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More Models

Posted on April 13, 2018April 13, 2018 by Max Barry

Exciting times with two new models added to the Squiggle dials:

  • Ranking Software, also known as AFL Live Ladder , also known as Darren O’Shaughnessy, one of the absolute doyens of AFL analytics
  • Stattraction, also known as statisticc from Reddit’s r/afl

And that’s not all! Two more big ones coming next week.

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Wins % Range
1
 Fremantle 20.1 144%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Sydney 17.6 132%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
3
 Hawthorn 16.4 123%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3
4
 Brisbane Lions 15.7 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4
5
 Geelong 14.7 123%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5
6
 Adelaide 14.7 116%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6
7
 Melbourne 14.3 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7
8
 Western Bulldogs 13.6 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8
9
 Collingwood 13.1 105%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9
10
 St Kilda 11.2 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10
11
 GWS 10.4 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11
12
 Carlton 10.4 91%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12
13
 North Melbourne 8.7 87%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13
14
 Port Adelaide 8.0 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14
15
 Gold Coast 8.2 92%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 West Coast 5.0 71%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 Essendon 2.5 65%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
18
 Richmond 2.7 62%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 4 games of Round 21, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Fremantle 18 2 – 147.3%
+2.1
1
2
 Sydney 15 5 – 129.5%
+2.6
2
3
 Hawthorn 14 5 1 123.7%
+1.9
3
4
 Brisbane Lions 13∗ 6 – 120.6%
+2.7
4
5
 Geelong 12 8 – 117.2%
+2.7
5
6
 Adelaide 12∗ 7 – 113.7%
+2.7
6
7
 Melbourne 12∗ 7 – 107.8%
+2.3
7
8
 Western Bulldogs 12 8 – 94.8%
+1.6
8
9
 Collingwood 11 8 1 105.6%
+1.6
9
10
 St Kilda 9 11 – 104.3%
+2.2
10
11
 Carlton 9∗ 10 – 92.4%
+1.4
12
12
 GWS 8∗ 11 – 98.3%
+2.4
11
13
 North Melbourne 8 12 – 89.3%
+0.7
13
14
 Gold Coast 7∗ 12 – 94.8%
+1.2
15
15
 Port Adelaide 6∗ 13 – 95.6%
+2.0
14
16
 West Coast 4∗ 15 – 70.1%
+1.0
16
17
 Essendon 2∗ 17 – 65.4%
+0.5
17
18
 Richmond 2∗ 17 – 60.9%
+0.7
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 6 5 4 6 5 6 5 8 7 7 3

134 44.2162 44.22 24.6382 24.64 76.5714 76.6%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 3

133 46.5932 46.59 25.1429 25.14 76.0000 76.0%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8 7 7 5 6 4 6 6 5 5 5 9 6 7 4

133 29.8445 29.84 24.9255 24.93 76.0000 76.0%
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 8 6 8 3

132 43.2268 43.23 24.2374 24.24 75.4286 75.4%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7 8 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 4

131 45.7680 45.77 24.6606 24.66 74.8571 74.9%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 4 5 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 4

130 45.6021 45.60 24.7089 24.71 74.2857 74.3%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 7 8 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 9 6 8 3

130 44.3345 44.33 24.7910 24.79 74.2857 74.3%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 4

130 43.2656 43.27 24.6939 24.69 74.2857 74.3%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 8 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 4

129 46.7436 46.74 25.1378 25.14 73.7143 73.7%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7 8 7 5 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 8 8 8 4

129 43.3357 43.34 25.2057 25.21 73.7143 73.7%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8 7 7 6 5 3 4 7 6 5 5 8 6 8 4

129 40.6020 40.60 25.2007 25.20 73.7143 73.7%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7 8 8 5 5 4 4 5 5 6 5 8 6 8 3

129 40.4449 40.44 25.1501 25.15 73.7143 73.7%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7 7 9 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 5 8 6 8 4

128 44.0673 44.07 25.8686 25.87 73.1429 73.1%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8 8 7 5 4 3 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 4

127 44.4008 44.40 25.2654 25.27 72.5714 72.6%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 7 8 5 5 4 5 6 5 6 6 8 6 8 4

127 42.9942 42.99 24.7691 24.77 72.5714 72.6%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7 6 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 3

127 40.7778 40.78 25.5570 25.56 72.5714 72.6%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 5 5 5 6 5 8 6 8 4

126 42.5497 42.55 24.9669 24.97 72.0000 72.0%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 5 8 6 8 4

126 42.4183 42.42 24.8373 24.84 72.0000 72.0%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 8 9 5 5 4 4 5 4 5 5 8 6 7 4

126 33.5593 33.56 25.8851 25.89 †1 72.4138 72.4%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 8 5 5 6 5 5 6 6 6 7 6 7 3

125 38.7817 38.78 24.9297 24.93 71.4286 71.4%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 7 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 6 8 7 7 4

125 34.3503 34.35 25.4223 25.42 71.4286 71.4%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 8 5 7 3

124 40.2541 40.25 26.1464 26.15 †3 72.0930 72.1%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 4 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 3

124 39.8050 39.80 25.1343 25.13 70.8571 70.9%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8 7 7 5 5 5 4 5 4 6 5 7 6 7 4

122 41.8009 41.80 26.1749 26.17 69.7143 69.7%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 4 5 5 8 6 8 3

122 39.3040 39.30 25.5200 25.52 69.7143 69.7%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 8 6 8 4

122 39.2216 39.22 26.1543 26.15 69.7143 69.7%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 5 5 5 8 5 8 4

121 37.5033 37.50 25.3641 25.36 69.1429 69.1%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 5 5 6 6 5 8 6 8 4

121 37.3140 37.31 26.4343 26.43 69.1429 69.1%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 9 7 8 3

120 36.3555 36.36 25.6988 25.70 †9 72.2892 72.3%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 6 6 5 2 4 5 4 5 5 7 6 7 3

120 33.7349 33.73 26.5208 26.52 68.5714 68.6%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5 8 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 7 8 4

110 39.6252 39.63 25.9200 25.92 †25 73.3333 73.3%

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Friends of Squiggle

  • Live Ladders
  • Matter of Stats
  • HPN
  • FMI
  • Wheelo Ratings
  • AFLalytics
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  • PlusSixOne
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  • Cheap Stats
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  • Informed Stats
  • HBin
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  • In The Game
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  • The Arc
  • Figuring Footy
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About Squiggle

Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

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