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Is the AFL the world’s most even sports league?

Posted on July 7, 2017July 7, 2017 by Max Barry

You know what? It’s an even season. So agrees The Arc:

This AFL season is on pace to be the most even of any major sports league, and among the most even in footy history.

Source: Footy Forensics Is the AFL the world’s most even sports league?

CategoriesThe Arc

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Wins % Range
1
 Collingwood 16.3 128%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–4
2
 Brisbane Lions 16.1 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–3
3
 Geelong 15.4 125%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–4
4
 Hawthorn 14.9 117%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–7
5
 Western Bulldogs 14.7 125%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–8
6
 Adelaide 13.9 121%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–6
7
 Gold Coast 13.8 118%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–7
8
 GWS 12.4 111%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–10
9
 Sydney 11.7 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–10
10
 Carlton 11.1 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–13
11
 St Kilda 11.3 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–13
12
 Fremantle 11.0 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–12
13
 Port Adelaide 10.7 91%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–14
14
 Essendon 10.1 87%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–14
15
 Melbourne 8.3 82%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 Richmond 6.1 70%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
17
 North Melbourne 5.5 78%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
18
 West Coast 3.5 66%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 1 game of Round 9, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Collingwood 7 2 – 131.0%
+9.3
1
2
 Brisbane Lions 7∗ 1 – 114.4%
+9.1
2
3
 Hawthorn 6∗ 2 – 125.6%
+8.9
4
4
 Gold Coast 5∗ 2 – 140.4%
+8.8
7
5
 Adelaide 5∗ 3 – 131.8%
+8.9
6
6
 Western Bulldogs 5∗ 3 – 127.1%
+9.7
5
7
 Geelong 5∗ 3 – 117.4%
+10.4
3
8
 GWS 4∗ 4 – 115.0%
+8.4
8
9
 Fremantle 4 5 – 95.7%
+7.0
12
10
 St Kilda 4∗ 4 – 94.6%
+7.3
11
11
 Essendon 4∗ 3 – 88.6%
+6.1
14
12
 Port Adelaide 4∗ 4 – 87.9%
+6.7
13
13
 Carlton 3∗ 5 – 108.6%
+8.1
10
14
 Sydney 3∗ 5 – 97.2%
+8.7
9
15
 Melbourne 3∗ 5 – 81.6%
+5.3
15
16
 Richmond 2∗ 6 – 63.4%
+4.1
16
17
 North Melbourne 1∗ 7 – 76.4%
+4.5
17
18
 West Coast –∗ 8 – 57.7%
+3.5
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 1

57 16.50 27.74 79.2%
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6 1

57 15.01 27.68 79.2%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7 1

56 16.23 27.33 77.8%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7 1

56 16.19 28.33 77.8%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7 1

55 15.82 27.65 76.4%
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 1

55 14.79 27.02 76.4%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7 1

55 14.58 27.73 76.4%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 1

55 14.58 27.64 76.4%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6 1

54 16.91 26.65 75.0%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6 1

54 15.00 28.47 75.0%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7 1

54 14.44 27.24 75.0%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8 1

53 14.83 29.18 73.6%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8 1

53 14.71 28.42 73.6%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6 1

53 14.15 28.34 73.6%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7 1

53 13.73 28.75 73.6%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7 1

53 12.98 28.91 73.6%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 1

53 10.43 27.64 73.6%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6 1

52 12.29 28.17 72.2%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6 1

52 11.68 28.73 72.2%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7 1

51 15.77 26.88 70.8%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6 1

51 15.40 26.57 70.8%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7 1

50 12.20 29.33 69.4%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8 1

50 6.68 31.32 69.4%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6 1

49 13.40 28.86 68.1%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7 1

49 12.48 29.71 68.1%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6 1

49 10.56 29.51 68.1%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 1

48 11.95 29.20 66.7%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8 0

48 6.33 31.27 66.7%

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