Skip to content
Squiggle
Follow @SquiggleAFL

More Models

Posted on April 13, 2018April 13, 2018 by Max Barry

Exciting times with two new models added to the Squiggle dials:

  • Ranking Software, also known as AFL Live Ladder , also known as Darren O’Shaughnessy, one of the absolute doyens of AFL analytics
  • Stattraction, also known as statisticc from Reddit’s r/afl

And that’s not all! Two more big ones coming next week.

CategoriesUncategorized

Post navigation

Previous PostPrevious Dangerous Extrapolations
Next PostNext Swinburne University joins Squiggle

LADDER Updated 2019-07-16 18:30:15

PlusSixOne
Stattraction
Footy Maths Institute
Squiggle
Live Ladders
Graft
Matter of Stats
The Arc
AFL Lab
AFLalytics
Swinburne

After Round 17, 2019. Click teams to reveal detailed projections.

Wins % Range
1
 Geelong 17.2 135%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Brisbane Lions 14.7 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–4
3
 West Coast 14.8 113%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–4
4
 Collingwood 14.5 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–4
5
 Richmond 13.8 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–6
6
 GWS 13.1 121%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–6
7
 Adelaide 12.6 112%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–8
8
 Essendon 12.2 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–8
9
 Port Adelaide 11.0 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9
10
 Western Bulldogs 10.8 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10
11
 North Melbourne 9.8 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–13
12
 Hawthorn 9.7 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–13
13
 Fremantle 9.5 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–14
14
 Sydney 8.6 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–15
15
 St Kilda 8.1 82%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14–16
16
 Melbourne 7.3 84%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
17
 Carlton 6.4 85%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15–17
18
 Gold Coast 3.8 64%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18
2019-07-15 12:06:13PlusSixOne
 13.0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7
2019-07-15 12:38:11Stattraction
 12.7 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7
2019-07-14 22:46:15Footy Maths Institute
 13.4
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7
2019-07-14 19:34:17Squiggle
 12.6 113%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7
2019-07-16 18:30:15Live Ladders
 12.5 112%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7
2019-07-14 22:46:08Graft
 12.6 112%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7
2019-07-15 14:20:23Matter of Stats
 12.4 112%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7
2019-07-15 20:38:17The Arc
 12.3 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7
2019-07-15 12:38:10AFL Lab
 12.7 111%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7
2019-07-14 21:10:12AFLalytics
 12.4 112%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7
2019-07-15 18:42:07Swinburne
 12.0 112%
8
2019-07-14 21:10:12AFLalytics
 15.0 118%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
2019-07-15 14:20:23Matter of Stats
 14.9 118%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
2019-07-14 22:46:15Footy Maths Institute
 15.7
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
2019-07-14 19:34:17Squiggle
 14.9 117%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
2019-07-15 20:38:17The Arc
 14.7 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
2019-07-14 22:46:08Graft
 14.6 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3
2019-07-15 18:42:07Swinburne
 15.0 117%
3
2019-07-16 18:30:15Live Ladders
 14.5 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3
2019-07-15 12:38:10AFL Lab
 14.4 111%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3
2019-07-15 12:38:11Stattraction
 14.3 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4
2019-07-15 12:06:13PlusSixOne
 14.2
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4
2019-07-14 22:46:15Footy Maths Institute
 6.5
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
2019-07-15 20:38:17The Arc
 6.7 87%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
2019-07-14 21:10:12AFLalytics
 6.8 86%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
2019-07-15 12:38:11Stattraction
 6.5 85%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
2019-07-15 14:20:23Matter of Stats
 6.8 85%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
2019-07-15 18:42:07Swinburne
 6.0 83%
17
2019-07-14 22:46:08Graft
 6.5 86%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
2019-07-14 19:34:17Squiggle
 6.5 85%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
2019-07-15 12:06:13PlusSixOne
 5.8
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
2019-07-16 18:30:15Live Ladders
 6.1 83%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
2019-07-15 12:38:10AFL Lab
 6.3 85%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
2019-07-16 18:30:15Live Ladders
 14.6 117%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
2019-07-15 12:38:11Stattraction
 14.4 116%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3
2019-07-15 12:06:13PlusSixOne
 15.0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3
2019-07-15 14:20:23Matter of Stats
 14.3 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3
2019-07-14 19:34:17Squiggle
 14.3 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3
2019-07-15 12:38:10AFL Lab
 14.6 113%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4
2019-07-15 20:38:17The Arc
 14.5 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4
2019-07-14 22:46:08Graft
 14.4 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4
2019-07-14 21:10:12AFLalytics
 14.3 116%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4
2019-07-15 18:42:07Swinburne
 14.0 117%
4
2019-07-14 22:46:15Footy Maths Institute
 14.8
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4
2019-07-15 18:42:07Swinburne
 13.0 106%
7
2019-07-15 12:38:11Stattraction
 12.4 105%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8
2019-07-15 12:38:10AFL Lab
 12.4 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8
2019-07-14 22:46:08Graft
 12.4 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8
2019-07-15 20:38:17The Arc
 12.3 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8
2019-07-15 14:20:23Matter of Stats
 12.2 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8
