Port Adelaide v Sydney
Adelaide Oval
12.9
81
10.11
71
Port Adelaide won by 10 points
IN
Williams
Frederick
Marshall
Gray
Ladhams
Jones
OUT
IN
Brand
Gulden
Wicks
McDonald
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
71% | 21 points | ✓ | 10.7 | 0.51 | |
78% | 26 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.64 | ||
77% | 24 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.63 | ||
76% | 19 points | ✓ | 8.5 | 0.59 | ||
74% | 22 points | ✓ | 11.7 | 0.57 | ||
74% | 21 points | ✓ | 10.6 | 0.56 | ||
73% | 22 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.55 | ||
73% | 25 points | ✓ | 14.6 | 0.54 | ||
72% | 24 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.53 | ||
71% | 23 points | ✓ | 12.6 | 0.52 | ||
s10
|
71% | 19 points | ✓ | 9.2 | 0.51 | |
70% | 20 points | ✓ | 10.4 | 0.49 | ||
69% | 26 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.46 | ||
69% | 22 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.46 | ||
Punters
|
68% | 17 points | ✓ | 6.9 | 0.45 | |
66% | 14 points | ✓ | 4.1 | 0.41 | ||
66% | 17 points | ✓ | 6.5 | 0.40 | ||
64% | 11 points | ✓ | 0.8 | 0.35 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.