Skip to content
Squiggle
@squiggle.au @SquiggleAFL Discord

Is the AFL the world’s most even sports league?

Posted on July 7, 2017July 7, 2017 by Max Barry

You know what? It’s an even season. So agrees The Arc:

This AFL season is on pace to be the most even of any major sports league, and among the most even in footy history.

Source: Footy Forensics Is the AFL the world’s most even sports league?

CategoriesThe Arc

Post navigation

Previous PostPrevious Sydney’s path to the finals may be the weirdest ever
Next PostNext Collingwood under Buckley

Wins % Range
1
Collingwood 17.6 133%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1–2
2
Geelong 16.2 130%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2–3
3
Brisbane Lions 15.4 111%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1–5
4
Adelaide 15.1 129%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3–6
5
Western Bulldogs 14.8 131%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3–7
6
Gold Coast 14.9 119%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
4–6
7
Fremantle 13.3 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
7–9
8
Hawthorn 13.1 109%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
5–9
9
GWS 12.8 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
7–9
10
Carlton 10.6 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
10–11
11
Essendon 10.0 84%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–14
12
Sydney 9.7 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
10–14
13
St Kilda 9.6 92%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–15
14
Melbourne 9.7 90%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–15
15
Port Adelaide 8.8 83%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
13–15
16
North Melbourne 5.9 77%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
16–17
17
Richmond 5.8 71%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
16–17
18
West Coast 3.7 67%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
18

After Round 12, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
Collingwood 10 2 – 136.9%
+7.6
1
2
Brisbane Lions 9 2 1 114.0%
+5.9
3
3
Adelaide 8 4 – 139.3%
+7.1
4
4
Gold Coast 8∗ 3 – 127.8%
+6.9
6
5
Geelong 8 4 – 124.8%
+8.2
2
6
Hawthorn 7 5 – 110.2%
+6.1
8
7
GWS 7 5 – 109.4%
+5.8
9
8
Fremantle 7 5 – 106.4%
+6.3
7
9
Western Bulldogs 6∗ 5 – 126.5%
+8.8
5
10
Essendon 6∗ 5 – 84.6%
+4.0
11
11
St Kilda 5 7 – 93.1%
+4.6
13
12
Melbourne 5 7 – 87.6%
+4.7
14
13
Carlton 4∗ 7 – 102.8%
+6.6
10
14
Sydney 4 8 – 85.7%
+5.7
12
15
Port Adelaide 4∗ 7 – 79.1%
+4.8
15
16
Richmond 3 9 – 71.1%
+2.8
17
17
North Melbourne 2∗ 8 1 78.1%
+3.4
16
18
West Coast 1 11 – 64.5%
+2.7
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6 6 6 6 5

79 17.41 27.64 75.2%
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 8 6 6 4

78 17.40 27.33 74.3%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7 6 6 6 4

77 18.05 27.43 73.3%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6 8 5 6 5

77 17.69 27.96 73.3%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 6 6 6 5

77 16.82 27.57 73.3%
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 5 5 5

77 16.69 28.17 73.3%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7 6 6 6 4

76 18.22 27.52 72.4%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7 6 5 6 5

76 16.85 27.55 72.4%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7 5 6 5 5

76 16.30 28.85 72.4%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6 7 6 7 5

76 15.51 27.92 72.4%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6 6 5 6 5

75 19.50 27.03 71.4%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7 6 6 6 4

75 16.81 27.46 71.4%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8 6 5 6 6

75 15.33 29.19 71.4%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7 7 6 6 5

74 18.51 26.98 70.5%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5

74 15.71 28.24 70.5%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 6 5 5

74 13.79 27.69 70.5%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8 7 5 5 4

73 16.59 27.95 69.5%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6 6 6 6 4

72 16.78 27.19 68.6%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6 6 4 6 4

72 15.74 28.46 68.6%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7 6 5 5 4

72 14.34 28.55 68.6%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7 5 5 7 3

72 13.75 29.08 68.6%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8 6 5 6 5

71 9.74 30.00 67.6%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6 6 5 5 5

69 12.90 29.28 65.7%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7 6 4 5 4

68 13.24 28.51 64.8%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 6 5 5 4

67 12.78 28.85 63.8%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7 5 3 7 4

67 11.89 29.76 63.8%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8 5 3 6 4

66 7.98 30.07 62.9%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6 5 5 1 1

60 11.54 27.85†13 65.2%

AFL Ladder Predictor

Squiggle AFL Ladder Predictor

Live Squiggle

Twitter

Tweets by SquiggleAFL

Friends of Squiggle

  • Live Ladders
  • Matter of Stats
  • HPN
  • FMI
  • Wheelo Ratings
  • AFLalytics
  • AFL Lab
  • PlusSixOne
  • Graft
  • Massey Ratings
  • ZaphBot
  • Glicko Ratings
  • Cheap Stats
  • Figuring Footy
  • The Footycast
  • AFL Scorigami
  • Data by Josh
  • Elo Predicts!
  • Stattraction
  • The Wooden Finger
  • Drop Kick Data
  • Hyperion
  • footycharts
  • Winnable
  • What Snoo Thinks
  • Informed Stats
  • The Flag
  • The Arc
  • Figuring Footy
  • BigFooty

About Squiggle

Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

SQUIGGLE API

Need free data? Try the Squiggle API.