Skip to content
Squiggle
@squiggle.au @SquiggleAFL Discord

Is the AFL the world’s most even sports league?

Posted on July 7, 2017July 7, 2017 by Max Barry

You know what? It’s an even season. So agrees The Arc:

This AFL season is on pace to be the most even of any major sports league, and among the most even in footy history.

Source: Footy Forensics Is the AFL the world’s most even sports league?

CategoriesThe Arc

Post navigation

Previous PostPrevious Sydney’s path to the finals may be the weirdest ever
Next PostNext Collingwood under Buckley

Wins % Range
1
 Adelaide 17.7 143%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–2
2
 Geelong 17.1 143%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–2
3
 Brisbane Lions 15.9 113%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–5
4
 Gold Coast 15.7 125%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–7
5
 Collingwood 15.7 122%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–5
6
 Western Bulldogs 15.1 142%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–8
7
 Hawthorn 15.3 121%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–8
8
 GWS 15.4 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–9
9
 Fremantle 15.5 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–9
10
 Sydney 11.8 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10
11
 St Kilda 9.2 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–12
12
 Carlton 8.5 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–12
13
 Port Adelaide 8.5 79%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13
14
 Melbourne 7.5 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14
15
 Essendon 6.6 72%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 North Melbourne 5.5 74%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
17
 Richmond 5.3 66%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
18
 West Coast 1.3 61%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 8 games of Round 23, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Adelaide 17 5 – 141.0%
+0.7
1
2
 Geelong 16 6 – 140.7%
+1.1
2
3
 Brisbane Lions 15 6 1 114.3%
+0.4
3
4
 Collingwood 15 7 – 123.1%
+0.7
5
5
 Hawthorn 15 7 – 122.7%
+0.3
7
6
 GWS 15 7 – 115.5%
+0.4
8
7
 Fremantle 15 7 – 108.6%
+0.5
9
8
 Gold Coast 14∗ 7 – 121.2%
+1.7
4
9
 Western Bulldogs 13∗ 8 – 135.4%
+2.1
6
10
 Sydney 11 11 – 93.3%
+0.8
10
11
 St Kilda 9 13 – 88.5%
+0.2
11
12
 Carlton 8 14 – 94.7%
+0.5
12
13
 Port Adelaide 8 14 – 79.0%
+0.5
13
14
 Melbourne 7 15 – 93.4%
+0.5
14
15
 Essendon 6∗ 15 – 72.3%
+0.6
15
16
 North Melbourne 5 16 1 75.7%
+0.0
16
17
 Richmond 5 17 – 66.1%
+0.3
17
18
 West Coast 1∗ 20 – 63.0%
+0.3
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6 6 6 6 5 6 5 5 6 9 6 5 7 8 7 6

149 46.60 26.24 76.0%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 7 9 5 7 7 8 8 7

149 44.16 25.97 76.0%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6 7 6 7 5 6 6 4 7 9 5 6 7 8 7 6

147 47.94 26.06 75.0%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 3 7 9 5 6 7 8 7 6

147 44.63 26.13 75.0%
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 8 6 6 4 6 4 4 6 9 6 6 7 8 7 6

147 44.38 25.95 75.0%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6 8 5 6 5 5 6 4 7 9 5 6 7 8 8 5

147 42.59 26.87 75.0%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 6 9 5 6 7 8 7 6

146 45.17 26.18 74.5%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 9 5 6 7 8 7 6

146 44.29 26.01 74.5%
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 5 5 5 6 6 4 7 8 6 6 7 8 6 5

146 38.36 26.74 74.5%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7 5 5 7 3 5 6 5 6 9 6 6 7 8 8 6

144 43.50 26.45 73.5%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7 5 6 5 5 6 5 4 6 8 5 5 7 8 7 6

143 47.12 27.41 73.0%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8 6 5 6 6 6 6 4 7 9 3 5 7 8 7 6

143 45.12 27.40 73.0%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 4 4 7 9 6 5 7 8 6 7

143 41.42 26.65 73.0%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 6 9 4 5 7 8 7 6

142 47.67 26.03 72.4%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7 6 6 6 4 6 4 3 6 9 5 6 7 8 7 6

142 44.37 26.33 72.4%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6 6 6 6 4 6 4 5 6 9 6 5 7 8 7 6

141 49.23 25.75 71.9%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7 7 6 6 5 6 4 4 6 9 5 5 7 8 7 6

141 47.48 25.81 71.9%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6 5 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 8 4 7 8 8 8 7

141 46.16 26.42 71.9%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 6 4 3 7 9 4 6 7 8 7 6

141 41.96 26.64 71.9%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 9 4 6 8 8 7 6

141 33.21 27.89 71.9%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7 6 5 5 4 6 6 4 6 9 4 5 6 8 7 7

140 42.16 26.91 71.4%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8 7 5 5 4 6 5 3 6 9 3 6 7 8 7 6

139 40.96 27.17 70.9%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 7 9 5 6 7 8 8 6

139 38.26 27.60 70.9%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6 6 4 6 4 5 5 3 6 8 6 6 6 8 7 6

138 38.29 27.79 70.4%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7 5 3 7 4 4 6 4 6 8 6 8 8 7 8 6

138 37.68 27.88 70.4%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8 5 3 6 4 6 6 4 6 9 4 7 8 8 7 6

137 22.94 29.23 69.9%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7 6 4 5 4 4 5 4 7 9 5 7 7 8 7 5

136 38.93 27.16 69.4%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 6 5 5 4 6 4 3 6 9 3 5 8 8 8 5

132 37.93 28.15 67.3%

AFL Ladder Predictor

Squiggle AFL Ladder Predictor

Live Squiggle

Twitter

Tweets by SquiggleAFL

Friends of Squiggle

  • Live Ladders
  • Matter of Stats
  • HPN
  • FMI
  • Wheelo Ratings
  • AFLalytics
  • AFL Lab
  • PlusSixOne
  • Graft
  • Massey Ratings
  • ZaphBot
  • Glicko Ratings
  • Cheap Stats
  • Figuring Footy
  • The Footycast
  • AFL Scorigami
  • Data by Josh
  • Elo Predicts!
  • Stattraction
  • The Wooden Finger
  • Drop Kick Data
  • Hyperion
  • footycharts
  • Winnable
  • What Snoo Thinks
  • Informed Stats
  • The Flag
  • The Arc
  • Figuring Footy
  • BigFooty

About Squiggle

Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

SQUIGGLE API

Need free data? Try the Squiggle API.