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Ouch

Posted on May 18, 2017May 19, 2017 by Max Barry

Richmond has given up the lead with the final score of the game on 11 occasions in the past decade. pic.twitter.com/EUmYsGa4YM

— InsightLane (@insightlane) May 15, 2017

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Wins % Range
1
 Adelaide 17.3 145%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Geelong 16.3 139%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–4
3
 Collingwood 16.6 127%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–4
4
 Brisbane Lions 16.3 112%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–4
5
 Gold Coast 15.7 125%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5
6
 Fremantle 15.1 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–8
7
 GWS 14.9 113%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–8
8
 Western Bulldogs 14.3 139%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–9
9
 Hawthorn 14.5 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–9
10
 Sydney 11.3 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10
11
 Carlton 9.0 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–12
12
 Port Adelaide 9.3 82%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–12
13
 Melbourne 8.0 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–14
14
 St Kilda 8.3 90%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–14
15
 Essendon 7.0 72%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 North Melbourne 5.7 73%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
17
 Richmond 5.9 67%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
18
 West Coast 1.4 61%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 6 games of Round 21, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Adelaide 15 5 – 144.1%
+2.3
1
2
 Collingwood 15 5 – 130.8%
+1.6
3
3
 Brisbane Lions 14 5 1 112.1%
+1.8
4
4
 Geelong 13∗ 6 – 134.2%
+3.3
2
5
 Gold Coast 13∗ 6 – 125.1%
+2.7
5
6
 Hawthorn 13 7 – 117.6%
+1.5
9
7
 Fremantle 13∗ 6 – 111.7%
+2.1
6
8
 GWS 13 7 – 111.3%
+1.9
7
9
 Western Bulldogs 12 8 – 137.3%
+2.3
8
10
 Sydney 10 10 – 95.0%
+1.3
10
11
 Port Adelaide 8∗ 11 – 83.2%
+1.3
12
12
 Melbourne 7 13 – 95.0%
+1.0
13
13
 Carlton 7∗ 12 – 93.3%
+2.0
11
14
 St Kilda 6∗ 13 – 86.4%
+2.3
14
15
 Essendon 6∗ 13 – 72.0%
+1.0
15
16
 Richmond 5 15 – 65.5%
+0.9
17
17
 North Melbourne 4∗ 14 1 72.8%
+1.2
16
18
 West Coast 1 19 – 61.9%
+0.4
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6 6 6 6 5 6 5 5 6 9 6 5 7 5

133 39.88 25.98 75.6%
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 5 5 5 6 6 4 7 8 6 6 7 5

132 33.77 26.91 75.0%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6 7 6 7 5 6 6 4 7 9 5 6 7 5

131 40.01 25.84 74.4%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 7 9 5 7 7 5

131 38.28 26.04 74.4%
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 8 6 6 4 6 4 4 6 9 6 6 7 5

131 38.10 25.95 74.4%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 3 7 9 5 6 7 5

131 37.84 26.12 74.4%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6 8 5 6 5 5 6 4 7 9 5 6 7 5

131 37.01 27.09 74.4%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 6 9 5 6 7 5

130 39.02 26.25 73.9%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 9 5 6 7 5

130 37.58 26.09 73.9%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7 5 6 5 5 6 5 4 6 8 5 5 7 5

127 38.89 26.70 72.2%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8 6 5 6 6 6 6 4 7 9 3 5 7 5

127 37.63 27.25 72.2%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7 5 5 7 3 5 6 5 6 9 6 6 7 5

127 35.83 26.72 72.2%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 4 4 7 9 6 5 7 5

127 34.42 26.82 72.2%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 6 9 4 5 7 5

126 40.06 25.76 71.6%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7 6 6 6 4 6 4 3 6 9 5 6 7 5

126 37.87 26.31 71.6%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6 6 6 6 4 6 4 5 6 9 6 5 7 5

125 40.45 25.39 71.0%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7 7 6 6 5 6 4 4 6 9 5 5 7 5

125 39.43 25.60 71.0%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 6 4 3 7 9 4 6 7 5

125 34.19 26.52 71.0%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 9 4 6 8 5

125 27.95 28.26 71.0%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6 5 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 8 4 7 8 5

123 38.57 26.47 69.9%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7 6 5 5 4 6 6 4 6 9 4 5 6 5

123 35.29 26.81 69.9%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8 7 5 5 4 6 5 3 6 9 3 6 7 5

123 34.45 27.09 69.9%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6 6 4 6 4 5 5 3 6 8 6 6 6 5

122 33.04 27.64 69.3%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 7 9 5 6 7 5

122 32.21 27.57 69.3%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7 6 4 5 4 4 5 4 7 9 5 7 7 5

121 33.50 27.14 68.8%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7 5 3 7 4 4 6 4 6 8 6 8 8 4

121 32.03 28.12 68.8%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8 5 3 6 4 6 6 4 6 9 4 7 8 5

121 19.69 29.59 68.8%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 6 5 5 4 6 4 3 6 9 3 5 8 5

116 31.20 28.34 65.9%

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