Brisbane Lions v Gold Coast
2021-07-24 15:10:00
Gabba

17.18

120

10.11

71

Brisbane Lions won by 49 points

IN

Ah Chee

Berry

Coleman

Prior

OUT

IN

Atkins

Markov

Ellis

Holman

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		76%	26 points	✓	22.9	0.61
		86%	36 points	✓	13.3	0.79
		84%	28 points	✓	21.5	0.74
		83%	33 points	✓	16.5	0.73
		81%	26 points	✓	22.6	0.69
Punters		80%	29 points	✓	20.1	0.68
		80%	28 points	✓	21.0	0.67
		78%	33 points	✓	16.0	0.64
s10		77%	25 points	✓	23.5	0.62
		77%	29 points	✓	20.2	0.62
		75%	25 points	✓	24.3	0.58
		73%	32 points	✓	17.0	0.55
		73%	25 points	✓	24.0	0.55
		73%	25 points	✓	24.4	0.54
		70%	17 points	✓	31.8	0.49
		70%	18 points	✓	31.0	0.48
		69%	17 points	✓	32.0	0.47
		68%	19 points	✓	30.4	0.44

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.