2019-07-14 22:46:15Footy Maths Institute
 12.5
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8
2019-07-15 12:06:13PlusSixOne
 12.1
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8
2019-07-14 21:10:12AFLalytics
 12.0 101%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8
2019-07-14 19:34:17Squiggle
 11.8 101%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8
2019-07-16 18:30:15Live Ladders
 11.7 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8
2019-07-14 22:46:15Footy Maths Institute
 9.7
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12
2019-07-15 12:06:13PlusSixOne
 9.3
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12
2019-07-14 19:34:17Squiggle
 9.7 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13
2019-07-15 14:20:23Matter of Stats
 9.7 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13
2019-07-15 20:38:17The Arc
 9.6 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13
2019-07-15 12:38:11Stattraction
 9.6 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13
2019-07-14 21:10:12AFLalytics
 9.6 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13
2019-07-15 12:38:10AFL Lab
 9.3 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13
2019-07-14 22:46:08Graft
 9.2 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13
2019-07-16 18:30:15Live Ladders
 9.5 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14
2019-07-15 18:42:07Swinburne
 9.0 93%
14
2019-07-14 22:46:15Footy Maths Institute
 18.2
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2019-07-15 12:06:13PlusSixOne
 18.3
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2019-07-16 18:30:15Live Ladders
 17.1 136%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2019-07-15 12:38:11Stattraction
 17.3 141%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2019-07-14 22:46:08Graft
 16.9 134%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2019-07-14 19:34:17Squiggle
 16.7 134%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2019-07-15 12:38:10AFL Lab
 17.4 132%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2019-07-14 21:10:12AFLalytics
 16.7 134%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2019-07-15 20:38:17The Arc
 16.8 130%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2019-07-15 18:42:07Swinburne
 17.0 138%
1
2019-07-15 14:20:23Matter of Stats
 16.5 133%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2019-07-15 12:38:10AFL Lab
 3.8 69%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18
2019-07-15 20:38:17The Arc
 4.2 70%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18
2019-07-16 18:30:15Live Ladders
 4.1 64%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18
2019-07-15 18:42:07Swinburne
 4.0 62%
18
2019-07-15 12:38:11Stattraction
 4.2 63%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18
2019-07-15 12:06:13PlusSixOne
 3.3
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18
2019-07-15 14:20:23Matter of Stats
 4.3 63%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18
2019-07-14 19:34:17Squiggle
 3.9 63%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18
2019-07-14 22:46:08Graft
 3.8 63%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18
2019-07-14 21:10:12AFLalytics
 3.6 61%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18
2019-07-14 22:46:15Footy Maths Institute
 3.0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18
2019-07-14 22:46:15Footy Maths Institute
 14.3
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5
2019-07-15 12:38:11Stattraction
 12.7 122%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5
2019-07-15 12:06:13PlusSixOne
 13.6
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6
2019-07-14 21:10:12AFLalytics
 13.1 124%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6
2019-07-14 19:34:17Squiggle
 13.0 122%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6
2019-07-14 22:46:08Graft
 13.0 121%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6
2019-07-15 12:38:10AFL Lab
 13.1 119%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6
2019-07-16 18:30:15Live Ladders
 12.8 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6
2019-07-15 20:38:17The Arc
 12.7 117%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6
2019-07-15 14:20:23Matter of Stats
 12.7 121%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6
2019-07-15 18:42:07Swinburne
 13.0 121%
6
2019-07-14 19:34:17Squiggle
 10.0 101%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11
2019-07-16 18:30:15Live Ladders
 9.9 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11
2019-07-14 22:46:08Graft
 9.9 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11
2019-07-15 20:38:17The Arc
 9.8 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11
2019-07-15 12:06:13PlusSixOne
 9.5
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11
2019-07-15 14:20:23Matter of Stats
 9.8 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11
2019-07-15 18:42:07Swinburne
 10.0 99%
11
2019-07-15 12:38:10AFL Lab
 9.7 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12
2019-07-14 21:10:12AFLalytics
 9.7 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12
2019-07-15 12:38:11Stattraction
 9.7 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12
2019-07-14 22:46:15Footy Maths Institute
 8.9
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13
2019-07-15 12:06:13PlusSixOne
 7.3
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
2019-07-15 18:42:07Swinburne
 7.0 83%
16
2019-07-14 21:10:12AFLalytics
 7.8 84%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
2019-07-14 19:34:17Squiggle
 7.8 84%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
2019-07-15 14:20:23Matter of Stats
 7.8 84%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
2019-07-15 20:38:17The Arc
 7.6 85%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
2019-07-16 18:30:15Live Ladders
 7.6 84%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
2019-07-14 22:46:08Graft
 7.5 84%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
2019-07-15 12:38:11Stattraction
 7.4 82%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
2019-07-15 12:38:10AFL Lab
 6.7 83%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
2019-07-14 22:46:15Footy Maths Institute
 6.1
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
2019-07-14 22:46:15Footy Maths Institute
 9.9
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11
2019-07-15 12:38:10AFL Lab
 10.1 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11
2019-07-15 12:38:11Stattraction
