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Is the AFL the world’s most even sports league?

Posted on July 7, 2017July 7, 2017 by Max Barry

You know what? It’s an even season. So agrees The Arc:

This AFL season is on pace to be the most even of any major sports league, and among the most even in footy history.

Source: Footy Forensics Is the AFL the world’s most even sports league?

CategoriesThe Arc

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Wins % Range
1
 Sydney 17.3 145%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Hawthorn 17.0 130%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
3
 Brisbane Lions 15.5 132%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3
4
 Fremantle 15.9 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4
5
 Geelong 13.9 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5
6
 Adelaide 13.1 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6
7
 Collingwood 12.7 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7
8
 Gold Coast 12.6 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8
9
 Western Bulldogs 12.2 101%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9
10
 St Kilda 11.9 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10
11
 Melbourne 11.7 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11
12
 GWS 10.7 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12
13
 North Melbourne 10.0 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13
14
 Port Adelaide 9.8 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14
15
 Carlton 7.9 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 West Coast 5.6 64%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 Essendon 5.0 69%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
18
 Richmond 4.4 63%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 7 games of Round 9, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Sydney 8 1 – 157.2%
+9.3
1
2
 Fremantle 8 1 – 131.6%
+7.9
4
3
 Hawthorn 6 2 1 116.8%
+10.5
2
4
 Brisbane Lions 6 3 – 124.5%
+9.5
3
5
 Geelong 6 3 – 120.4%
+7.9
5
6
 Gold Coast 6 3 – 118.5%
+6.6
8
7
 Melbourne 5∗ 3 – 100.2%
+6.7
11
8
 Western Bulldogs 5 4 – 92.4%
+7.2
9
9
 Collingwood 4 4 1 99.9%
+8.2
7
10
 St Kilda 4 5 – 109.3%
+7.9
10
11
 North Melbourne 4 5 – 104.4%
+6.0
13
12
 Adelaide 4∗ 4 – 96.6%
+9.1
6
13
 GWS 4 5 – 91.1%
+6.7
12
14
 Port Adelaide 3 6 – 109.5%
+6.8
14
15
 West Coast 2∗ 6 – 59.3%
+3.6
16
16
 Carlton 1 8 – 79.3%
+6.9
15
17
 Essendon 1 8 – 71.8%
+4.0
17
18
 Richmond 1∗ 7 – 60.0%
+3.4
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 6

66 22.4392 22.44 24.5356 24.54 83.5443 83.5%
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 6

65 23.1361 23.14 25.6606 25.66 82.2785 82.3%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7 8 7

63 23.0407 23.04 25.8413 25.84 79.7468 79.7%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7 8 6

63 20.9976 21.00 26.1170 26.12 79.7468 79.7%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8 7 5

63 15.1706 15.17 25.6162 25.62 79.7468 79.7%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8 8 6

62 23.2458 23.25 25.2849 25.28 78.4810 78.5%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8 7 7

62 22.5608 22.56 26.9620 26.96 78.4810 78.5%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 7

62 21.1030 21.10 25.9975 26.00 78.4810 78.5%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 8 7

62 16.3649 16.36 26.9620 26.96 78.4810 78.5%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8 8 5

61 23.7499 23.75 26.4982 26.50 77.2152 77.2%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 6

61 23.7156 23.72 26.5625 26.56 77.2152 77.2%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 7 6

61 21.9496 21.95 26.1032 26.10 77.2152 77.2%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7 7 7

60 20.9590 20.96 27.5570 27.56 75.9494 75.9%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7 7 6

60 20.6603 20.66 26.2378 26.24 75.9494 75.9%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8 7 5

60 20.0669 20.07 26.0475 26.05 75.9494 75.9%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7 6 7

60 19.6219 19.62 26.8094 26.81 75.9494 75.9%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 6

59 21.1505 21.15 27.4177 27.42 74.6835 74.7%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 4

59 19.5613 19.56 26.4828 26.48 74.6835 74.7%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7 7 6

59 18.7662 18.77 26.6127 26.61 74.6835 74.7%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8 7 5

57 20.6973 20.70 27.1235 27.12 72.1519 72.2%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7 7 7

57 20.4308 20.43 26.7078 26.71 72.1519 72.2%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 7 6

57 20.1965 20.20 26.1380 26.14 72.1519 72.2%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 6 5

57 19.1475 19.15 26.8481 26.85 72.1519 72.2%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7 8 5

57 18.8193 18.82 27.7468 27.75 72.1519 72.2%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 7

57 18.3038 18.30 28.9873 28.99 72.1519 72.2%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 6

56 16.8763 16.88 27.0557 27.06 70.8861 70.9%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 6 5

55 17.0566 17.06 26.8686 26.87 69.6203 69.6%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 5

55 16.0753 16.08 27.1013 27.10 69.6203 69.6%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 7

53 16.5008 16.50 27.2785 27.28 67.0886 67.1%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5 8 7 7 7

51 14.9043 14.90 28.0000 28.00 †9 72.8571 72.9%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5 8 8 7 7

41 16.2975 16.30 28.5185 28.52 †25 75.9259 75.9%

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