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How impressive was Dusty’s game?

Posted on March 23, 2017March 23, 2017 by Max Barry

The Arc on what a 33-disposal, 4-goal game looks like. (Answer: A dude in red board shorts surfing a pretty big wave.)

Commentators raved about Dustin Martin’s first game of the 2017 season. They were right.

Source: How impressive was Dusty’s game? | The Arc

CategoriesThe Arc

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Wins % Range
1
 Collingwood 17.9 129%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Geelong 16.2 135%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
3
 Adelaide 15.2 132%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–5
4
 Brisbane Lions 15.2 113%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–5
5
 Western Bulldogs 14.7 134%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–7
6
 Gold Coast 14.3 119%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–8
7
 Hawthorn 14.4 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–8
8
 Fremantle 13.7 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–9
9
 GWS 13.1 105%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–9
10
 Sydney 10.6 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–11
11
 Carlton 10.0 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–12
12
 Port Adelaide 10.0 87%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–13
13
 St Kilda 9.0 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–14
14
 Melbourne 8.8 90%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–15
15
 Essendon 8.9 78%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–15
16
 North Melbourne 6.9 79%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 Richmond 5.1 68%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
18
 West Coast 3.2 68%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 6 games of Round 16, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Collingwood 13 2 – 135.8%
+4.9
1
2
 Brisbane Lions 10 4 1 113.4%
+4.7
4
3
 Adelaide 10 5 – 139.8%
+5.2
3
4
 Geelong 10 5 – 127.5%
+6.2
2
5
 Hawthorn 10 5 – 118.4%
+4.4
7
6
 Western Bulldogs 9 6 – 131.5%
+5.7
5
7
 Gold Coast 9∗ 5 – 120.3%
+5.3
6
8
 Fremantle 9∗ 5 – 110.0%
+4.7
8
9
 GWS 9 6 – 107.6%
+4.1
9
10
 Port Adelaide 7 8 – 88.6%
+3.0
12
11
 Carlton 6 9 – 100.4%
+4.0
11
12
 Sydney 6 9 – 92.1%
+4.6
10
13
 Essendon 6∗ 8 – 77.5%
+2.9
15
14
 Melbourne 5 10 – 86.7%
+3.8
14
15
 St Kilda 5∗ 9 – 86.2%
+4.0
13
16
 North Melbourne 4 10 1 78.5%
+2.4
16
17
 Richmond 3 12 – 64.8%
+2.1
17
18
 West Coast 1 14 – 65.2%
+2.2
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6 6 6 6 5 6 5 5 5

100 23.54 27.18 75.2%
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 5 5 5 6 6 4 6

99 21.07 27.62 74.4%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6 8 5 6 5 5 6 4 6

98 22.92 27.74 73.7%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 3 6

98 22.84 26.98 73.7%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6 7 6 7 5 6 6 4 6

98 21.70 27.26 73.7%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 6

97 24.45 26.76 72.9%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 5

97 23.91 26.77 72.9%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 6

97 22.70 26.89 72.9%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8 6 5 6 6 6 6 4 6

97 22.69 28.47 72.9%
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 8 6 6 4 6 4 4 5

97 22.52 26.85 72.9%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7 5 6 5 5 6 5 4 5

96 22.31 28.08 72.2%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 5

95 24.75 26.68 71.4%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 4 4 6

94 20.90 27.67 70.7%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7 7 6 6 5 6 4 4 5

93 23.24 26.61 69.9%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7 6 6 6 4 6 4 3 5

93 22.11 27.22 69.9%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7 6 5 5 4 6 6 4 5

93 21.00 27.71 69.9%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 6 4 3 6

93 20.18 27.11 69.9%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7 5 5 7 3 5 6 5 5

93 20.03 27.66 69.9%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6 6 6 6 4 6 4 5 5

92 23.09 26.62 69.2%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8 7 5 5 4 6 5 3 5

92 22.90 27.45 69.2%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 6

92 14.69 29.26 69.2%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6 5 5 6 5 6 5 4 6

90 21.76 27.51 67.7%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6 6 4 6 4 5 5 3 5

90 19.80 28.34 67.7%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 6

89 18.73 28.73 66.9%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7 6 4 5 4 4 5 4 6

87 19.73 27.80 65.4%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8 5 3 6 4 6 6 4 5

87 11.30 29.40 65.4%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7 5 3 7 4 4 6 4 5

86 17.47 28.94 64.7%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 6 5 5 4 6 4 3 5

85 16.93 28.48 63.9%

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Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

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