Skip to content
Squiggle
Follow @SquiggleAFL

How impressive was Dusty’s game?

Posted on March 23, 2017March 23, 2017 by Max Barry

The Arc on what a 33-disposal, 4-goal game looks like. (Answer: A dude in red board shorts surfing a pretty big wave.)

Commentators raved about Dustin Martin’s first game of the 2017 season. They were right.

Source: How impressive was Dusty’s game? | The Arc

CategoriesThe Arc

Post navigation

Previous PostPrevious Round 1 Preview Roundup
Next PostNext Round 1 Review

Live Squiggle

2019 Live Ladder Prediction

W L D %
1
Richmond		 15 7 0 130.5
2
GWS		 14 8 0 125.0
3
Melbourne		 14 8 0 123.5
4
West Coast		 14 8 0 122.7
5
Geelong		 13 9 0 119.6
6
Collingwood		 13 9 0 114.6
7
Adelaide		 13 9 0 114.2
8
Essendon		 13 9 0 111.1
9
Hawthorn		 12 10 0 105.4
10
Port Adelaide		 12 10 0 104.9
11
North Melbourne		 11 11 0 97.2
12
Brisbane Lions		 10 12 0 95.6
13
St Kilda		 10 12 0 93.5
14
Western Bulldogs		 9 13 0 85.8
15
Sydney		 9 13 0 85.1
16
Fremantle		 8 14 0 79.0
17
Carlton		 6 16 0 68.7
18
Gold Coast		 5 17 0 60.4

Models Leaderboard

2018 Tip Leaderboard

Final standings after 207 games.

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Punters

7 3 7 6 5 8 8 5 7 6 7 5 6 5 5 8 3 7 7 5 5 7 8 4 2 1 0

147 39.76 71.0%
Live Ladders

7 3 8 7 4 7 8 6 6 6 7 4 5 5 6 8 3 7 7 7 6 7 7 4 2 0 0

147 38.01 26.55 71.0%
Aggregate

7 3 8 7 5 7 8 5 6 6 7 4 6 5 5 8 4 7 7 7 5 7 7 4 2 0 0

147 37.30 26.63 71.0%
Massey Ratings

7 3 8 7 5 6 8 5 6 6 8 4 5 5 5 8 4 7 7 7 6 7 7 3 2 0 1

147 33.63 27.17 71.0%
Squiggle

6 3 7 7 5 7 8 5 6 7 7 3 6 5 5 8 3 6 8 7 5 7 8 4 2 1 0

146 39.27 26.73 70.5%
Footy Maths Institute

6 3 8 7 4 9 8 6 5 5 8 4 5 5 5 8 5 7 5 7 5 8 7 2 2 1 1

146 33.24 27.54 70.5%
PlusSixOne

7 4 7 7 5 6 8 5 6 7 7 3 5 5 5 8 5 7 5 8 5 7 7 3 2 1 1

146 29.66 27.23 70.5%
HPN

6 4 8 5 6 8 8 5 5 6 9 4 5 4 3 9 3 7 8 6 5 8 9 3 2 0 0

146 24.79 29.11 70.5%
Graft

6 3 8 6 6 6 8 5 7 6 7 4 5 5 6 8 4 5 7 6 5 7 7 3 2 0 0

142 34.55 27.05 68.6%
The Arc

7 3 8 7 5 7 8 5 7 5 8 3 4 5 5 8 4 6 6 5 5 7 7 3 2 1 0

141 32.75 27.26 68.1%
Swinburne

7 3 8 7 4 6 8 5 6 6 7 4 5 5 4 8 5 6 5 5 6 7 7 3 2 1 0

140 35.05 27.43 67.6%
Stattraction

6 4 6 6 3 8 6 6 5 5 7 4 6 4 4 8 6 4 6 7 7 8 9 2 2 0 0

139 28.20 28.15 67.1%
Matter of Stats

6 3 7 7 5 7 7 5 5 6 7 3 6 5 4 8 3 6 7 4 6 7 8 4 2 0 0

138 37.90 26.61 66.7%

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round by Round Performance

AFL Ladder Predictor

New! Generate your own end of season tips and predictions with the Squiggle AFL Ladder Predictor.

Twitter

Tweets by SquiggleAFL

Friends of Squiggle

  • The Arc
  • Figuring Footy
  • Live Ladders
  • Matter of Stats
  • BigFooty
  • Swinburne University
  • FMI
  • PlusSixOne
  • Stattraction
  • HPN
  • Graft
  • Massey Ratings
  • AFLalytics
  • AFL Gains
  • AFL Lab

About Squiggle

Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.