Adelaide v Richmond
Adelaide Oval
15.11
101
12.10
82
Adelaide won by 19 points
IN
Cook
Berry
McAdam
Schoenberg
Rowe
Hinge
OUT
IN
Ross
Vlastuin
McIntosh
Gibcus
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 23.3 | -0.12 |
|
|
60% | 23 points | ✗ | 42.0 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 29.3 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 11 points | ✗ | 30.5 | -0.31 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.29 |
|
Punters
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 25.6 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 24.7 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.21 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 25.5 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 7 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 23.4 | -0.17 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 23.9 | -0.15 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 22.1 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 22.1 | -0.11 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.10 |
|
s10
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 21.7 | -0.08 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 18.1 | 0.03 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 17.2 | 0.06 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 16.5 | 0.09 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.14 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.