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Is the AFL the world’s most even sports league?

Posted on July 7, 2017July 7, 2017 by Max Barry

You know what? It’s an even season. So agrees The Arc:

This AFL season is on pace to be the most even of any major sports league, and among the most even in footy history.

Source: Footy Forensics Is the AFL the world’s most even sports league?

CategoriesThe Arc

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Wins % Range
1
Brisbane Lions 15.5 124%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1–2
2
Hawthorn 14.4 117%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3–4
3
Geelong 14.1 117%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1–8
4
Western Bulldogs 14.0 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2–10
5
Gold Coast 13.7 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1–7
6
Adelaide 13.6 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2–7
7
Collingwood 13.2 111%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
4–8
8
Sydney 12.9 109%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
5–10
9
GWS 12.9 105%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
5–10
10
Fremantle 12.8 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3–10
11
St Kilda 10.3 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–13
12
Melbourne 10.0 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–15
13
Port Adelaide 10.4 92%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–14
14
Carlton 9.3 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
13–15
15
North Melbourne 8.4 86%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
14–16
16
Essendon 7.6 82%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
14–17
17
Richmond 7.4 79%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
15–18
18
West Coast 6.6 77%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
17–18

After 2 games of Round 0, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
Sydney 1 – – 191.3%
+11.9
8
2
Gold Coast 1 – – 181.2%
+12.7
5
3
Geelong – 1 – 55.2%
+14.1
3
4
Carlton – 1 – 52.3%
+9.3
14
5
Adelaide –∗ – –
+13.6
6
6
Brisbane Lions –∗ – –
+15.5
1
7
Collingwood –∗ – –
+13.2
7
8
Essendon –∗ – –
+7.6
16
9
Fremantle –∗ – –
+12.8
10
10
GWS –∗ – –
+12.9
9
11
Hawthorn –∗ – –
+14.4
2
12
Melbourne –∗ – –
+10.0
12
13
North Melbourne –∗ – –
+8.4
15
14
Port Adelaide –∗ – –
+10.4
13
15
Richmond –∗ – –
+7.4
17
16
St Kilda –∗ – –
+10.3
11
17
West Coast –∗ – –
+6.6
18
18
Western Bulldogs –∗ – –
+14.0
4

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Punters

2

2 0.9452 0.95 41.5050 41.51 100.0000 100.0%
Cheap Stats

2

2 0.7035 0.70 40.5000 40.50 100.0000 100.0%
Glicko Ratings

2

2 0.6238 0.62 48.1150 48.12 100.0000 100.0%
AFLalytics

2

2 0.5912 0.59 48.3850 48.38 100.0000 100.0%
Drop Kick Data

2

2 0.5687 0.57 49.4750 49.48 100.0000 100.0%
Wheelo Ratings

2

2 0.4810 0.48 51.2500 51.25 100.0000 100.0%
footycharts

2

2 0.4353 0.44 52.5050 52.51 100.0000 100.0%
Matter of Stats

2

2 0.4045 0.40 52.9900 52.99 100.0000 100.0%
Holy Grail Ratings

2

2 0.1970 0.20 54.1700 54.17 100.0000 100.0%
In The Game

1

1 0.5190 0.52 47.7700 47.77 50.0000 50.0%
The Cruncher

1

1 0.4993 0.50 51.5250 51.52 50.0000 50.0%
s10

1

1 0.3569 0.36 53.1550 53.16 50.0000 50.0%
Hyperion

1

1 0.3505 0.35 52.0000 52.00 50.0000 50.0%
PlusSixOne

1

1 0.3067 0.31 52.0500 52.05 50.0000 50.0%
Aggregate

1

1 0.2940 0.29 54.1150 54.12 50.0000 50.0%
Don't Blame the Data

1

1 0.2519 0.25 55.8750 55.88 50.0000 50.0%
What Snoo Thinks

1

1 0.2166 0.22 54.5650 54.56 50.0000 50.0%
Live Ladders

1

1 0.2136 0.21 56.0000 56.00 50.0000 50.0%
Elo Predicts!

1

1 0.2113 0.21 62.0000 62.00 50.0000 50.0%
Stattraction

1

1 0.1712 0.17 56.6300 56.63 50.0000 50.0%
Graft

1

1 0.1662 0.17 55.5000 55.50 50.0000 50.0%
The Wooden Finger

1

1 0.1490 0.15 56.0000 56.00 50.0000 50.0%
Informed Stats

1

1 0.1158 0.12 57.0000 57.00 50.0000 50.0%
AFL Scorigami

1

1 0.0999 0.10 57.5250 57.52 50.0000 50.0%
Massey Ratings

1

1 0.0405 0.04 58.0000 58.00 50.0000 50.0%
Winnable

1

1 0.0346 0.03 58.9250 58.92 50.0000 50.0%
HBin

1

1 -0.0197 0.02 59.7500 59.75 50.0000 50.0%
The Footycast

1

1 -0.0791 0.08 59.2000 59.20 50.0000 50.0%
AFL Lab

1

1 -0.1012 0.10 61.7200 61.72 50.0000 50.0%
ZaphBot

1

1 -0.2475 0.25 57.0000 57.00 50.0000 50.0%
Squiggle

0

0 -0.1106 0.11 61.3800 61.38 0.0000 0.0%

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