71.0526 71.1%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 2

27 8.6546 8.65 25.1479 25.15 71.0526 71.1%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 2

27 7.8071 7.81 24.5403 24.54 71.0526 71.1%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 2

27 7.4107 7.41 26.2368 26.24 71.0526 71.1%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 2

27 5.8577 5.86 25.5526 25.55 71.0526 71.1%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 2

26 8.9964 9.00 24.9753 24.98 68.4211 68.4%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 2

26 8.5803 8.58 25.1184 25.12 68.4211 68.4%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 1

26 6.5618 6.56 26.2853 26.29 68.4211 68.4%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 2

26 6.5331 6.53 26.2895 26.29 68.4211 68.4%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 2

26 6.4500 6.45 26.8421 26.84 68.4211 68.4%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 2

26 3.7859 3.79 28.0263 28.03 68.4211 68.4%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 2

25 7.5016 7.50 26.0789 26.08 65.7895 65.8%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 2

25 7.1978 7.20 24.8692 24.87 65.7895 65.8%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 2

25 7.1348 7.13 25.1174 25.12 65.7895 65.8%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 2

25 5.8862 5.89 26.2711 26.27 65.7895 65.8%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 2

25 4.4699 4.47 26.7421 26.74 65.7895 65.8%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 2

24 7.7619 7.76 25.7403 25.74 63.1579 63.2%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 2

24 7.7600 7.76 25.1387 25.14 63.1579 63.2%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 1

22 4.2572 4.26 27.5000 27.50 57.8947 57.9%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 0

17 0.5279 0.53 26.7931 26.79 †9 58.6207 58.6%
Massey Ratings

2 4 1

7 1.1750 1.18 33.1923 33.19 †25 53.8462 53.8%

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