Melbourne v Western Bulldogs
M.C.G.
9.11
65
13.7
85
Western Bulldogs won by 20 points
IN
Harmes
vandenBerg
OUT
IN
Schache
Hannan
Liberatore
Dunkley
Crozier
McNeil
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 18.9 | 0.03 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.29 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.17 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✓ | 15.5 | 0.15 |
|
|
55% | 7 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 16.6 | 0.12 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 17.8 | 0.08 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 18.6 | 0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.04 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 20.1 | -0.00 |
|
s10
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 20.1 | -0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 20.5 | -0.01 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.14 |
|
Punters
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 23.9 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 24.4 | -0.16 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 25.9 | -0.24 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.