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Introducing Massey Ratings

Posted on May 19, 2018May 19, 2018 by Max Barry

It’s another new model! Ken Massey is an internationally known sports statistician whose Massey Ratings cover a vast array of sports, including AFL.

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Wins % Range
1
 Collingwood 18.2 134%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Geelong 16.3 136%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
3
 Adelaide 16.0 135%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3
4
 Brisbane Lions 15.7 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–5
5
 Gold Coast 15.1 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–6
6
 Western Bulldogs 14.6 134%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–6
7
 Hawthorn 14.5 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–8
8
 GWS 14.0 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–9
9
 Fremantle 13.5 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–9
10
 Sydney 10.9 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10
11
 Port Adelaide 9.9 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11
12
 Carlton 9.0 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12
13
 Melbourne 8.8 92%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13
14
 St Kilda 8.3 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14–15
15
 Essendon 8.6 77%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14–15
16
 North Melbourne 6.5 76%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 Richmond 4.9 65%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
18
 West Coast 2.7 65%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 3 games of Round 18, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Collingwood 14 3 – 136.1%
+4.2
1
2
 Brisbane Lions 12 4 1 116.8%
+3.2
4
3
 Adelaide 12 5 – 136.1%
+4.0
3
4
 Geelong 11∗ 5 – 132.3%
+5.3
2
5
 Gold Coast 11∗ 5 – 121.8%
+4.1
5
6
 Hawthorn 11∗ 5 – 118.9%
+3.5
7
7
 Western Bulldogs 10 7 – 129.8%
+4.6
6
8
 GWS 10∗ 6 – 112.0%
+4.0
8
9
 Fremantle 10∗ 6 – 108.8%
+3.5
9
10
 Sydney 7∗ 9 – 93.4%
+3.9
10
11
 Port Adelaide 7∗ 9 – 87.6%
+2.9
11
12
 Carlton 6 11 – 93.7%
+3.0
12
13
 Essendon 6∗ 9 – 76.4%
+2.6
15
14
 Melbourne 5∗ 11 – 86.7%
+3.8
13
15
 St Kilda 5∗ 11 – 85.7%
+3.3
14
16
 North Melbourne 4∗ 11 1 77.3%
+2.0
16
17
 Richmond 3∗ 13 – 63.0%
+1.9
17
18
 West Coast 1∗ 15 – 63.9%
+1.7
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6 6 6 6 5 6 5 5 6 9 2

112 29.09 26.12 76.7%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6 8 5 6 5 5 6 4 7 9 2

110 28.16 26.90 75.3%
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 5 5 5 6 6 4 7 8 2

110 25.32 26.77 75.3%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 7 9 2

109 29.03 25.87 74.7%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6 7 6 7 5 6 6 4 7 9 1

109 28.24 26.04 74.7%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 3 7 9 1

109 28.17 26.02 74.7%
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 8 6 6 4 6 4 4 6 9 2

109 27.42 26.00 74.7%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 6 9 1

108 29.07 26.04 74.0%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8 6 5 6 6 6 6 4 7 9 1

108 28.67 27.32 74.0%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 9 1

108 28.00 25.94 74.0%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 6 9 1

106 30.16 25.55 72.6%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7 5 6 5 5 6 5 4 6 8 1

106 29.08 26.87 72.6%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 4 4 7 9 2

106 25.95 26.62 72.6%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7 6 6 6 4 6 4 3 6 9 2

105 27.14 26.41 71.9%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7 5 5 7 3 5 6 5 6 9 2

105 25.59 26.72 71.9%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6 6 6 6 4 6 4 5 6 9 2

104 29.07 25.54 71.2%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7 7 6 6 5 6 4 4 6 9 1

104 28.89 25.68 71.2%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7 6 5 5 4 6 6 4 6 9 1

104 26.81 26.57 71.2%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 6 4 3 7 9 1

104 25.87 25.96 71.2%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 9 1

103 19.75 28.20 70.5%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8 7 5 5 4 6 5 3 6 9 0

102 26.84 26.74 69.9%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6 6 4 6 4 5 5 3 6 8 2

101 24.70 27.46 69.2%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 7 9 2

101 23.82 27.64 69.2%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6 5 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 8 1

100 27.34 26.60 68.5%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7 6 4 5 4 4 5 4 7 9 1

98 25.00 26.66 67.1%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8 5 3 6 4 6 6 4 6 9 1

98 13.75 29.01 67.1%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 6 5 5 4 6 4 3 6 9 1

96 22.59 27.73 65.8%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7 5 3 7 4 4 6 4 6 8 1

96 22.23 28.01 65.8%

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