Adelaide v Hawthorn
Docklands
16.6
102
13.5
83
Adelaide won by 19 points
IN
Frampton
Sholl
Doedee
Mackay
Rowe
Murray
OUT
IN
Scrimshaw
Hardwick
Wingard
Burgoyne
Greaves
Jeka
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 25.7 | -0.23 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 31.1 | -0.48 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 30.7 | -0.47 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 29.9 | -0.44 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.42 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.41 |
|
Punters
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 27.1 | -0.30 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.28 |
|
s10
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 25.5 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 24.9 | -0.22 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 24.7 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 23.5 | -0.17 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.05 |
|
|
50% | 6 points | ✗ | 25.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 17.5 | 0.04 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.11 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.