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Is the AFL the world’s most even sports league?

Posted on July 7, 2017July 7, 2017 by Max Barry

You know what? It’s an even season. So agrees The Arc:

This AFL season is on pace to be the most even of any major sports league, and among the most even in footy history.

Source: Footy Forensics Is the AFL the world’s most even sports league?

CategoriesThe Arc

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Wins % Range
1
 Collingwood 16.9 131%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–4
2
 Brisbane Lions 15.8 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–5
3
 Geelong 14.8 123%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–6
4
 Hawthorn 14.8 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–6
5
 Western Bulldogs 14.7 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–8
6
 Gold Coast 14.3 119%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–6
7
 Adelaide 13.0 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–10
8
 GWS 12.9 112%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–10
9
 Carlton 12.3 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–13
10
 Fremantle 12.3 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–11
11
 Port Adelaide 11.1 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–13
12
 Sydney 11.0 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–13
13
 St Kilda 10.0 90%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–14
14
 Essendon 9.8 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–14
15
 Melbourne 7.8 82%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 Richmond 6.3 72%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
17
 North Melbourne 5.3 75%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
18
 West Coast 3.6 65%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After Round 7, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Collingwood 6 1 – 140.3%
+10.9
1
2
 Brisbane Lions 6 1 – 112.7%
+9.8
2
3
 Gold Coast 5∗ 1 – 150.1%
+9.3
6
4
 Hawthorn 5 2 – 116.1%
+9.8
4
5
 Adelaide 4 3 – 124.2%
+9.0
7
6
 GWS 4 3 – 120.4%
+8.9
8
7
 Geelong 4 3 – 119.6%
+10.8
3
8
 Western Bulldogs 4 3 – 114.0%
+10.7
5
9
 Fremantle 4 3 – 107.2%
+8.3
10
10
 Port Adelaide 4 3 – 99.8%
+7.1
11
11
 Carlton 3 4 – 122.4%
+9.3
9
12
 Essendon 3∗ 3 – 86.9%
+6.8
14
13
 St Kilda 3 4 – 85.7%
+7.0
13
14
 Sydney 2 5 – 94.6%
+9.0
12
15
 Melbourne 2 5 – 74.7%
+5.8
15
16
 Richmond 2 5 – 66.9%
+4.3
16
17
 North Melbourne 1 6 – 74.9%
+4.3
17
18
 West Coast – 7 – 55.9%
+3.6
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9

50 12.59 27.62 80.6%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9

48 13.77 28.37 77.4%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9

48 13.50 27.13 77.4%
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7

48 13.16 26.52 77.4%
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7

48 13.10 27.62 77.4%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7

48 12.24 27.44 77.4%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7

47 14.54 26.30 75.8%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7

47 13.61 27.41 75.8%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7

47 12.72 28.16 75.8%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7

47 12.05 27.65 75.8%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8

46 12.59 26.77 74.2%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8

46 12.20 28.08 74.2%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6

46 8.50 27.56 74.2%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7

45 11.39 29.03 72.6%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8

45 10.59 28.85 72.6%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7

45 10.31 27.92 72.6%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6

45 9.94 28.58 72.6%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7

44 13.42 26.10 71.0%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7

44 12.09 28.15 71.0%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7

44 11.86 29.81 71.0%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6

43 13.59 26.55 69.4%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6

42 10.83 28.73 67.7%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6

42 10.59 28.90 67.7%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8

42 9.77 29.55 67.7%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7

42 8.52 29.71 67.7%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6

41 9.76 29.52 66.1%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6

41 4.39 31.98 66.1%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6

40 5.00 31.14 64.5%

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