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Is the AFL the world’s most even sports league?

Posted on July 7, 2017July 7, 2017 by Max Barry

You know what? It’s an even season. So agrees The Arc:

This AFL season is on pace to be the most even of any major sports league, and among the most even in footy history.

Source: Footy Forensics Is the AFL the world’s most even sports league?

CategoriesThe Arc

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Wins % Range
1
 Fremantle 17.8 125%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–2
2
 Sydney 17.3 140%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–2
3
 Hawthorn 15.8 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–4
4
 Geelong 15.6 127%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–4
5
 Adelaide 13.0 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–7
6
 Gold Coast 12.8 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–9
7
 Melbourne 12.9 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–8
8
 Brisbane Lions 12.4 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–9
9
 Western Bulldogs 12.5 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–9
10
 Collingwood 11.5 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10
11
 GWS 10.8 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–12
12
 St Kilda 10.6 102%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–12
13
 North Melbourne 10.1 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–14
14
 Carlton 9.9 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–14
15
 Port Adelaide 8.1 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 West Coast 6.8 71%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 Essendon 4.5 73%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17–18
18
 Richmond 4.7 63%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17–18

After 5 games of Round 12, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Fremantle 11 1 – 135.2%
+6.8
1
2
 Sydney 10 2 – 152.4%
+7.3
2
3
 Hawthorn 8 3 1 114.8%
+7.3
3
4
 Geelong 8 4 – 121.9%
+7.6
4
5
 Gold Coast 7∗ 4 – 116.9%
+5.8
6
6
 Melbourne 7∗ 4 – 106.7%
+5.9
7
7
 Western Bulldogs 7 5 – 93.7%
+5.5
9
8
 Adelaide 6∗ 5 – 107.9%
+7.0
5
9
 Brisbane Lions 6 6 – 103.9%
+6.4
8
10
 Collingwood 5 6 1 99.9%
+6.0
10
11
 St Kilda 5 7 – 102.3%
+5.6
12
12
 GWS 5∗ 6 – 98.6%
+5.8
11
13
 North Melbourne 5∗ 6 – 97.6%
+5.1
13
14
 Carlton 4 8 – 87.5%
+5.9
14
15
 Port Adelaide 3∗ 8 – 100.9%
+5.1
15
16
 West Coast 3∗ 8 – 66.1%
+3.8
16
17
 Richmond 2 10 – 60.4%
+2.7
18
18
 Essendon 1∗ 10 – 70.9%
+3.5
17

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 6 3

81 25.6652 25.67 26.3093 26.31 77.8846 77.9%
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 3

81 24.7086 24.71 25.2857 25.29 77.8846 77.9%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8 7 7 5 6 3

79 17.2573 17.26 26.2572 26.26 75.9615 76.0%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7 8 9 5 5 3

78 25.3645 25.36 26.3157 26.32 75.0000 75.0%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8 7 9 5 5 4

78 24.4246 24.42 27.0673 27.07 75.0000 75.0%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 9 5 5 3

77 23.7688 23.77 26.3204 26.32 74.0385 74.0%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7 8 8 5 5 2

77 22.4488 22.45 26.9183 26.92 74.0385 74.0%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 8 9 5 5 3

77 19.5140 19.51 26.8462 26.85 74.0385 74.0%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 4 3

76 26.1022 26.10 26.0055 26.01 73.0769 73.1%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 8 5 5 3

76 25.7982 25.80 26.7403 26.74 73.0769 73.1%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 7 8 5 5 3

76 24.7179 24.72 26.6628 26.66 73.0769 73.1%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8 8 7 5 4 3

75 25.6139 25.61 27.0659 27.07 72.1154 72.1%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7 6 9 5 5 3

75 22.8914 22.89 27.2020 27.20 72.1154 72.1%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8 7 7 6 5 2

75 22.2644 22.26 26.6790 26.68 72.1154 72.1%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7 7 9 5 5 3

75 22.1299 22.13 28.1538 28.15 72.1154 72.1%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 6 6 5 2

74 21.2364 21.24 27.1840 27.18 71.1538 71.2%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 8 5 5 3

74 20.1355 20.14 28.0505 28.05 71.1538 71.2%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 2

73 22.8928 22.89 26.8635 26.86 70.1923 70.2%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 7 8 5 5 3

72 23.6230 23.62 26.2922 26.29 69.2308 69.2%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8 7 7 5 5 3

72 23.6007 23.60 27.5074 27.51 69.2308 69.2%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 3

72 21.7733 21.77 26.9410 26.94 69.2308 69.2%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 2

72 20.2666 20.27 26.6683 26.67 69.2308 69.2%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 8 5 5 4

72 19.8716 19.87 26.9558 26.96 69.2308 69.2%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 6 7 5 5 2

71 22.8312 22.83 26.9231 26.92 68.2692 68.3%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7 8 7 5 4 3

71 22.0172 22.02 27.4231 27.42 68.2692 68.3%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 9 5 5 2

71 21.1329 21.13 28.8558 28.86 68.2692 68.3%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 7 5 5 4

71 18.7631 18.76 27.2942 27.29 68.2692 68.3%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 6 7 5 5 3

70 19.6282 19.63 27.2625 27.26 67.3077 67.3%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 4

67 17.7706 17.77 27.5579 27.56 †9 70.5263 70.5%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 9 5 5 2

67 16.6467 16.65 27.9038 27.90 64.4231 64.4%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5 8 8 7 9 5 5 3

56 18.9437 18.94 28.3608 28.36 †25 70.8861 70.9%

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