 9.9 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11
2019-07-14 21:10:12AFLalytics
 9.7 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11
2019-07-16 18:30:15Live Ladders
 9.9 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12
2019-07-14 22:46:08Graft
 9.9 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12
2019-07-15 20:38:17The Arc
 9.8 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12
2019-07-15 14:20:23Matter of Stats
 9.8 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12
2019-07-15 18:42:07Swinburne
 10.0 98%
12
2019-07-14 19:34:17Squiggle
 9.7 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12
2019-07-15 12:06:13PlusSixOne
 9.2
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13
2019-07-15 12:06:13PlusSixOne
 11.5
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9
2019-07-14 19:34:17Squiggle
 11.3 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9
2019-07-14 21:10:12AFLalytics
 11.1 105%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9
2019-07-16 18:30:15Live Ladders
 11.1 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9
2019-07-15 20:38:17The Arc
 11.0 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9
2019-07-15 14:20:23Matter of Stats
 11.0 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9
2019-07-15 12:38:11Stattraction
 11.0 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9
2019-07-15 12:38:10AFL Lab
 11.1 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9
2019-07-14 22:46:08Graft
 10.9 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9
2019-07-14 22:46:15Footy Maths Institute
 10.4
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9
2019-07-15 18:42:07Swinburne
 11.0 103%
9
2019-07-16 18:30:15Live Ladders
 14.1 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5
2019-07-14 21:10:12AFLalytics
 14.0 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5
2019-07-15 18:42:07Swinburne
 14.0 109%
5
2019-07-14 19:34:17Squiggle
 13.8 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5
2019-07-15 20:38:17The Arc
 13.8 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5
2019-07-14 22:46:08Graft
 13.8 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5
2019-07-15 14:20:23Matter of Stats
 13.6 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5
2019-07-15 12:06:13PlusSixOne
 14.0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5
2019-07-15 12:38:10AFL Lab
 13.6 105%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5
2019-07-15 12:38:11Stattraction
 13.3 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6
2019-07-14 22:46:15Footy Maths Institute
 14.0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6
2019-07-14 21:10:12AFLalytics
 8.3 82%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14
2019-07-15 12:38:10AFL Lab
 8.5 85%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
2019-07-14 19:34:17Squiggle
 8.6 83%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
2019-07-16 18:30:15Live Ladders
 8.5 83%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
2019-07-15 12:06:13PlusSixOne
 7.8
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
2019-07-15 14:20:23Matter of Stats
 8.4 82%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
2019-07-15 20:38:17The Arc
 8.2 83%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
2019-07-15 18:42:07Swinburne
 8.0 80%
15
2019-07-14 22:46:08Graft
 8.0 81%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
2019-07-15 12:38:11Stattraction
 7.8 81%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
2019-07-14 22:46:15Footy Maths Institute
 6.6
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
2019-07-15 18:42:07Swinburne
 9.0 96%
13
2019-07-16 18:30:15Live Ladders
 8.8 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13
2019-07-15 12:38:11Stattraction
 9.3 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14
2019-07-14 22:46:08Graft
 8.9 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14
2019-07-15 20:38:17The Arc
 8.7 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14
2019-07-15 12:06:13PlusSixOne
 8.1
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14
2019-07-15 14:20:23Matter of Stats
 8.6 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14
2019-07-14 22:46:15Footy Maths Institute
 8.0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14
2019-07-15 12:38:10AFL Lab
 8.9 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14
2019-07-14 19:34:17Squiggle
 8.2 92%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14
2019-07-14 21:10:12AFLalytics
 8.2 92%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
2019-07-15 12:38:10AFL Lab
 14.7 112%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
2019-07-15 12:06:13PlusSixOne
 15.5
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
2019-07-15 18:42:07Swinburne
 15.0 117%
2
2019-07-15 12:38:11Stattraction
 14.7 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
2019-07-14 22:46:08Graft
 14.8 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
2019-07-14 22:46:15Footy Maths Institute
 15.7
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3
2019-07-15 20:38:17The Arc
 14.7 112%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3
2019-07-14 21:10:12AFLalytics
 14.5 112%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3
2019-07-15 14:20:23Matter of Stats
 14.3 112%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4
2019-07-16 18:30:15Live Ladders
 14.2 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4
2019-07-14 19:34:17Squiggle
 14.2 111%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4
2019-07-15 18:42:07Swinburne
 11.0 96%
10
2019-07-14 21:10:12AFLalytics
 11.1 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10
2019-07-14 19:34:17Squiggle
 11.0 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10
2019-07-16 18:30:15Live Ladders
 11.0 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10
2019-07-15 14:20:23Matter of Stats
 10.9 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10
2019-07-15 20:38:17The Arc
 10.9 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10
2019-07-15 12:38:11Stattraction
 10.9 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10
2019-07-14 22:46:08Graft
 10.9 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10
2019-07-15 12:38:10AFL Lab
 10.8 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10
2019-07-14 22:46:15Footy Maths Institute
 10.5
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10
2019-07-15 12:06:13PlusSixOne
 10.4
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10

