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Is the AFL the world’s most even sports league?

Posted on July 7, 2017July 7, 2017 by Max Barry

You know what? It’s an even season. So agrees The Arc:

This AFL season is on pace to be the most even of any major sports league, and among the most even in footy history.

Source: Footy Forensics Is the AFL the world’s most even sports league?

CategoriesThe Arc

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Wins % Range
1
 Western Bulldogs 14.9 122%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–4
2
 Brisbane Lions 14.1 122%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–5
3
 Gold Coast 13.8 117%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–5
4
 Geelong 13.4 113%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–7
5
 Hawthorn 13.0 112%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–8
6
 Collingwood 13.1 109%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–7
7
 Adelaide 13.0 111%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–9
8
 Sydney 12.9 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–9
9
 GWS 12.6 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–10
10
 Fremantle 12.0 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–10
11
 Melbourne 10.6 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–15
12
 St Kilda 10.6 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–14
13
 Port Adelaide 10.0 91%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–15
14
 Carlton 9.9 87%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–15
15
 North Melbourne 9.3 87%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–16
16
 Richmond 8.3 83%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15–17
17
 Essendon 8.3 81%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14–17
18
 West Coast 7.4 76%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 1 game of Round 1, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Sydney 1∗ – – 191.3%
+11.9
8
2
 Gold Coast 1∗ – – 181.2%
+12.8
3
3
 GWS 1∗ – – 128.4%
+11.6
9
4
 Collingwood 1∗ – – 118.2%
+12.1
6
5
 Western Bulldogs 1∗ – – 104.7%
+13.9
1
6
 Carlton 1 1 – 70.9%
+8.9
14
7
 Brisbane Lions –∗ 1 – 95.5%
+14.1
2
8
 Richmond –∗ 1 – 94.7%
+8.3
16
9
 St Kilda –∗ 1 – 84.6%
+10.6
12
10
 Hawthorn –∗ 1 – 77.9%
+13.0
5
11
 Geelong –∗ 1 – 55.2%
+13.4
4
12
 Adelaide –∗ – –
+13.0
7
13
 Essendon –∗ – –
+8.3
17
14
 Fremantle –∗ – –
+12.0
10
15
 Melbourne –∗ – –
+10.6
11
16
 North Melbourne –∗ – –
+9.3
15
17
 Port Adelaide –∗ – –
+10.0
13
18
 West Coast –∗ – –
+7.4
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
HBin

4 1

5 1.2329 1.23 28.3167 28.32 83.3333 83.3%
AFLalytics

4 1

5 0.9011 0.90 26.2750 26.27 83.3333 83.3%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 1

5 0.3516 0.35 27.0533 27.05 83.3333 83.3%
Graft

3 1

4 1.2558 1.26 29.8333 29.83 66.6667 66.7%
Matter of Stats

3 1

4 0.8666 0.87 27.1733 27.17 66.6667 66.7%
What Snoo Thinks

3 1

4 0.8577 0.86 23.8233 23.82 66.6667 66.7%
Elo Predicts!

3 1

4 0.7320 0.73 30.1667 30.17 66.6667 66.7%
Glicko Ratings

3 1

4 0.6961 0.70 30.0817 30.08 66.6667 66.7%
footycharts

3 1

4 0.5190 0.52 27.0800 27.08 66.6667 66.7%
AFL Scorigami

3 1

4 0.4917 0.49 28.6067 28.61 66.6667 66.7%
Hyperion

3 1

4 0.4820 0.48 29.3333 29.33 66.6667 66.7%
Drop Kick Data

3 1

4 0.3962 0.40 27.0100 27.01 66.6667 66.7%
Wheelo Ratings

3 1

4 -0.1894 -0.19 30.6167 30.62 66.6667 66.7%
The Cruncher

2 1

3 0.8907 0.89 27.3717 27.37 50.0000 50.0%
Stattraction

2 1

3 0.7746 0.77 30.7533 30.75 50.0000 50.0%
Don't Blame the Data

2 1

3 0.7607 0.76 31.6283 31.63 50.0000 50.0%
The Wooden Finger

2 1

3 0.6364 0.64 30.1667 30.17 50.0000 50.0%
Massey Ratings

2 1

3 0.5866 0.59 31.5000 31.50 50.0000 50.0%
Aggregate

2 1

3 0.5678 0.57 28.7500 28.75 50.0000 50.0%
s10

2 1

3 0.5277 0.53 29.2917 29.29 50.0000 50.0%
The Footycast

2 1

3 0.4094 0.41 33.5333 33.53 50.0000 50.0%
Informed Stats

2 1

3 0.3774 0.38 35.8333 35.83 50.0000 50.0%
PlusSixOne

2 1

3 0.3567 0.36 28.4833 28.48 50.0000 50.0%
Live Ladders

2 1

3 0.3047 0.30 26.8333 26.83 50.0000 50.0%
Punters

2 1

3 0.1638 0.16 29.4833 29.48 50.0000 50.0%
In The Game

2 1

3 0.0626 0.06 30.7233 30.72 50.0000 50.0%
AFL Lab

2 1

3 0.0131 0.01 35.0983 35.10 50.0000 50.0%
ZaphBot

2 1

3 -0.2186 -0.22 39.6667 39.67 50.0000 50.0%
Cheap Stats

3 0

3 -0.2550 -0.26 27.3333 27.33 50.0000 50.0%
Squiggle

1 1

2 0.1614 0.16 31.7667 31.77 33.3333 33.3%
Winnable

1 1

2 -0.3681 -0.37 34.0767 34.08 33.3333 33.3%

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