North Melbourne v Western Bulldogs
2022-04-15 16:20:00 +10:00
Docklands

11.5

71

21.13

139

Western Bulldogs won by 68 points

IN

Ford

Zurhaar

OUT

IN

Garcia

Cordy

Vandermeer

Butler

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		75%	25 points	✓	43.1	0.58
		88%	38 points	✓	29.7	0.82
		84%	34 points	✓	34.0	0.76
		83%	44 points	✓	24.1	0.73
		82%	32 points	✓	36.0	0.71
		81%	34 points	✓	34.0	0.70
		81%	32 points	✓	36.0	0.70
Punters		81%	31 points	✓	37.3	0.69
		81%	30 points	✓	37.6	0.69
		79%	29 points	✓	39.0	0.65
		78%	26 points	✓	42.2	0.65
		78%	29 points	✓	38.8	0.65
		78%	32 points	✓	36.0	0.64
		76%	25 points	✓	43.0	0.60
s10		75%	26 points	✓	42.0	0.59
		75%	24 points	✓	44.0	0.58
		74%	22 points	✓	45.5	0.57
		74%	21 points	✓	47.0	0.57
		73%	20 points	✓	48.0	0.54
		69%	20 points	✓	47.8	0.47
		69%	18 points	✓	50.0	0.47
		67%	17 points	✓	50.5	0.41
		61%	11 points	✓	57.0	0.29
		61%	9 points	✓	59.0	0.28
		61%	10 points	✓	58.5	0.28
		60%	10 points	✓	58.4	0.25

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.