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More Models

Posted on April 13, 2018April 13, 2018 by Max Barry

Exciting times with two new models added to the Squiggle dials:

  • Ranking Software, also known as AFL Live Ladder , also known as Darren O’Shaughnessy, one of the absolute doyens of AFL analytics
  • Stattraction, also known as statisticc from Reddit’s r/afl

And that’s not all! Two more big ones coming next week.

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Wins % Range
1
 Sydney 17.1 144%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–3
2
 Hawthorn 17.2 129%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–2
3
 Fremantle 15.4 119%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–5
4
 Brisbane Lions 14.8 124%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–5
5
 Geelong 14.1 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–7
6
 Collingwood 13.2 111%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–10
7
 Western Bulldogs 13.2 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–10
8
 Adelaide 12.4 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–10
9
 Gold Coast 12.2 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–12
10
 Melbourne 12.3 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–11
11
 GWS 11.4 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–13
12
 St Kilda 11.0 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–13
13
 Port Adelaide 10.0 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–14
14
 North Melbourne 9.8 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–14
15
 Carlton 7.5 87%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15–16
16
 West Coast 6.1 66%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15–17
17
 Essendon 5.7 75%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
18
 Richmond 3.5 62%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After Round 7, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Sydney 6 1 – 178.1%
+11.1
1
2
 Fremantle 6 1 – 137.6%
+9.4
3
3
 Hawthorn 6 1 – 124.5%
+11.2
2
4
 Melbourne 5 2 – 102.8%
+7.3
10
5
 Brisbane Lions 4 3 – 118.8%
+10.8
4
6
 North Melbourne 4 3 – 115.9%
+5.8
14
7
 Gold Coast 4 3 – 114.4%
+8.2
9
8
 Collingwood 4 3 – 110.2%
+9.2
6
9
 Geelong 4 3 – 108.6%
+10.1
5
10
 Western Bulldogs 4 3 – 91.8%
+9.2
7
11
 Port Adelaide 3 4 – 112.5%
+7.0
13
12
 St Kilda 3 4 – 110.1%
+8.0
12
13
 Adelaide 3 4 – 96.1%
+9.4
8
14
 GWS 3 4 – 89.8%
+8.4
11
15
 West Coast 2 5 – 55.8%
+4.1
16
16
 Carlton 1 6 – 80.3%
+6.5
15
17
 Essendon 1 6 – 72.9%
+4.7
17
18
 Richmond – 7 – 54.2%
+3.5
18

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8

52 17.3698 17.37 26.1637 26.16 82.5397 82.5%
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8

51 17.7634 17.76 27.3267 27.33 80.9524 81.0%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8

51 11.5848 11.58 27.0454 27.05 80.9524 81.0%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7

49 16.3391 16.34 27.5759 27.58 77.7778 77.8%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8

48 18.3089 18.31 27.5203 27.52 76.1905 76.2%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7

48 17.6022 17.60 28.6273 28.63 76.1905 76.2%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7

48 17.5346 17.53 27.4829 27.48 76.1905 76.2%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8

48 17.4061 17.41 26.8678 26.87 76.1905 76.2%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7

48 17.3976 17.40 27.4437 27.44 76.1905 76.2%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8

48 15.9835 15.98 29.1429 29.14 76.1905 76.2%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7

48 15.8876 15.89 27.6819 27.68 76.1905 76.2%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8

48 14.6937 14.69 27.6852 27.69 76.1905 76.2%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7

47 16.7075 16.71 27.7121 27.71 74.6032 74.6%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8

47 15.6973 15.70 27.9070 27.91 74.6032 74.6%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7

47 15.2558 15.26 28.7551 28.76 74.6032 74.6%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8

47 10.9095 10.91 29.4127 29.41 74.6032 74.6%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7

46 14.9867 14.99 28.8095 28.81 73.0159 73.0%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7

46 14.9501 14.95 29.2540 29.25 73.0159 73.0%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7

46 12.5813 12.58 28.5937 28.59 73.0159 73.0%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7

45 15.7643 15.76 29.0884 29.09 71.4286 71.4%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8

45 15.6776 15.68 28.3244 28.32 71.4286 71.4%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8

44 15.1495 15.15 28.1076 28.11 69.8413 69.8%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7

44 13.9366 13.94 29.9841 29.98 69.8413 69.8%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8

44 13.8214 13.82 28.1344 28.13 69.8413 69.8%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7

43 14.4685 14.47 29.0332 29.03 68.2540 68.3%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7

43 13.7290 13.73 31.0000 31.00 68.2540 68.3%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7

43 12.3634 12.36 28.8333 28.83 68.2540 68.3%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7

43 11.7605 11.76 29.1762 29.18 68.2540 68.3%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7

39 11.1638 11.16 29.4444 29.44 61.9048 61.9%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5 8 7

37 8.7730 8.77 30.2963 30.30 †9 68.5185 68.5%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5 8 8

27 10.4181 10.42 32.5789 32.58 †25 71.0526 71.1%

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Friends of Squiggle

  • Live Ladders
  • Matter of Stats
  • HPN
  • FMI
  • Wheelo Ratings
  • AFLalytics
  • AFL Lab
  • PlusSixOne
  • Graft
  • Massey Ratings
  • ZaphBot
  • Glicko Ratings
  • Cheap Stats
  • Figuring Footy
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  • AFL Scorigami
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  • Drop Kick Data
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  • footycharts
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  • Informed Stats
  • HBin
  • Holy Grail Ratings
  • In The Game
  • The Flag
  • The Arc
  • Figuring Footy
  • BigFooty

About Squiggle

Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

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