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Is the AFL the world’s most even sports league?

Posted on July 7, 2017July 7, 2017 by Max Barry

You know what? It’s an even season. So agrees The Arc:

This AFL season is on pace to be the most even of any major sports league, and among the most even in footy history.

Source: Footy Forensics Is the AFL the world’s most even sports league?

CategoriesThe Arc

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Wins % Range
1
 Fremantle 19.5 143%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Sydney 17.7 137%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
3
 Hawthorn 15.9 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3
4
 Brisbane Lions 15.2 118%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–6
5
 Geelong 14.6 124%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–6
6
 Adelaide 14.8 116%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–7
7
 Melbourne 15.0 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–7
8
 Collingwood 13.5 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–9
9
 Western Bulldogs 13.0 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–9
10
 Carlton 11.4 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–11
11
 St Kilda 10.9 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–11
12
 GWS 10.4 101%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12
13
 North Melbourne 9.4 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13
14
 Gold Coast 8.4 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14
15
 Port Adelaide 7.2 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 West Coast 4.5 71%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 Richmond 3.3 62%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
18
 Essendon 2.4 63%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 8 games of Round 22, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Fremantle 18 3 – 143.4%
+1.5
1
2
 Sydney 16 5 – 134.0%
+1.7
2
3
 Hawthorn 14 6 1 118.2%
+1.4
3
4
 Brisbane Lions 14 7 – 117.8%
+1.2
4
5
 Adelaide 14 7 – 117.6%
+0.8
6
6
 Melbourne 14 7 – 107.6%
+1.0
7
7
 Geelong 13 8 – 120.6%
+1.6
5
8
 Collingwood 12 8 1 106.4%
+1.0
8
9
 Western Bulldogs 12 9 – 93.9%
+1.0
9
10
 Carlton 10∗ 10 – 97.0%
+1.4
10
11
 St Kilda 9∗ 11 – 104.3%
+1.9
11
12
 GWS 9 12 – 98.9%
+1.4
12
13
 North Melbourne 9 12 – 90.9%
+0.4
13
14
 Gold Coast 8 13 – 95.0%
+0.4
14
15
 Port Adelaide 6 15 – 90.2%
+1.2
15
16
 West Coast 4 17 – 71.5%
+0.5
16
17
 Richmond 3 18 – 63.5%
+0.3
17
18
 Essendon 2 19 – 63.2%
+0.4
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 6 5 4 6 5 6 5 8 7 7 6 5

142 46.1294 46.13 25.0324 25.03 75.5319 75.5%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8 7 7 5 6 4 6 6 5 5 5 9 6 7 7 5

141 31.3983 31.40 25.3961 25.40 75.0000 75.0%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7 8 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 8 5

140 47.7700 47.77 25.0912 25.09 74.4681 74.5%
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 8 6 8 6 4

139 45.6444 45.64 24.5753 24.58 73.9362 73.9%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 5 4

139 45.5523 45.55 26.0000 26.00 73.9362 73.9%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7 8 8 5 5 4 4 5 5 6 5 8 6 8 7 6

139 43.3270 43.33 25.4553 25.46 73.9362 73.9%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 7 8 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 9 6 8 6 5

138 47.2820 47.28 25.1061 25.11 73.4043 73.4%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 4 5 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 7 5

138 46.8462 46.85 25.1625 25.16 73.4043 73.4%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 7 5

138 45.1916 45.19 25.1524 25.15 73.4043 73.4%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8 7 7 6 5 3 4 7 6 5 5 8 6 8 7 5

137 43.4691 43.47 25.5591 25.56 72.8723 72.9%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 8 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 6 5

136 48.4113 48.41 25.6228 25.62 72.3404 72.3%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7 7 9 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 5 8 6 8 7 5

136 45.8264 45.83 26.2660 26.27 72.3404 72.3%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7 8 7 5 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 8 8 8 7 4

136 44.4369 44.44 25.7234 25.72 72.3404 72.3%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8 8 7 5 4 3 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 6 5

134 46.0856 46.09 25.7391 25.74 71.2766 71.3%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 5 5 5 6 5 8 6 8 7 5

134 44.3743 44.37 25.4347 25.43 71.2766 71.3%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7 6 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 4 6

134 42.2994 42.30 26.1021 26.10 71.2766 71.3%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 7 8 5 5 4 5 6 5 6 6 8 6 8 6 4

133 44.8921 44.89 25.2224 25.22 70.7447 70.7%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 5 8 6 8 6 5

133 44.1465 44.15 25.2891 25.29 70.7447 70.7%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 8 5 5 6 5 5 6 6 6 7 6 7 6 5

133 41.1403 41.14 25.3984 25.40 70.7447 70.7%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 8 9 5 5 4 4 5 4 5 5 8 6 7 6 5

133 34.5300 34.53 26.4332 26.43 †1 71.1230 71.1%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 8 5 7 7 4

132 43.0515 43.05 26.3580 26.36 †3 71.3514 71.4%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 4 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 6 5

132 41.6125 41.61 25.4872 25.49 70.2128 70.2%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 7 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 6 8 7 7 6 5

132 36.7359 36.74 25.7963 25.80 70.2128 70.2%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8 7 7 5 5 5 4 5 4 6 5 7 6 7 7 4

129 43.1766 43.18 26.5664 26.57 68.6170 68.6%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 8 6 8 6 5

129 41.0949 41.09 26.6330 26.63 68.6170 68.6%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 4 5 5 8 6 8 5 5

129 41.0875 41.09 25.9947 25.99 68.6170 68.6%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 5 5 6 6 5 8 6 8 7 5

129 39.3010 39.30 26.9468 26.95 68.6170 68.6%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 9 7 8 6 5

128 37.4443 37.44 26.2793 26.28 †9 71.5084 71.5%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 6 6 5 2 4 5 4 5 5 7 6 7 6 5

128 35.6113 35.61 26.9582 26.96 68.0851 68.1%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 5 5 5 8 5 8 6 4

127 38.0283 38.03 26.1069 26.11 67.5532 67.6%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5 8 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 7 8 6 5

117 40.2603 40.26 26.5000 26.50 †25 71.7791 71.8%

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