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Introducing Massey Ratings

Posted on May 19, 2018May 19, 2018 by Max Barry

It’s another new model! Ken Massey is an internationally known sports statistician whose Massey Ratings cover a vast array of sports, including AFL.

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Wins % Range
1
Collingwood 16.9 132%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1
2
Brisbane Lions 15.2 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2–3
3
Gold Coast 15.0 121%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2–6
4
Geelong 14.7 124%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3–5
5
Hawthorn 14.7 117%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
4–7
6
Western Bulldogs 14.3 126%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2–8
7
Adelaide 14.1 121%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
6–7
8
GWS 13.0 112%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
7–8
9
Sydney 11.5 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
9–10
10
Carlton 11.5 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
9–10
11
Fremantle 10.8 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–12
12
St Kilda 10.6 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–14
13
Essendon 10.8 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
12–13
14
Port Adelaide 10.0 91%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
13–14
15
Melbourne 8.0 82%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
15
16
North Melbourne 6.2 79%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
16–17
17
Richmond 6.3 67%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
16–17
18
West Coast 3.4 66%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
18

After 3 games of Round 10, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
Collingwood 8 2 – 129.4%
+8.9
1
2
Brisbane Lions 7∗ 1 1 112.9%
+7.7
2
3
Gold Coast 7∗ 2 – 132.0%
+8.0
3
4
Hawthorn 7 3 – 123.8%
+7.7
5
5
Adelaide 6 4 – 124.7%
+8.1
7
6
Western Bulldogs 5∗ 4 – 122.0%
+9.3
6
7
Geelong 5∗ 4 – 114.4%
+9.7
4
8
GWS 5∗ 4 – 113.4%
+8.0
8
9
Essendon 5∗ 3 – 90.8%
+5.8
13
10
Carlton 4 6 – 106.9%
+7.5
10
11
Sydney 4 6 – 98.7%
+7.5
9
12
Fremantle 4∗ 5 – 95.7%
+6.8
11
13
St Kilda 4∗ 5 – 93.3%
+6.6
12
14
Port Adelaide 4∗ 5 – 88.6%
+6.0
14
15
Melbourne 3∗ 6 – 79.4%
+5.0
15
16
Richmond 3∗ 6 – 66.8%
+3.3
17
17
North Melbourne 1∗ 7 1 78.2%
+4.7
16
18
West Coast –∗ 9 – 61.0%
+3.4
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 3

65 16.63 26.04 78.3%
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 8 3

65 16.38 25.01 78.3%
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6 6 3

65 16.08 25.66 78.3%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7 6 3

64 17.02 25.29 77.1%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7 6 3

63 16.46 25.59 75.9%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6 8 2

63 15.95 26.22 75.9%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7 5 3

63 15.84 26.83 75.9%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 6 3

63 15.20 25.74 75.9%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8 7 3

62 16.09 26.12 74.7%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7 6 3

62 15.70 25.31 74.7%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7 6 2

62 14.98 25.85 74.7%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6 6 2

61 17.19 25.10 73.5%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6 7 3

61 13.53 26.10 73.5%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 3

61 10.93 25.78 73.5%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7 7 3

60 16.52 25.03 72.3%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6 6 2

60 14.76 26.62 72.3%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8 6 2

60 13.69 27.83 72.3%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7 6 2

60 12.90 26.92 72.3%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6 6 3

60 12.38 26.81 72.3%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6 6 3

59 16.36 24.91 71.1%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7 5 2

59 12.60 27.14 71.1%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7 6 2

57 12.13 27.33 68.7%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8 6 2

57 7.46 29.04 68.7%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6 5 3

56 13.54 26.99 67.5%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6 6 2

56 11.16 27.63 67.5%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7 5 2

55 11.97 27.92 66.3%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 6 2

55 11.91 27.13 66.3%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8 5 2

55 6.91 28.55 66.3%

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