Brisbane Lions v Collingwood
2022-04-14 19:35:00 +10:00
Gabba

15.8

98

14.7

91

Brisbane Lions won by 7 points

IN

Lohmann

McInerney

Cockatoo

Fullarton

OUT

IN

Kreuger

Cox

Roughead

De Goey

Adams

Elliott

Mihocek

Noble

Ginnivan

Henry

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		78%	28 points	✓	21.2	0.64
		89%	45 points	✓	38.0	0.83
		89%	42 points	✓	35.0	0.83
		84%	35 points	✓	28.0	0.74
		83%	22 points	✓	15.0	0.74
		83%	34 points	✓	27.0	0.73
		82%	30 points	✓	22.8	0.72
Punters		81%	29 points	✓	22.4	0.69
		80%	42 points	✓	35.0	0.68
		80%	28 points	✓	20.6	0.68
		79%	30 points	✓	23.0	0.67
		79%	27 points	✓	19.9	0.67
		79%	27 points	✓	20.2	0.66
		78%	28 points	✓	21.0	0.65
		78%	31 points	✓	24.4	0.65
		78%	31 points	✓	24.0	0.64
		77%	31 points	✓	24.0	0.63
s10		77%	27 points	✓	20.0	0.62
		76%	24 points	✓	16.8	0.59
		75%	23 points	✓	16.0	0.59
		74%	29 points	✓	22.0	0.56
		73%	21 points	✓	13.5	0.54
		70%	17 points	✓	9.7	0.49
		67%	19 points	✓	11.5	0.42
		67%	18 points	✓	10.5	0.42
		64%	15 points	✓	8.0	0.36

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.