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Is the AFL the world’s most even sports league?

Posted on July 7, 2017July 7, 2017 by Max Barry

You know what? It’s an even season. So agrees The Arc:

This AFL season is on pace to be the most even of any major sports league, and among the most even in footy history.

Source: Footy Forensics Is the AFL the world’s most even sports league?

CategoriesThe Arc

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Wins % Range
1
 Fremantle 19.4 140%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Sydney 16.3 128%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
3
 Hawthorn 15.6 119%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3
4
 Adelaide 15.1 119%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–5
5
 Brisbane Lions 15.1 119%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–5
6
 Melbourne 14.4 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–7
7
 Geelong 13.4 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–9
8
 Collingwood 12.6 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–9
9
 Western Bulldogs 12.9 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–9
10
 GWS 11.5 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–11
11
 St Kilda 11.1 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–11
12
 Carlton 10.4 92%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–13
13
 Gold Coast 9.5 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–14
14
 North Melbourne 9.7 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–14
15
 Port Adelaide 8.4 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 West Coast 5.6 72%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 Richmond 3.4 63%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
18
 Essendon 2.3 66%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 6 games of Round 19, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Fremantle 16 2 – 142.0%
+3.4
1
2
 Sydney 13 5 – 128.3%
+3.3
2
3
 Brisbane Lions 12 6 – 117.8%
+3.1
5
4
 Adelaide 12 6 – 117.2%
+3.1
4
5
 Melbourne 12 6 – 109.6%
+2.4
6
6
 Hawthorn 11∗ 5 1 114.2%
+4.1
3
7
 Collingwood 10 7 1 105.7%
+2.1
8
8
 Geelong 10 8 – 116.2%
+3.4
7
9
 Western Bulldogs 10∗ 7 – 92.3%
+2.9
9
10
 St Kilda 8 10 – 104.0%
+3.1
11
11
 GWS 8∗ 9 – 101.6%
+3.5
10
12
 Carlton 8 10 – 91.1%
+2.4
12
13
 North Melbourne 8 10 – 90.9%
+1.7
14
14
 Gold Coast 7∗ 10 – 95.6%
+2.5
13
15
 Port Adelaide 6 12 – 99.2%
+2.4
15
16
 West Coast 4 14 – 72.1%
+1.6
16
17
 Richmond 2∗ 15 – 63.0%
+1.4
17
18
 Essendon 1∗ 16 – 66.6%
+1.3
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 6 5 4 6 5 6 5 8 5

122 39.8038 39.80 24.7992 24.80 76.7296 76.7%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8 7 7 5 6 4 6 6 5 5 5 9 5

121 26.5619 26.56 25.0205 25.02 76.1006 76.1%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 6 6 6 8 6

120 41.4106 41.41 25.3459 25.35 75.4717 75.5%
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 8 5

120 38.6404 38.64 24.4413 24.44 75.4717 75.5%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7 8 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 5

118 40.6382 40.64 24.9213 24.92 74.2138 74.2%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 7 8 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 9 5

118 39.3654 39.37 25.0135 25.01 74.2138 74.2%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 4 5 4 6 5 6 5 8 5

117 40.9513 40.95 24.9684 24.97 73.5849 73.6%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 5

117 38.4130 38.41 24.9060 24.91 73.5849 73.6%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7 8 8 5 5 4 4 5 5 6 5 8 5

117 35.5697 35.57 25.5454 25.55 73.5849 73.6%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 8 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 5

116 41.8046 41.80 25.2844 25.28 72.9560 73.0%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8 7 7 6 5 3 4 7 6 5 5 8 5

116 35.2333 35.23 25.3822 25.38 72.9560 73.0%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7 7 9 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 5 8 5

115 38.8397 38.84 26.2893 26.29 72.3270 72.3%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7 8 7 5 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 8 6

115 38.1935 38.19 25.7862 25.79 72.3270 72.3%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7 6 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 5

115 37.1785 37.18 25.7210 25.72 72.3270 72.3%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8 8 7 5 4 3 4 6 5 6 5 8 5

114 39.0551 39.06 25.6185 25.62 71.6981 71.7%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 7 8 5 5 4 5 6 5 6 6 8 5

114 37.7903 37.79 24.9182 24.92 71.6981 71.7%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 8 9 5 5 4 4 5 4 5 5 8 5

114 29.5296 29.53 25.9430 25.94 †1 72.1519 72.2%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 5 5 5 6 5 8 5

113 38.0925 38.09 25.0032 25.00 71.0692 71.1%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 5 8 5

113 36.7516 36.75 25.2864 25.29 71.0692 71.1%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 8 4

113 34.4469 34.45 26.8548 26.85 †2 71.9745 72.0%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 8 5 5 6 5 5 6 6 6 7 4

113 33.4006 33.40 25.4057 25.41 71.0692 71.1%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 7 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 6 8 5

112 30.5507 30.55 25.4497 25.45 70.4403 70.4%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 4 5 5 5 6 8 5

111 34.4192 34.42 25.3069 25.31 69.8113 69.8%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8 7 7 5 5 5 4 5 4 6 5 7 5

110 37.3646 37.36 26.5719 26.57 69.1824 69.2%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 4 5 5 8 5

110 35.6709 35.67 25.4843 25.48 69.1824 69.2%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 8 5

109 34.8565 34.86 26.6478 26.65 68.5535 68.6%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 6 6 5 2 4 5 4 5 5 7 5

109 30.6825 30.68 26.3845 26.38 68.5535 68.6%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 5 5 5 8 4

108 32.7409 32.74 25.5930 25.59 67.9245 67.9%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 5 5 6 6 5 8 5

108 32.0117 32.01 26.8239 26.82 67.9245 67.9%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 9 5

107 32.3953 32.40 25.9667 25.97 †9 71.3333 71.3%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5 8 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 5

96 34.8776 34.88 26.2388 26.24 †25 71.6418 71.6%

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