Introducing Fat Stats

One more model sneaks in ahead of the season! It’s Fat Stats, with a machine learning-based player metric model incorporating Elo.

That brings the number of new models to four, and the total field to 16 this year, including Punters, which is our aggregate of bookies.

That’s a lot of models! It’s double the number from only two years ago, and many (most?) are now player-aware, which means they take into account who’s actually taking the field each week, rather than modeling teams as a single entity.