Skip to content
Squiggle
@squiggle.au @SquiggleAFL Discord

Is the AFL the world’s most even sports league?

Posted on July 7, 2017July 7, 2017 by Max Barry

You know what? It’s an even season. So agrees The Arc:

This AFL season is on pace to be the most even of any major sports league, and among the most even in footy history.

Source: Footy Forensics Is the AFL the world’s most even sports league?

CategoriesThe Arc

Post navigation

Previous PostPrevious Sydney’s path to the finals may be the weirdest ever
Next PostNext Collingwood under Buckley

Wins % Range
1
Collingwood 18.5 133%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1
2
Geelong 16.4 137%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2
3
Adelaide 15.4 135%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3–5
4
Western Bulldogs 15.1 136%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3–5
5
Brisbane Lions 15.3 112%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3–5
6
Gold Coast 14.7 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
6–7
7
Hawthorn 14.5 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
6–7
8
Fremantle 13.9 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
8–9
9
GWS 13.5 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
8–9
10
Sydney 10.5 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
10
11
Port Adelaide 10.0 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–12
12
Carlton 9.4 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–12
13
Melbourne 8.8 91%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
13–15
14
St Kilda 8.5 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
14–15
15
Essendon 8.6 77%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
13–15
16
North Melbourne 6.6 77%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
16
17
Richmond 4.8 65%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
17
18
West Coast 2.8 66%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
18

After 7 games of Round 17, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
Collingwood 14 2 – 139.0%
+4.5
1
2
Brisbane Lions 11 4 1 114.7%
+3.8
5
3
Geelong 11 5 – 132.3%
+5.4
2
4
Hawthorn 11 5 – 118.9%
+3.5
7
5
Adelaide 10∗ 5 – 139.8%
+5.4
3
6
Western Bulldogs 10 6 – 133.2%
+5.1
4
7
Gold Coast 10∗ 5 – 122.5%
+4.7
6
8
GWS 10 6 – 112.0%
+3.5
9
9
Fremantle 10∗ 5 – 110.4%
+3.9
8
10
Port Adelaide 7 9 – 87.6%
+3.0
11
11
Carlton 6 10 – 96.1%
+3.4
12
12
Sydney 6∗ 9 – 92.1%
+4.5
10
13
Essendon 6∗ 9 – 76.4%
+2.6
15
14
Melbourne 5∗ 10 – 86.7%
+3.8
13
15
St Kilda 5 11 – 85.7%
+3.5
14
16
North Melbourne 4 11 1 77.3%
+2.1
16
17
Richmond 3 13 – 63.0%
+1.8
17
18
West Coast 1 15 – 63.9%
+1.8
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6 6 6 6 5 6 5 5 6 7

108 28.51 26.57 76.6%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 3 7 7

106 27.56 26.43 75.2%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6 8 5 6 5 5 6 4 7 7

106 27.25 27.35 75.2%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6 7 6 7 5 6 6 4 7 7

106 27.04 26.56 75.2%
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 5 5 5 6 6 4 7 6

106 24.87 27.25 75.2%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 6 7

105 29.05 26.42 74.5%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 7 7

105 28.66 26.29 74.5%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8 6 5 6 6 6 6 4 7 7

105 28.17 27.61 74.5%
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 8 6 6 4 6 4 4 6 7

105 27.27 26.41 74.5%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 7

105 27.27 26.38 74.5%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7 5 6 5 5 6 5 4 6 7

104 28.11 27.28 73.8%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 6 7

103 29.70 25.96 73.0%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 4 4 7 7

102 25.43 27.08 72.3%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7 7 6 6 5 6 4 4 6 7

101 28.07 26.15 71.6%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7 6 6 6 4 6 4 3 6 7

101 26.66 26.81 71.6%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7 6 5 5 4 6 6 4 6 7

101 26.04 27.04 71.6%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 6 4 3 7 7

101 25.09 26.45 71.6%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7 5 5 7 3 5 6 5 6 7

101 24.30 27.24 71.6%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6 6 6 6 4 6 4 5 6 7

100 28.51 25.88 70.9%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8 7 5 5 4 6 5 3 6 7

100 27.59 27.01 70.9%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 7

100 19.16 28.61 70.9%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6 5 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 7

98 26.64 26.98 69.5%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6 6 4 6 4 5 5 3 6 6

97 24.43 27.85 68.8%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 7 7

97 23.12 28.00 68.8%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7 6 4 5 4 4 5 4 7 7

95 24.48 27.18 67.4%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8 5 3 6 4 6 6 4 6 7

95 13.53 29.51 67.4%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7 5 3 7 4 4 6 4 6 7

94 21.86 28.45 66.7%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 6 5 5 4 6 4 3 6 7

93 21.70 28.25 66.0%

AFL Ladder Predictor

Squiggle AFL Ladder Predictor

Live Squiggle

Twitter

Tweets by SquiggleAFL

Friends of Squiggle

  • Live Ladders
  • Matter of Stats
  • HPN
  • FMI
  • Wheelo Ratings
  • AFLalytics
  • AFL Lab
  • PlusSixOne
  • Graft
  • Massey Ratings
  • ZaphBot
  • Glicko Ratings
  • Cheap Stats
  • Figuring Footy
  • The Footycast
  • AFL Scorigami
  • Data by Josh
  • Elo Predicts!
  • Stattraction
  • The Wooden Finger
  • Drop Kick Data
  • Hyperion
  • footycharts
  • Winnable
  • What Snoo Thinks
  • Informed Stats
  • The Flag
  • The Arc
  • Figuring Footy
  • BigFooty

About Squiggle

Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

SQUIGGLE API

Need free data? Try the Squiggle API.