Essendon v Greater Western Sydney
Carrara
7.11
53
9.12
66
Greater Western Sydney won by 13 points
IN
Zaharakis
Shiel
Guelfi
Waterman
OUT
IN
Ash
Mumford
Whitfield
Finlayson
Coniglio
Flynn
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 21.1 | -0.28 |
|
|
66% | 17 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.56 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✗ | 24.5 | -0.49 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.45 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 21.8 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 21.9 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 21.6 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 12 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.29 |
|
s10
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.26 |
|
Punters
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 19.1 | -0.24 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 18.5 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 10 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 18.6 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 17.6 | -0.18 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.16 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.06 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.