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Introducing Massey Ratings

Posted on May 19, 2018May 19, 2018 by Max Barry

It’s another new model! Ken Massey is an internationally known sports statistician whose Massey Ratings cover a vast array of sports, including AFL.

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Wins % Range
1
 Fremantle 19.9 145%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Sydney 17.3 134%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
3
 Hawthorn 16.3 124%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3
4
 Brisbane Lions 15.1 119%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–5
5
 Geelong 14.4 123%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–6
6
 Adelaide 14.5 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–6
7
 Melbourne 13.9 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7
8
 Western Bulldogs 13.6 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–9
9
 Collingwood 13.2 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–9
10
 St Kilda 11.2 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–12
11
 Carlton 11.3 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–12
12
 GWS 11.0 101%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–12
13
 North Melbourne 8.9 87%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13
14
 Gold Coast 8.4 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14–15
15
 Port Adelaide 7.7 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14–15
16
 West Coast 5.2 71%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 Essendon 2.8 65%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
18
 Richmond 2.9 61%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 5 games of Round 21, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Fremantle 18 2 – 147.3%
+1.9
1
2
 Sydney 15 5 – 129.5%
+2.3
2
3
 Hawthorn 14 5 1 123.7%
+1.8
3
4
 Brisbane Lions 13∗ 6 – 120.6%
+2.1
4
5
 Geelong 12 8 – 117.2%
+2.4
5
6
 Adelaide 12∗ 7 – 113.7%
+2.5
6
7
 Melbourne 12∗ 7 – 107.8%
+1.9
7
8
 Western Bulldogs 12 8 – 94.8%
+1.6
8
9
 Collingwood 11 8 1 105.6%
+1.7
9
10
 St Kilda 9 11 – 104.3%
+2.2
10
11
 GWS 9 11 – 99.0%
+2.0
12
12
 Carlton 9∗ 10 – 92.4%
+2.3
11
13
 North Melbourne 8 12 – 89.3%
+0.9
13
14
 Gold Coast 7∗ 12 – 94.8%
+1.4
14
15
 Port Adelaide 6 14 – 95.1%
+1.7
15
16
 West Coast 4∗ 15 – 70.1%
+1.2
16
17
 Essendon 2∗ 17 – 65.4%
+0.8
17
18
 Richmond 2∗ 17 – 60.9%
+0.9
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 6 5 4 6 5 6 5 8 7 7 4

135 44.4121 44.41 24.5373 24.54 76.7045 76.7%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 3

133 46.4088 46.41 25.1023 25.10 75.5682 75.6%
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 8 6 8 4

133 43.4432 43.44 24.1306 24.13 75.5682 75.6%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8 7 7 5 6 4 6 6 5 5 5 9 6 7 4

133 29.7383 29.74 24.8827 24.88 75.5682 75.6%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7 8 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 5

132 45.8686 45.87 24.5724 24.57 75.0000 75.0%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 4 5 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 5

131 45.6087 45.61 24.6322 24.63 74.4318 74.4%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 7 8 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 9 6 8 4

131 44.3534 44.35 24.7149 24.71 74.4318 74.4%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 5

131 43.3043 43.30 24.6175 24.62 74.4318 74.4%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 8 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 5

130 46.7705 46.77 25.0595 25.06 73.8636 73.9%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7 8 8 5 5 4 4 5 5 6 5 8 6 8 4

130 40.8223 40.82 25.0135 25.01 73.8636 73.9%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8 7 7 6 5 3 4 7 6 5 5 8 6 8 5

130 40.7287 40.73 25.1048 25.10 73.8636 73.9%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7 8 7 5 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 8 8 8 4

129 43.1181 43.12 25.1705 25.17 73.2955 73.3%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7 7 9 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 5 8 6 8 4

128 43.9780 43.98 25.8068 25.81 72.7273 72.7%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8 8 7 5 4 3 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 4

127 44.3075 44.31 25.2045 25.20 72.1591 72.2%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 7 8 5 5 4 5 6 5 6 6 8 6 8 4

127 42.8241 42.82 24.7212 24.72 72.1591 72.2%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7 6 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 3

127 40.5999 40.60 25.5080 25.51 72.1591 72.2%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 5 8 6 8 4

126 42.2759 42.28 24.7856 24.79 71.5909 71.6%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 5 5 5 6 5 8 6 8 4

126 42.2256 42.23 24.9408 24.94 71.5909 71.6%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 8 9 5 5 4 4 5 4 5 5 8 6 7 4

126 33.5593 33.56 25.8057 25.81 †1 72.0000 72.0%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 8 5 7 4

125 40.7469 40.75 26.0176 26.02 †3 72.2543 72.3%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 4 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 4

125 40.3331 40.33 25.0097 25.01 71.0227 71.0%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 8 5 5 6 5 5 6 6 6 7 6 7 3

125 38.6801 38.68 24.8653 24.87 71.0227 71.0%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 7 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 6 8 7 7 4

125 34.3135 34.31 25.3534 25.35 71.0227 71.0%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8 7 7 5 5 5 4 5 4 6 5 7 6 7 5

123 41.9613 41.96 26.0749 26.07 69.8864 69.9%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 4 5 5 8 6 8 4

123 39.3774 39.38 25.4318 25.43 69.8864 69.9%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 8 6 8 4

122 39.1231 39.12 26.1023 26.10 69.3182 69.3%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 5 5 6 6 5 8 6 8 5

122 37.5056 37.51 26.3068 26.31 69.3182 69.3%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 5 5 5 8 5 8 4

121 37.1621 37.16 25.3409 25.34 68.7500 68.8%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 9 7 8 4

121 36.5714 36.57 25.5749 25.57 †9 72.4551 72.5%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 6 6 5 2 4 5 4 5 5 7 6 7 4

121 33.8860 33.89 26.4213 26.42 68.7500 68.8%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5 8 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 7 8 4

110 39.5813 39.58 25.8311 25.83 †25 72.8477 72.8%

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