Skip to content
Squiggle
@squiggle.au @SquiggleAFL Discord

Is the AFL the world’s most even sports league?

Posted on July 7, 2017July 7, 2017 by Max Barry

You know what? It’s an even season. So agrees The Arc:

This AFL season is on pace to be the most even of any major sports league, and among the most even in footy history.

Source: Footy Forensics Is the AFL the world’s most even sports league?

CategoriesThe Arc

Post navigation

Previous PostPrevious Sydney’s path to the finals may be the weirdest ever
Next PostNext Collingwood under Buckley

Wins % Range
1
 Western Bulldogs 16.0 126%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–2
2
 Hawthorn 14.7 121%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–6
3
 Sydney 14.4 126%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–7
4
 Geelong 14.5 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–4
5
 Fremantle 13.9 117%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–6
6
 Gold Coast 13.9 118%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–7
7
 Brisbane Lions 13.8 118%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–7
8
 Adelaide 11.9 109%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–11
9
 Collingwood 11.9 102%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–10
10
 Melbourne 11.8 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–10
11
 GWS 10.7 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–12
12
 St Kilda 10.3 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–15
13
 North Melbourne 10.1 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–14
14
 Port Adelaide 9.5 91%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–15
15
 Carlton 8.7 85%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–16
16
 West Coast 8.6 77%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14–16
17
 Essendon 6.4 75%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17–18
18
 Richmond 6.1 72%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17–18

After Round 4, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Western Bulldogs 4 – – 140.4%
+12.0
1
2
 Sydney 3 1 – 182.9%
+11.4
3
3
 Gold Coast 3 1 – 152.6%
+10.9
6
4
 Fremantle 3 1 – 133.4%
+10.9
5
5
 North Melbourne 3 1 – 115.3%
+7.1
13
6
 Hawthorn 3 1 – 114.0%
+11.7
2
7
 Melbourne 3 1 – 102.0%
+8.8
10
8
 Port Adelaide 2 2 – 117.6%
+7.5
14
9
 Brisbane Lions 2 2 – 110.6%
+11.8
7
10
 Collingwood 2 2 – 93.1%
+9.9
9
11
 Geelong 2 2 – 89.7%
+12.5
4
12
 West Coast 2 2 – 64.9%
+6.6
16
13
 Adelaide 1 3 – 99.4%
+10.9
8
14
 St Kilda 1 3 – 86.0%
+9.3
12
15
 Carlton 1 3 – 76.9%
+7.7
15
16
 GWS 1 3 – 76.9%
+9.7
11
17
 Essendon – 4 – 62.7%
+6.4
17
18
 Richmond – 4 – 56.1%
+6.1
18

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6

28 8.7009 8.70 24.1667 24.17 77.7778 77.8%
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6

27 8.5003 8.50 26.4700 26.47 75.0000 75.0%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4

27 4.9289 4.93 26.1608 26.16 75.0000 75.0%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5

26 9.0500 9.05 26.0403 26.04 72.2222 72.2%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6

26 7.9511 7.95 25.9114 25.91 72.2222 72.2%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5

26 7.8436 7.84 25.9392 25.94 72.2222 72.2%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6

26 7.1523 7.15 26.5733 26.57 72.2222 72.2%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4

26 6.8095 6.81 26.2914 26.29 72.2222 72.2%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5

26 6.6992 6.70 26.1733 26.17 72.2222 72.2%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5

26 6.5865 6.59 25.7500 25.75 72.2222 72.2%
s10

2 8 5 5 5

25 8.2399 8.24 25.7400 25.74 69.4444 69.4%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5

25 7.8202 7.82 26.3472 26.35 69.4444 69.4%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5

25 6.9536 6.95 25.8472 25.85 69.4444 69.4%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5

25 6.3822 6.38 27.4167 27.42 69.4444 69.4%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6

25 6.0581 6.06 27.2261 27.23 69.4444 69.4%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4

25 5.1881 5.19 26.5361 26.54 69.4444 69.4%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5

24 8.1362 8.14 26.2894 26.29 66.6667 66.7%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6

24 7.4341 7.43 26.1583 26.16 66.6667 66.7%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5

24 5.7572 5.76 27.5278 27.53 66.6667 66.7%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4

24 5.5872 5.59 27.5278 27.53 66.6667 66.7%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6

24 2.9379 2.94 29.3333 29.33 66.6667 66.7%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5

23 6.3831 6.38 27.1389 27.14 63.8889 63.9%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4

23 6.3102 6.31 26.1339 26.13 63.8889 63.9%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5

23 6.2500 6.25 26.3572 26.36 63.8889 63.9%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5

23 5.1399 5.14 27.7167 27.72 63.8889 63.9%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5

23 3.6821 3.68 28.1472 28.15 63.8889 63.9%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5

22 6.8742 6.87 26.8806 26.88 61.1111 61.1%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5

22 6.7257 6.73 26.3956 26.40 61.1111 61.1%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4

21 3.7942 3.79 28.2778 28.28 58.3333 58.3%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5

17 0.6310 0.63 27.4286 27.43 †8 60.7143 60.7%
Massey Ratings

2 4

6 1.1606 1.16 35.5833 35.58 †24 50.0000 50.0%

AFL Ladder Predictor

Squiggle AFL Ladder Predictor

Live Squiggle

Twitter

Tweets by SquiggleAFL

Friends of Squiggle

  • Live Ladders
  • Matter of Stats
  • HPN
  • FMI
  • Wheelo Ratings
  • AFLalytics
  • AFL Lab
  • PlusSixOne
  • Graft
  • Massey Ratings
  • ZaphBot
  • Glicko Ratings
  • Cheap Stats
  • Figuring Footy
  • The Footycast
  • AFL Scorigami
  • Data by Josh
  • Elo Predicts!
  • Stattraction
  • The Wooden Finger
  • Drop Kick Data
  • Hyperion
  • footycharts
  • Winnable
  • What Snoo Thinks
  • Informed Stats
  • HBin
  • Holy Grail Ratings
  • In The Game
  • The Flag
  • The Arc
  • Figuring Footy
  • BigFooty

About Squiggle

Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

SQUIGGLE API

Need free data? Try the Squiggle API.