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Ouch

Posted on May 18, 2017May 19, 2017 by Max Barry

Richmond has given up the lead with the final score of the game on 11 occasions in the past decade. pic.twitter.com/EUmYsGa4YM

— InsightLane (@insightlane) May 15, 2017

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Wins % Range
1
 Sydney 17.2 141%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–2
2
 Hawthorn 16.9 129%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–3
3
 Fremantle 15.9 119%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–5
4
 Brisbane Lions 14.9 126%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–4
5
 Geelong 14.2 116%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–6
6
 Collingwood 12.8 109%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–10
7
 Gold Coast 12.7 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–11
8
 Adelaide 12.6 105%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–10
9
 Western Bulldogs 12.3 102%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–11
10
 Melbourne 12.1 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–11
11
 St Kilda 11.7 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–12
12
 GWS 10.9 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–13
13
 Port Adelaide 10.0 101%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–14
14
 North Melbourne 9.7 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–14
15
 Carlton 7.1 85%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15–16
16
 Essendon 5.6 74%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
17
 West Coast 5.7 66%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15–18
18
 Richmond 4.4 64%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17–18

After Round 8, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Sydney 7 1 – 165.5%
+10.2
1
2
 Fremantle 7 1 – 133.0%
+8.9
3
3
 Hawthorn 6 1 1 121.2%
+10.4
2
4
 Brisbane Lions 5 3 – 126.0%
+9.9
4
5
 Gold Coast 5 3 – 116.0%
+7.7
7
6
 Geelong 5 3 – 114.6%
+9.2
5
7
 Melbourne 5 3 – 100.2%
+7.1
10
8
 Collingwood 4 3 1 108.6%
+8.3
6
9
 St Kilda 4 4 – 114.9%
+7.7
11
10
 North Melbourne 4 4 – 106.1%
+5.7
14
11
 Adelaide 4 4 – 96.6%
+8.6
8
12
 Western Bulldogs 4 4 – 91.5%
+8.3
9
13
 Port Adelaide 3 5 – 110.9%
+7.0
13
14
 GWS 3 5 – 88.2%
+7.9
12
15
 West Coast 2 6 – 59.3%
+3.7
17
16
 Carlton 1 7 – 78.1%
+6.1
15
17
 Essendon 1 7 – 70.2%
+4.6
16
18
 Richmond 1 7 – 60.0%
+3.4
18

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 8

60 19.6836 19.68 25.0082 25.01 83.3333 83.3%
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8 8

59 19.9857 19.99 26.2119 26.21 81.9444 81.9%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8 7

58 13.3867 13.39 25.9764 25.98 80.5556 80.6%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7 8

57 18.4074 18.41 26.6343 26.63 79.1667 79.2%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8 8

56 20.7978 20.80 26.4372 26.44 77.7778 77.8%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7 8

56 20.0948 20.09 26.3301 26.33 77.7778 77.8%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8 8

56 20.0820 20.08 25.8004 25.80 77.7778 77.8%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7

55 20.4254 20.43 27.1211 27.12 76.3889 76.4%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 7

55 19.4135 19.41 26.5858 26.59 76.3889 76.4%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8 7

55 19.2017 19.20 27.5694 27.57 76.3889 76.4%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7

55 18.3179 18.32 26.5149 26.51 76.3889 76.4%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8 8

55 18.0282 18.03 26.9603 26.96 76.3889 76.4%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8 7

55 17.1390 17.14 26.5039 26.50 76.3889 76.4%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 8

55 13.4508 13.45 27.7083 27.71 76.3889 76.4%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7 7

54 18.6505 18.65 26.5751 26.58 75.0000 75.0%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7 8

53 18.3705 18.37 27.9015 27.90 73.6111 73.6%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7 7

53 17.6414 17.64 27.8472 27.85 73.6111 73.6%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7 6

53 16.6928 16.69 27.8199 27.82 73.6111 73.6%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7 7

53 15.5426 15.54 27.2194 27.22 73.6111 73.6%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8 7

52 17.6456 17.65 27.5053 27.51 72.2222 72.2%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 6

52 16.9286 16.93 27.5417 27.54 72.2222 72.2%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7 8

52 16.7996 16.80 27.9583 27.96 72.2222 72.2%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 7

51 17.7091 17.71 26.9310 26.93 70.8333 70.8%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7 7

50 17.2117 17.21 27.1962 27.20 69.4444 69.4%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7

50 16.0047 16.00 29.6250 29.62 69.4444 69.4%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 6

50 15.0040 15.00 27.5636 27.56 69.4444 69.4%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7

50 14.2760 14.28 27.5736 27.57 69.4444 69.4%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7

50 13.9769 13.98 27.9014 27.90 69.4444 69.4%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7 7

46 13.4927 13.49 27.6667 27.67 63.8889 63.9%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5 8 7 7

44 11.1576 11.16 28.7619 28.76 †9 69.8413 69.8%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5 8 8 7

34 13.1362 13.14 29.4787 29.48 †25 72.3404 72.3%

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