Live Hasn't factored in current round in progress Hasn't factored in last completed round

This ladder is a weighted average of all models: Full weighting 10% weighting 0% weighting

+ About ladder projections...

Ladder Projections are weirder than they first appear! It's natural to think that there are many possible ladders and we should simply pick the most likely one. The problem is there are far more possible ladders than you can imagine—more than the number of atoms in the universe. Even ignoring the number of wins and simply trying to rank teams in order, there are 6.4 quadrillion possible combinations.

Until there are only one or two rounds left, even the most likely ladder has no chance of actually occurring — the likelihood is so close to zero, it may as well be.

So we need to abandon any hope of being able to actually pick the final ladder. Instead, what we're attempting to do is to minimize the amount of error between our prediction and reality.

This raises a few subjective questions, such as: What is the most important part of a ladder? Is it the ranking or the number of wins? Because we can't always minimize the error in both at once.

This ladder cares most about ranks, because that determines finals positions. But ranks are derived from wins, and wins are more predictable — a good model should get the number of wins about right, but can easily miss the mark on ranks, since those can change sharply from only a few unexpected results, particularly around the middle of the ladder.

Projected ladders, then, are a series of compromises. They won't get everything right, and they often can't make one thing more right without making something else more wrong. Such quirks are the unavoidable result of attempting to distill a wide range of possible futures down into one single ladder — which will definitely be wrong, but is hopefully close.

