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More Models

Posted on April 13, 2018April 13, 2018 by Max Barry

Exciting times with two new models added to the Squiggle dials:

  • Ranking Software, also known as AFL Live Ladder , also known as Darren O’Shaughnessy, one of the absolute doyens of AFL analytics
  • Stattraction, also known as statisticc from Reddit’s r/afl

And that’s not all! Two more big ones coming next week.

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Wins % Range
1
 Richmond 11.3 126%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–9
2
 Collingwood 10.7 127%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–8
3
 Port Adelaide 10.2 118%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–10
4
 Hawthorn 10.0 113%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–8
5
 GWS 9.9 112%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–11
6
 Geelong 9.4 111%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–9
7
 West Coast 9.3 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–10
8
 Sydney 8.9 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–14
9
 Brisbane Lions 8.8 105%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–10
10
 North Melbourne 8.9 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–12
11
 Western Bulldogs 8.1 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–12
12
 St Kilda 7.7 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–17
13
 Essendon 7.8 90%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–16
14
 Melbourne 7.5 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–16
15
 Fremantle 7.1 92%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–17
16
 Carlton 7.0 90%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–17
17
 Adelaide 6.5 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–17
18
 Gold Coast 4.3 66%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After Round 1, 2020.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Port Adelaide 1 0 0 262.1%
+9.2
3
2
 Collingwood 1 0 0 252.9%
+9.7
2
3
 West Coast 1 0 0 152.9%
+8.3
7
4
 Hawthorn 1 0 0 145.2%
+9.0
4
5
 GWS 1 0 0 143.8%
+8.9
5
6
 Richmond 1 0 0 129.6%
+10.3
1
7
 Essendon 1 0 0 110.5%
+6.8
13
8
 Sydney 1 0 0 104.2%
+7.9
8
9
 North Melbourne 1 0 0 103.7%
+7.9
10
10
 St Kilda 0 1 0 96.4%
+7.7
12
11
 Adelaide 0 1 0 95.9%
+6.5
17
12
 Fremantle 0 1 0 90.5%
+7.1
15
13
 Carlton 0 1 0 77.1%
+7.0
16
14
 Geelong 0 1 0 69.5%
+9.4
6
15
 Brisbane Lions 0 1 0 68.9%
+8.8
9
16
 Melbourne 0 1 0 65.4%
+7.5
14
17
 Western Bulldogs 0 1 0 39.5%
+8.1
11
18
 Gold Coast 0 1 0 38.2%
+4.3
18

Live Squiggle

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
The Flag

8

8 3.88 18.33 88.9%
Swinburne

8

8 3.67 17.44 88.9%
Footy Maths Institute

8

8 3.04 18.56 88.9%
The Arc

8

8 2.85 17.11 88.9%
Aggregate

8

8 2.67 16.79 88.9%
PlusSixOne

8

8 2.29 17.84 88.9%
Live Ladders

8

8 2.21 18.11 88.9%
Massey Ratings

7

7 3.15 18.78 77.8%
Fat Stats

7

7 3.07 16.96 77.8%
AFLalytics

7

7 2.62 17.80 77.8%
Punters

7

7 2.40 19.17 77.8%
Graft

7

7 1.86 19.33 77.8%
Stattraction

7

7 1.53 20.10 77.8%
Squiggle

7

7 1.20 17.56 77.8%
AFL_GO

6

6 3.11 16.11 66.7%
Matter of Stats

6

6 2.53 17.96 66.7%
AFL Lab

5

5 2.06 20.73 55.6%

AFL Ladder Predictor

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Friends of Squiggle

  • The Arc
  • Live Ladders
  • Matter of Stats
  • Swinburne University
  • FMI
  • PlusSixOne
  • Stattraction
  • HPN
  • Graft
  • Massey Ratings
  • AFLalytics
  • AFL Gains
  • AFL Lab
  • Fat Stats
  • AFL_GO
  • Figuring Footy
  • BigFooty

About Squiggle

Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.