Adelaide v Hawthorn

Docklands
16.6
102
13.5
83

Adelaide won by 19 points

IN
Frampton
Sholl
Doedee
Mackay
Rowe
Murray
OUT
IN
Scrimshaw
Hardwick
Wingard
Burgoyne
Greaves
Jeka
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Hawthorn
57% 7 points 25.7-0.23
AFLalytics
Hawthorn
64% 12 points 31.1-0.48
Matter of Stats
Hawthorn
64% 12 points 30.7-0.47
Glicko Ratings
Hawthorn
63% 11 points 29.9-0.44
Cheap Stats
Hawthorn
63% 12 points 31.0-0.43
Squiggle
Hawthorn
63% 12 points 31.0-0.42
The Flag
Hawthorn
63% 10 points 29.0-0.41
Punters
Hawthorn
59% 8 points 27.1-0.30
Live Ladders
Hawthorn
59% 8 points 27.0-0.28
s10
Hawthorn
57% 7 points 25.5-0.23
The Cruncher
Hawthorn
57% 6 points 24.9-0.22
Stattraction
Hawthorn
56% 6 points 24.7-0.18
AFL Lab
Hawthorn
56% 5 points 23.5-0.17
PlusSixOne
Hawthorn
54% 4 points 23.0-0.12
Graft
Hawthorn
52% 2 points 21.0-0.05
FMI
Hawthorn
50% 6 points 25.00.00
Massey Ratings
Adelaide
52% 2 points 17.50.04
ZaphBot
Adelaide
54% 4 points 15.00.11

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 19, 2021