Common Questions

Q. Why is the season tipped to be so close?

Most early-season projections will predict an unusually close year, tipping too few wins for the top team and too many for the wooden spooner. This isn't an error; it's because "How many wins will the top team have, whoever they turn out to be?" is actually a different question to "How many wins will Geelong have?" — even if we expect Geelong to finish on top!

It's highly likely that the minor premier will turn out to be a team that wins more games than people expected. But we can't know who this will be, since we can't predict who will be better than we predict.

It's the same as tossing a coin 10 times: If I'm predicting a ladder, I'd say heads and tails will each go 5-5, since this is their long-term average. I know that whichever one finishes on top will probably score 6 or more flips (75% chance), but I can't say which one that will be. I have to choose which question I want to get right: the number of wins for each team, or the number of wins of whoever finishes on top. If I choose to answer the first question, I will get a more accurate forecast of wins per team, but at the price of sacrificing some accuracy from the shape of the overall win distribution.

Q. Why is a team ranked lower even though it has more projected wins?

Usually because of percentage. When a team is projected to have "12.2 wins," this really means: "a bit more likely to have over 12 wins than under." At the end of the season, everyone will have whole numbers of wins (plus draws), and at this point, their ladder position may be determined by their percentage. Ladder projections based on tens of thousands of simulations can tally up the number of times this occurs and figure out which may matter more: an edge in projected wins or a lead in percentage.

It's also possible for this to happen because this is an aggregate Projected Ladder, combining the predictions of many different sources, and it prioritizes predicted ranks over anything else. So if, on average, the sources rank Port Adelaide higher than Richmond, that's where the Projected Ladder will place them, too. It will do this even if, on average, Richmond have higher both predicted wins and predicted percentage — which is possible because different models will have different ideas about how wins might be distributed. Fundamentally, the Projected Ladder trusts each source to interpret its own data and reach sensible conclusions about what this means in terms of likely finishing position.

It's also worth noting that there's a little more sophistication than meets the eye in how "average rank" is calculated. For sources that provide finish position estimates — those colourful bars that show how likely each team is to finish in each position — the Projected Ladder calculates true average finishing ranks, rather than relying on simple ordinals. For example, if a model says that West Coast have a 90% chance of finishing 1st and a 10% chance of finishing 2nd, their simple ordinal finishing rank is 1, while their true average finishing rank is 1.1. If they have a 60% chance of finishing 1st and a 40% chance of finishing 2nd, their simple ordinal rank is still 1, while their true average finishing rank is 1.4 — much closer to the midpoint of 1st and 2nd. In this way, the Projected Ladder is able to distinguish more precisely between teams predicted to finish close together.

Q. Why doesn't the ladder make logical sense?

Sometimes ladders don't add up to the exact right number of wins, or predict teams to finish in logically impossible places, such as tipping a team to finish 4th with one round to go when it must finish either 3rd or 5th. The natural human response is to think that if they can't get even such basic things right, they shouldn't be trusted at all. In fact, the ladder is probably prioritizing error minimization, and is likely to be more accurate, at least by that measure, than a ladder that insists on being logically possible.

After Round 17, 2019.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Geelong 13 3 0 140.10%
+4.2
1
2
 Collingwood 11 5 0 117.2%
+3.5
4
3
 Brisbane Lions 11 5 0 114.8%
+3.7
2
4
 West Coast 11 5 0 113.3%
+3.8
3
5
 Richmond 10 6 0 104.9%
+3.8
5
6
 GWS 9 7 0 121.1%
+4.1
6
7
 Adelaide 9 7 0 112.8%
+3.6
7
8
 Essendon 9 7 0 102.4%
+3.2
8
9
 Port Adelaide 8 8 0 105.6%
+3.0
9
10
 Western Bulldogs 8 8 0 94.8%
+2.8
10
11
 Hawthorn 7 9 0 100.1%
+2.7
12
12
 North Melbourne 7 9 0 99.5%
+2.8
11
13
 Fremantle 7 9 0 95.10%
+2.5
13
14
 Sydney 6 10 0 95.3%
+2.6
14
15
 St Kilda 6 10 0 79.10%
+2.1
15
16
 Melbourne 5 11 0 80.3%
+2.3
16
17
 Carlton 4 12 0 83.1%
+2.4
17
18
 Gold Coast 3 13 0 64.1%
+0.8
18

Live Squiggle

Models Leaderboard

LEADERBOARD

After Round 17, 2019.

