How impressive was Dusty’s game?

The Arc on what a 33-disposal, 4-goal game looks like. (Answer: A dude in red board shorts surfing a pretty big wave.)

Commentators raved about Dustin Martin’s first game of the 2017 season. They were right.

2018 Tip Leaderboard

After 1 game of Round 22.

	Tips	Bits	MAE	Correct
7 3 8 7 4 7 8 6 6 6 7 4 5 5 6 8 3 7 7 7 6 1	128	31.64	26.26	70.7%
Aggregate 7 3 8 7 5 7 8 5 6 6 7 4 6 5 5 8 4 7 7 7 5 1	128	30.38	26.31	70.7%
7 3 8 7 5 6 8 5 6 6 8 4 5 5 5 8 4 7 7 7 6 1	128	26.03	26.83	70.7%
Punters 7 3 7 6 5 8 8 5 7 6 7 5 6 5 5 8 3 7 7 5 5 1	126	31.48		69.6%
6 3 8 7 4 9 8 6 5 5 8 4 5 5 5 8 5 7 5 7 5 1	126	26.99	27.48	69.6%
7 4 7 7 5 6 8 5 6 7 7 3 5 5 5 8 5 7 5 8 5 1	126	25.34	26.94	69.6%
6 3 7 7 5 7 8 5 6 7 7 3 6 5 5 8 3 6 8 7 5 1	125	32.35	26.37	69.1%
6 4 8 5 6 8 8 5 5 6 9 4 5 4 3 9 3 7 8 6 5 1	125	18.39	28.83	69.1%
6 3 8 6 6 6 8 5 7 6 7 4 5 5 6 8 4 5 7 6 5 1	124	27.98	26.70	68.5%
7 3 8 7 5 7 8 5 7 5 8 3 4 5 5 8 4 6 6 5 5 1	122	26.98	27.06	67.4%
7 3 8 7 4 6 8 5 6 6 7 4 5 5 4 8 5 6 5 5 6 1	121	27.85	27.09	66.9%
6 4 6 6 3 8 6 6 5 5 7 4 6 4 4 8 6 4 6 7 7 1	119	22.75	27.90	65.7%
6 3 7 7 5 7 7 5 5 6 7 3 6 5 4 8 3 6 7 4 6 1	118	30.06	26.39	65.2%

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.