Melbourne v Greater Western Sydney
2022-04-16 19:25:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

19.6

120

7.11

53

Melbourne won by 67 points

IN

Petty

Tomlinson

OUT

IN

Callaghan

Kennedy

Flynn

Haynes

Cumming

Riccardi

Preuss

Peatling

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		83%	34 points	✓	33.0	0.73
		91%	48 points	✓	19.0	0.86
		91%	19 points	✓	48.0	0.86
		90%	43 points	✓	24.0	0.84
		89%	42 points	✓	25.5	0.84
		89%	44 points	✓	23.0	0.83
		87%	36 points	✓	30.8	0.80
		87%	42 points	✓	25.0	0.79
		85%	36 points	✓	30.5	0.77
		85%	35 points	✓	32.0	0.77
		85%	35 points	✓	32.1	0.77
Punters		84%	34 points	✓	33.5	0.75
		84%	32 points	✓	34.6	0.74
s10		83%	36 points	✓	31.3	0.74
		83%	33 points	✓	34.0	0.73
		82%	43 points	✓	24.4	0.72
		82%	38 points	✓	29.1	0.71
		81%	34 points	✓	33.1	0.70
		81%	34 points	✓	33.0	0.70
		80%	31 points	✓	36.0	0.68
		80%	40 points	✓	27.0	0.68
		79%	33 points	✓	34.0	0.66
		79%	26 points	✓	41.5	0.65
		71%	23 points	✓	44.3	0.51
		70%	21 points	✓	46.0	0.49
		70%	17 points	✓	50.3	0.49

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.