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Matter of Stats

4 5 6 4 4 9 7 6 8 6 8 4 6 5 5 5 5

97 10.99 26.38 67.4%
Stattraction

5 4 6 6 5 9 7 6 8 6 6 3 5 5 5 5 5

96 11.68 27.47 66.7%
Punters

3 4 6 5 5 8 7 6 8 7 7 4 6 5 5 5 5

96 10.80 26.01 66.7%
Footy Maths Institute

4 3 5 5 5 9 8 7 7 8 7 3 5 4 4 5 6

95 13.07 27.67 66.0%
The Arc

3 4 6 5 5 8 7 4 8 7 7 5 6 4 5 5 6

95 12.16 26.07 66.0%
Graft

5 3 6 5 5 9 7 7 7 8 6 4 4 5 4 5 5

95 11.21 26.08 66.0%
PlusSixOne

4 3 5 4 5 9 7 7 8 7 6 4 6 5 4 5 6

95 9.80 25.73 66.0%
Squiggle

5 4 5 4 6 8 7 5 8 7 7 4 5 4 4 6 5

94 12.67 26.54 65.3%
Swinburne

3 3 5 6 5 8 7 7 7 7 6 3 6 5 4 5 6

93 9.72 27.33 64.6%
Massey Ratings

3 3 5 6 5 9 8 5 7 7 7 3 6 4 5 4 6

93 5.78 27.34 64.6%
Live Ladders

4 3 6 6 4 8 7 6 7 8 6 3 4 4 4 6 5

91 12.15 25.68 63.2%
AFLalytics

3 2 6 6 5 8 7 4 8 7 7 5 5 4 4 5 4

90 13.10 26.45 62.5%
Aggregate

3 3 6 4 5 8 7 6 7 7 7 3 5 5 4 5 5

90 12.20 26.07 62.5%
AFL Lab

5 4 7 5 5 8 7 5 7 6 7 3 5 3 5 4 4

90 11.94 25.06 62.5%
Fat Stats

3 3 4 4 5 8 7 6 7 6 7 3 5 5 5 5 6

89 3.52 28.90 61.8%
AFL Gains

1 6 5 0 4 7 7 6 7 7 7 3 6 4 5 4 6

85 1.56 27.17 59.0%
HPN

4 4 5 5 4 8 5 5 8 6 5 2 5 4 4 6 4

84 -1.80 29.20 58.3%

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

By Round

By Team

Adelaide Adelaide Adelaide Brisbane Lions Brisbane Lions Brisbane Lions Carlton Carlton Carlton Collingwood Collingwood Collingwood Essendon Essendon Essendon Fremantle Fremantle Fremantle Geelong Geelong Geelong Gold Coast Gold Coast Gold Coast Greater Western Sydney Greater Western Sydney Greater Western Sydney Hawthorn Hawthorn Hawthorn Melbourne Melbourne Melbourne North Melbourne North Melbourne North Melbourne Port Adelaide Port Adelaide Port Adelaide Richmond Richmond Richmond St Kilda St Kilda St Kilda Sydney Sydney Sydney West Coast West Coast West Coast Western Bulldogs Western Bulldogs Western Bulldogs
Matter of Stats 62% 3.7 22.6 81% 1.0 27.3 75% 2.7 22.4 62% -0.6 27.5 62% 0.5 26.2 62% -2.4 29.9 75% 4.4 22.2 88% 7.1 22.6 56% 0.6 31.3 62% -0.4 20.2 69% 1.6 23.0 62% -0.1 29.5 56% -1.9 32.8 69% 1.8 33.4 81% 3.7 23.9 62% 1.9 18.4 75% 1.0 32.4 50% -2.6 29.1
Stattraction 69% 2.9 23.0 50% -1.2 29.7 75% 3.4 32.8 69% 1.8 24.1 69% 1.3 22.4 56% -3.4 29.4 81% 4.2 22.2 88% 7.1 28.8 50% -1.2 36.0 62% -0.1 22.1 75% 1.7 25.2 69% 2.1 25.2 56% -0.8 32.6 75% 3.0 31.1 81% 3.8 26.5 69% 2.2 18.7 62% 1.0 32.9 44% -4.3 31.6
Punters 69% 2.3 24.1 69% 0.6 27.8 75% 2.2 23.1 62% -0.5 26.0 69% 1.0 23.3 62% -2.1 28.0 75% 3.7 22.9 88% 6.4 24.4 69% 1.2 31.0 62% -0.3 19.6 69% 1.0 25.1 56% 0.9 27.8 56% -1.6 32.5 75% 2.5 30.6 75% 3.8 23.7 56% 1.4 17.4 62% 1.6 33.0 50% -2.4 27.9
Footy Maths Institute 56% 1.8 25.2 50% -1.1 31.1 75% 3.7 28.9 62% 0.7 26.8 75% 2.9 20.0 62% -0.1 29.2 81% 3.4 26.1 88% 7.1 26.4 62% 0.8 30.6 62% 0.5 19.9 75% 0.7 27.4 62% 1.1 27.9 50% -0.5 35.4 81% 2.1 33.0 75% 2.9 24.4 56% 1.3 20.5 56% 1.8 33.6 56% -2.8 31.6
The Arc 62% 1.3 27.4 62% -0.0 29.8 75% 2.8 23.2 56% -0.5 24.5 81% 2.8 20.6 69% -0.1 26.4 75% 3.7 23.0 94% 6.2 26.1 75% 0.6 33.1 56% 0.6 18.4 69% 1.3 23.1 62% 1.1 28.1 50% -0.9 31.9 69% 2.1 33.2 62% 2.6 24.6 62% 1.7 17.4 56% 1.0 32.9 50% -1.8 25.3
Graft 62% 2.2 24.8 56% -0.5 30.0 75% 3.2 24.3 62% 1.0 23.1 62% 2.1 21.4 69% -1.1 26.3 81% 4.2 21.7 81% 6.6 24.8 69% -0.1 33.8 56% -0.3 20.2 69% 0.8 24.2 62% 1.4 27.7 50% -0.1 31.6 75% 2.1 33.6 75% 2.1 23.8 62% 1.3 16.8 62% 0.9 32.6 56% -3.4 28.5
PlusSixOne 56% 0.9 27.5 50% -1.1 32.0 75% 2.3 22.0 62% 0.7 20.6 81% 2.3 19.4 62% -0.2 23.9 81% 3.5 21.6 88% 4.5 26.2 75% 1.5 33.3 56% -0.2 20.3 69% 0.8 22.4 62% 1.0 28.5 44% -0.2 32.5 69% 1.6 34.2 81% 2.6 23.6 69% 0.6 18.5 56% 0.7 31.2 50% -1.5 25.5
Squiggle 69% 1.4 25.9 69% 0.1 29.5 69% 2.5 25.5 56% 0.1 24.4 69% 1.5 21.8 62% -1.2 28.7 75% 5.1 19.4 88% 5.3 27.3 56% 1.5 29.2 56% -1.2 24.3 75% 1.7 21.8 62% 0.2 31.1 56% 0.0 33.8 69% 2.6 32.4 69% 3.6 24.2 69% 1.9 18.6 50% 0.9 34.1 56% -0.9 25.9
Swinburne 38% 1.1 27.4 62% -1.7 30.2 75% 1.4 29.1 56% -1.0 26.4 75% 2.4 20.9 69% -1.3 27.8 69% 3.5 26.9 88% 7.9 24.3 62% -0.9 33.0 56% -0.2 21.2 69% 2.1 22.6 56% 1.3 27.6 62% -1.8 33.6 81% 2.6 32.3 75% 4.1 25.6 62% 2.1 19.4 56% 1.2 32.9 50% -3.5 30.8
Massey Ratings 50% 1.2 26.4 50% -1.2 29.8 69% 1.5 26.0 56% 0.1 25.4 75% 1.0 21.2 62% -2.5 27.9 75% 2.8 26.6 88% 7.2 25.4 62% 0.4 33.3 69% -0.1 20.7 69% 1.1 23.7 56% 0.5 28.7 50% -2.3 34.7 81% 1.9 33.1 81% 2.3 24.3 62% 1.6 19.8 62% 1.3 33.8 44% -5.2 31.3
Live Ladders 56% 1.0 27.0 50% -1.1 31.1 75% 3.1 23.7 56% 0.6 22.6 62% 1.8 21.5 62% -1.5 24.9 69% 4.2 21.1 88% 6.8 24.6 62% 0.1 34.1 44% 0.1 19.6 69% 1.5 22.4 56% 0.5 28.6 56% 0.4 29.4 75% 2.6 31.8 62% 3.0 25.8 75% 1.8 15.8 56% 0.8 32.8 62% -1.1 25.6
AFLalytics 69% 3.2 22.8 69% 1.7 25.8 75% 3.4 24.7 56% -0.5 27.3 62% -0.2 27.2 56% -2.0 28.5 69% 3.0 25.5 88% 8.0 23.0 62% 1.7 31.2 50% -1.1 22.0 62% 0.6 26.8 56% 0.9 27.3 50% 0.2 29.7 69% 2.7 32.3 69% 3.8 23.9 62% 1.8 16.7 62% 1.5 32.2 38% -2.4 29.2
Aggregate 50% 2.1 25.1 62% -0.2 29.3 75% 2.7 24.0 56% 0.3 24.2 69% 1.6 21.9 56% -1.3 26.8 75% 4.0 22.0 88% 6.4 24.7 62% 0.9 32.9 56% 0.1 20.0 69% 1.4 23.2 50% 0.9 28.2 50% -0.6 32.8 69% 2.4 32.8 75% 3.2 23.8 56% 1.7 17.5 56% 1.1 32.3 50% -2.3 27.7
AFL Lab 69% 2.7 26.8 62% 0.4 28.5 62% 1.6 18.8 62% 2.6 19.8 62% 0.9 21.8 50% -3.1 25.2 81% 3.9 18.5 81% 6.8 27.5 50% 0.0 36.8 56% -0.1 17.9 62% 2.7 20.1 56% 0.7 28.1 50% -0.6 29.9 69% 2.6 34.2 81% 3.0 24.6 62% 1.7 17.2 62% 0.5 31.4 44% -2.5 24.2
Fat Stats 50% 0.3 30.9 50% -1.5 30.7 75% 1.2 30.3 50% -1.8 29.7 69% 1.8 20.1 50% -1.8 31.7 69% 3.6 26.1 88% 4.6 26.0 62% 0.7 33.0 62% 0.2 20.5 69% 0.3 24.0 56% 0.2 31.9 44% -3.1 39.3 69% 2.8 31.2 81% 4.1 22.9 56% -0.2 20.8 62% -0.4 36.2 50% -4.2 34.8
AFL Gains 56% 1.3 28.0 50% -1.8 32.6 69% 2.6 20.2 50% -1.5 24.8 56% 0.5 22.6 56% -3.0 26.8 75% 4.3 23.3 75% 4.5 25.9 50% -0.3 36.9 69% 1.9 16.7 69% 0.9 22.9 56% -1.2 32.1 44% -1.7 35.0 62% -0.2 36.3 50% 0.2 26.4 62% -0.3 21.5 56% -0.2 31.9 56% -2.7 25.1
HPN 69% 1.7 27.9 62% 0.2 30.8 62% 1.6 26.4 38% -2.4 28.1 38% -1.6 27.9 62% -2.0 26.3 62% 2.0 28.5 81% 2.7 31.8 69% 2.7 30.6 44% -0.7 21.7 56% -1.4 26.9 56% -0.9 34.0 62% -1.9 35.1 56% -0.5 37.0 69% 1.9 25.8 69% 1.2 20.6 50% -2.6 36.5 44% -3.4 29.7

AFL Ladder Predictor

Squiggle AFL Ladder Predictor

Twitter

Tweets by SquiggleAFL

Friends of Squiggle

  • The Arc
  • Figuring Footy
  • Live Ladders
  • Matter of Stats
  • BigFooty
  • Swinburne University
  • FMI
  • PlusSixOne
  • Stattraction
  • HPN
  • Graft
  • Massey Ratings
  • AFLalytics
  • AFL Gains
  • AFL Lab
  • Fat Stats

About Squiggle

Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.